Paul Fischer

Anna M. Wundram, Paul Fischer, Michael Muehlebach et al.

Recent works have introduced methods to estimate segmentation performance without ground truth, relying solely on neural network softmax outputs. These techniques hold potential for intuitive output quality control. However, such performance estimates rely on calibrated softmax outputs, which is often not the case in modern neural networks. Moreover, the estimates do not take into account inherent uncertainty in segmentation tasks. These limitations may render precise performance predictions unattainable, restricting the practical applicability of performance estimation methods. To address these challenges, we develop a novel approach for predicting performance ranges with statistical guarantees of containing the ground truth with a user specified probability. Our method leverages sampling-based segmentation uncertainty estimation to derive heuristic performance ranges, and applies split conformal prediction to transform these estimates into rigorous prediction ranges that meet the desired guarantees. We demonstrate our approach on the FIVES retinal vessel segmentation dataset and compare five commonly used sampling-based uncertainty estimation techniques. Our results show that it is possible to achieve the desired coverage with small prediction ranges, highlighting the potential of performance range prediction as a valuable tool for output quality control.

Leonard Siegert, Paul Fischer, Mattias P. Heinrich et al.

Deformable image registration is fundamental to many medical imaging applications. Registration is an inherently ambiguous task often admitting many viable solutions. While neural network-based registration techniques enable fast and accurate registration, the majority of existing approaches are not able to estimate uncertainty. Here, we present PULPo, a method for probabilistic deformable registration capable of uncertainty quantification. PULPo probabilistically models the distribution of deformation fields on different hierarchical levels combining them using Laplacian pyramids. This allows our method to model global as well as local aspects of the deformation field. We evaluate our method on two widely used neuroimaging datasets and find that it achieves high registration performance as well as substantially better calibrated uncertainty quantification compared to the current state-of-the-art.