Renato Purita Paes Leme

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LGFeb 25, 2025
Allocating Variance to Maximize Expectation

Renato Purita Paes Leme, Cliff Stein, Yifeng Teng et al.

We design efficient approximation algorithms for maximizing the expectation of the supremum of families of Gaussian random variables. In particular, let $\mathrm{OPT}:=\max_{σ_1,\cdots,σ_n}\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{j=1}^{m}\max_{i\in S_j} X_i\right]$, where $X_i$ are Gaussian, $S_j\subset[n]$ and $\sum_iσ_i^2=1$, then our theoretical results include: - We characterize the optimal variance allocation -- it concentrates on a small subset of variables as $|S_j|$ increases, - A polynomial time approximation scheme (PTAS) for computing $\mathrm{OPT}$ when $m=1$, and - An $O(\log n)$ approximation algorithm for computing $\mathrm{OPT}$ for general $m>1$. Such expectation maximization problems occur in diverse applications, ranging from utility maximization in auctions markets to learning mixture models in quantitative genetics.