Jiaqi Wen

Jiaqi Wen, Bogdan Gabrys, Katarzyna Musial

This study proposes an extendable modelling framework for Digital Twin-Oriented Complex Networked Systems (DT-CNSs) with a goal of generating networks that faithfully represent real systems. Modelling process focuses on (i) features of nodes and (ii) interaction rules for creating connections that are built based on individual node's preferences. We conduct experiments on simulation-based DT-CNSs that incorporate various features and rules about network growth and different transmissibilities related to an epidemic spread on these networks. We present a case study on disaster resilience of social networks given an epidemic outbreak by investigating the infection occurrence within specific time and social distance. The experimental results show how different levels of the structural and dynamics complexities, concerned with feature diversity and flexibility of interaction rules respectively, influence network growth and epidemic spread. The analysis revealed that, to achieve maximum disaster resilience, mitigation policies should be targeted at nodes with preferred features as they have higher infection risks and should be the focus of the epidemic control.

Jiaqi Wen, Bogdan Gabrys, Katarzyna Musial

Building models of Complex Networked Systems (CNS) that can accurately represent reality forms an important research area. To be able to reflect real world systems, the modelling needs to consider not only the intensity of interactions between the entities but also features of all the elements of the system. This study aims to improve the expressive power of node features in Digital Twin-Oriented Complex Networked Systems (DT-CNSs) with heterogeneous feature representation principles. This involves representing features with crisp feature values and fuzzy sets, each describing the objective and the subjective inductions of the nodes' features and feature differences. Our empirical analysis builds DT-CNSs to recreate realistic physical contact networks in different countries from real node feature distributions based on various representation principles and an optimised feature preference. We also investigate their respective disaster resilience to an epidemic outbreak starting from the most popular node. The results suggest that the increasing flexibility of feature representation with fuzzy sets improves the expressive power and enables more accurate modelling. In addition, the heterogeneous features influence the network structure and the speed of the epidemic outbreak, requiring various mitigation policies targeted at different people.

Jiaqi Wen, Pingbo Tang, Shaolei Ren et al.

We study the operation of community water systems, where pumps and valves must be scheduled to reliably meet water demands while minimizing energy consumption. While existing optimization-based methods are effective under well-modeled environments, real-world community scenarios exhibit highly dynamic contexts-such as human activities, weather variations, etc-that significantly affect water demand patterns and operational targets across different zones. Traditional optimization approaches struggle to aggregate and adapt to such heterogeneous and rapidly evolving contextual information in real time. While Large Language Model (LLM) agents offer strong capabilities for understanding heterogeneous community context, they are not suitable for directly producing reliable real-time control actions. To address these challenges, we propose a bi-level AI-agent-based framework, WaterAdmin, which integrates LLM-based community context abstraction at the upper level with optimization-based operational control at the lower level. This design leverages the complementary strengths of both paradigms to enable adaptive and reliable operation. We implement WaterAdmin on the hydraulic simulation platform EPANET and demonstrate superior performance in maintaining pressure reliability and reducing energy consumption under highly dynamic community contexts.

Jiaqi Wen, Lei Fan, Jianyi Yang

Predict-then-Optimize (PTO) pipelines are widely employed in computing and networked systems, where Machine Learning (ML) models are used to predict critical contextual information for downstream decision-making tasks such as cloud LLM serving, data center demand response, and edge workload scheduling. However, these ML predictors are often vulnerable to out-of-distribution (OOD) samples at test time, leading to significant decision performance degradation due to large prediction errors. To address the generalization challenges under OOD conditions, we present the framework of Distributionally Robust Decision-Focused Learning (DR-DFL), which trains ML models to optimize decision performance under the worst-case distribution. Instead of relying on classical Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) techniques, we propose Diffusion-Augmented Distributionally Robust Decision-Focused Learning (3D-Learning), which searches for the worst-case distribution within the parameterized space of a diffusion model. By leveraging the powerful distribution modeling capabilities of diffusion models, 3D-Learning identifies worst-case distributions that remain consistent with real data, achieving a favorable balance between average and worst-case scenarios. Empirical results on an LLM resource provisioning task demonstrate that 3D-Learning outperforms existing DRO and Data Augmentation methods in OOD generalization performance.

Jiaqi Wen, Jianyi Yang

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions that remain consistent to the nominal distribution while being diverse enough to account for a variety of potential scenarios. Moreover, it should lead to tractable DRO solutions. To this end, we propose generative model-based ambiguity sets that capture various adversarial distributions beyond the nominal support space while maintaining consistency with the nominal distribution. Building on this generative ambiguity modeling, we propose DRO with Generative Ambiguity Set (GAS-DRO), a tractable DRO algorithm that solves the inner maximization over the parameterized generative model space. We formally establish the stationary convergence performance of GAS-DRO. We implement GAS-DRO with a diffusion model and empirically demonstrate its superior Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization performance in ML tasks.

