Hong Xing

Haifeng Wen, Osvaldo Simeone, Hong Xing

Deploying trustworthy AI systems requires principled uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used framework for constructing prediction sets with distribution-free coverage guarantees. In many practical settings, including healthcare, finance, and mobile sensing, the calibration data required for CP are distributed across multiple clients, each with its own local data distribution. In this federated setting, data can often be partitioned into, potentially overlapping, groups, which may reflect client-specific strata or cross-cutting attributes such as demographic or semantic categories. We propose group-conditional federated conformal prediction (GC-FCP), a novel protocol that provides group-conditional coverage guarantees. GC-FCP constructs mergeable, group-stratified coresets from local calibration scores, enabling clients to communicate compact weighted summaries that support efficient aggregation and calibration at the server. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets validate the performance of GC-FCP compared to centralized calibration baselines.

Haifeng Wen, Hong Xing, Osvaldo Simeone

Addressing the communication bottleneck inherent in federated learning (FL), over-the-air FL (AirFL) has emerged as a promising solution, which is, however, hampered by deep fading conditions. In this paper, we propose AirFL-Mem, a novel scheme designed to mitigate the impact of deep fading by implementing a \emph{long-term} memory mechanism. Convergence bounds are provided that account for long-term memory, as well as for existing AirFL variants with short-term memory, for general non-convex objectives. The theory demonstrates that AirFL-Mem exhibits the same convergence rate of federated averaging (FedAvg) with ideal communication, while the performance of existing schemes is generally limited by error floors. The theoretical results are also leveraged to propose a novel convex optimization strategy for the truncation threshold used for power control in the presence of Rayleigh fading channels. Experimental results validate the analysis, confirming the advantages of a long-term memory mechanism for the mitigation of deep fading.

Haifeng Wen, Hong Xing, Osvaldo Simeone

Post-hoc calibration of pre-trained models is critical for ensuring reliable inference, especially in safety-critical domains such as healthcare. Conformal Prediction (CP) offers a robust post-hoc calibration framework, providing distribution-free statistical coverage guarantees for prediction sets by leveraging held-out datasets. In this work, we address a decentralized setting where each device has limited calibration data and can communicate only with its neighbors over an arbitrary graph topology. We propose two message-passing-based approaches for achieving reliable inference via CP: quantile-based distributed conformal prediction (Q-DCP) and histogram-based distributed conformal prediction (H-DCP). Q-DCP employs distributed quantile regression enhanced with tailored smoothing and regularization terms to accelerate convergence, while H-DCP uses a consensus-based histogram estimation approach. Through extensive experiments, we investigate the trade-offs between hyperparameter tuning requirements, communication overhead, coverage guarantees, and prediction set sizes across different network topologies. The code of our work is released on: https://github.com/HaifengWen/Distributed-Conformal-Prediction.

Haifeng Wen, Nicolò Michelusi, Osvaldo Simeone et al.

Over-the-air federated learning (FL), i.e., AirFL, leverages computing primitively over multiple access channels. A long-standing challenge in AirFL is to achieve coherent signal alignment without relying on expensive channel estimation and feedback. This paper proposes NCAirFL, a CSI-free AirFL scheme based on unbiased non-coherent detection at the edge server. By exploiting binary dithering and a long-term memory based error-compensation mechanism, NCAirFL achieves a convergence rate of order $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{T})$ in terms of the average square norm of the gradient for general non-convex and smooth objectives, where $T$ is the number of communication rounds. Experiments demonstrate the competitive performance of NCAirFL compared to vanilla FL with ideal communications and to coherent transmission-based benchmarks.

Haifeng Wen, Hong Xing, Osvaldo Simeone

For modern artificial intelligence (AI) applications such as large language models (LLMs), the training paradigm has recently shifted to pre-training followed by fine-tuning. Furthermore, owing to dwindling open repositories of data and thanks to efforts to democratize access to AI models, pre-training is expected to increasingly migrate from the current centralized deployments to federated learning (FL) implementations. Meta-learning provides a general framework in which pre-training and fine-tuning can be formalized. Meta-learning-based personalized FL (meta-pFL) moves beyond basic personalization by targeting generalization to new agents and tasks. This paper studies the generalization performance of meta-pFL for a wireless setting in which the agents participating in the pre-training phase, i.e., meta-learning, are connected via a shared wireless channel to the server. Adopting over-the-air computing, we study the trade-off between generalization to new agents and tasks, on the one hand, and convergence, on the other hand. The trade-off arises from the fact that channel impairments may enhance generalization, while degrading convergence. Extensive numerical results validate the theory.

Hong Xing, Osvaldo Simeone, Suzhi Bi

The proliferation of Internet-of-Things (IoT) devices and cloud-computing applications over siloed data centers is motivating renewed interest in the collaborative training of a shared model by multiple individual clients via federated learning (FL). To improve the communication efficiency of FL implementations in wireless systems, recent works have proposed compression and dimension reduction mechanisms, along with digital and analog transmission schemes that account for channel noise, fading, and interference. The prior art has mainly focused on star topologies consisting of distributed clients and a central server. In contrast, this paper studies FL over wireless device-to-device (D2D) networks by providing theoretical insights into the performance of digital and analog implementations of decentralized stochastic gradient descent (DSGD). First, we introduce generic digital and analog wireless implementations of communication-efficient DSGD algorithms, leveraging random linear coding (RLC) for compression and over-the-air computation (AirComp) for simultaneous analog transmissions. Next, under the assumptions of convexity and connectivity, we provide convergence bounds for both implementations. The results demonstrate the dependence of the optimality gap on the connectivity and on the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) levels in the network. The analysis is corroborated by experiments on an image-classification task.