Jiaqi Wen, Jianyi Yang

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions that remain consistent with the nominal distribution while being diverse enough to account for a variety of potential scenarios. Moreover, it should lead to tractable DRO solutions. To this end, we propose a diffusion-based ambiguity set design that captures various adversarial distributions beyond the nominal support space while maintaining consistency with the nominal distribution. Building on this ambiguity modeling, we propose Diffusion-based DRO (D-DRO), a tractable DRO algorithm that solves the inner maximization over the parameterized diffusion model space. We formally establish the stationary convergence performance of D-DRO and empirically demonstrate its superior Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization performance in a ML prediction task.

Katarzyna Musial, Jiaqi Wen, Andreas Gwyther-Gouriotis

Complex network systems' models are designed to perfectly emulate real-world networks through the use of simulation and link prediction. Complex network systems are defined by nodes and their connections where both have real-world features that result in a heterogeneous network in which each of the nodes has distinct characteristics. Thus, incorporating real-world features is an important component to achieve a simulation which best represents the real-world. Currently very few complex network systems implement real-world features, thus this study proposes feature selection methods which utilise unsupervised filtering techniques to rank real-world node features alongside a wrapper function to test combinations of the ranked features. The chosen method was coined FS-SNS which improved 8 out of 10 simulations of real-world networks. A consistent threshold of included features was also discovered which saw a threshold of 4 features to achieve the most accurate simulation for all networks. Through these findings the study also proposes future work and discusses how the findings can be used to further the Digital Twin and complex network system field.

Jiaqi Wen, Bogdan Gabrys, Katarzyna Musial

The Digital Twin Oriented Complex Networked System (DT-CNS) aims to build and extend a Complex Networked System (CNS) model with progressively increasing dynamics complexity towards an accurate reflection of reality -- a Digital Twin of reality. Our previous work proposed evolutionary DT-CNSs to model the long-term adaptive network changes in an epidemic outbreak. This study extends this framework by proposeing the temporal DT-CNS model, where reinforcement learning-driven nodes make decisions on temporal directed interactions in an epidemic outbreak. We consider cooperative nodes, as well as egocentric and ignorant "free-riders" in the cooperation. We describe this epidemic spreading process with the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered ($SIR$) model and investigate the impact of epidemic severity on the epidemic resilience for different types of nodes. Our experimental results show that (i) the full cooperation leads to a higher reward and lower infection number than a cooperation with egocentric or ignorant "free-riders"; (ii) an increasing number of "free-riders" in a cooperation leads to a smaller reward, while an increasing number of egocentric "free-riders" further escalate the infection numbers and (iii) higher infection rates and a slower recovery weakens networks' resilience to severe epidemic outbreaks. These findings also indicate that promoting cooperation and reducing "free-riders" can improve public health during epidemics.

Jiaqi Wen, Bogdan Gabrys, Katarzyna Musial

This paper aims to provide a comprehensive critical overview on how entities and their interactions in Complex Networked Systems (CNS) are modelled across disciplines as they approach their ultimate goal of creating a Digital Twin (DT) that perfectly matches the reality. We propose a new framework to conceptually compare diverse existing modelling paradigms from different perspectives and create unified assessment criteria to assess their respective capabilities of reaching such an ultimate goal. Using the proposed criteria, we also appraise how far the reviewed current state-of-the-art approaches are from the idealised DTs. We also identify and propose potential directions and ways of building a DT-orientated CNS based on the convergence and integration of CNS and DT utilising a variety of cross-disciplinary techniques.

Qiong Tian, Yue Yang, Jiaqi Wen et al.

With the rapid development of information and communication technology (ICT), taxi business becomes a typical electronic commerce mode. However, one traditional problem still exists in taxi service, that greedy taxi drivers may deliberately take unnecessary detours to overcharge passengers. The detection of these fraudulent behaviors is essential to ensure high-quality taxi service. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for detecting and analyzing the detour behaviors both in off-line database and among on-line trips. Applying our framework to real-world taxi data-set, a remarkable performance (AUC surpasses 0.98) has been achieved in off-line classification. Meanwhile, we further extend the off-line methods to on-line detection, a warning mechanism is introduced to remind drivers and an excellent precision (AUC surpasses 0.90) also has arrived in this phases. After conducting extensive experiments to verify the relationships between pricing regulations and detour behaviors, some quantitative pricing suggestions, including rising base fare and reducing distance-based fare rate, are provided to eliminate detour behaviors from the long term.