Joao Gama

Longbing Cao, Hui Chen, Xuhui Fan et al.

Federated learning (FL) demonstrates its advantages in integrating distributed infrastructure, communication, computing and learning in a privacy-preserving manner. However, the robustness and capabilities of existing FL methods are challenged by limited and dynamic data and conditions, complexities including heterogeneities and uncertainties, and analytical explainability. Bayesian federated learning (BFL) has emerged as a promising approach to address these issues. This survey presents a critical overview of BFL, including its basic concepts, its relations to Bayesian learning in the context of FL, and a taxonomy of BFL from both Bayesian and federated perspectives. We categorize and discuss client- and server-side and FL-based BFL methods and their pros and cons. The limitations of the existing BFL methods and the future directions of BFL research further address the intricate requirements of real-life FL applications.

Alexis Bondu, Youssef Achenchabe, Albert Bifet et al.

More and more applications require early decisions, i.e. taken as soon as possible from partially observed data. However, the later a decision is made, the more its accuracy tends to improve, since the description of the problem to hand is enriched over time. Such a compromise between the earliness and the accuracy of decisions has been particularly studied in the field of Early Time Series Classification. This paper introduces a more general problem, called Machine Learning based Early Decision Making (ML-EDM), which consists in optimizing the decision times of models in a wide range of settings where data is collected over time. After defining the ML-EDM problem, ten challenges are identified and proposed to the scientific community to further research in this area. These challenges open important application perspectives, discussed in this paper.

Angelica Liguori, Luciano Caroprese, Marco Minici et al.

In real-world scenario, many phenomena produce a collection of events that occur in continuous time. Point Processes provide a natural mathematical framework for modeling these sequences of events. In this survey, we investigate probabilistic models for modeling event sequences through temporal processes. We revise the notion of event modeling and provide the mathematical foundations that characterize the literature on the topic. We define an ontology to categorize the existing approaches in terms of three families: simple, marked, and spatio-temporal point processes. For each family, we systematically review the existing approaches based based on deep learning. Finally, we analyze the scenarios where the proposed techniques can be used for addressing prediction and modeling aspects.

Hadi Fanaee-T, Joao Gama

SimTensor is a multi-platform, open-source software for generating artificial tensor data (either with CP/PARAFAC or Tucker structure) for reproducible research on tensor factorization algorithms. SimTensor is a stand-alone application based on MATALB. It provides a wide range of facilities for generating tensor data with various configurations. It comes with a user-friendly graphical user interface, which enables the user to generate tensors with complicated settings in an easy way. It also has this facility to export generated data to universal formats such as CSV and HDF5, which can be imported via a wide range of programming languages (C, C++, Java, R, Fortran, MATLAB, Perl, Python, and many more). The most innovative part of SimTensor is this that can generate temporal tensors with periodic waves, seasonal effects and streaming structure. it can apply constraints such as non-negativity and different kinds of sparsity to the data. SimTensor also provides this facility to simulate different kinds of change-points and inject various types of anomalies. The source code and binary versions of SimTensor is available for download in http://www.simtensor.org.

Jakub Jakubowski, Natalia Wojak-Strzelecka, Rita P. Ribeiro et al.

Predictive Maintenance (PdM) emerged as one of the pillars of Industry 4.0, and became crucial for enhancing operational efficiency, allowing to minimize downtime, extend lifespan of equipment, and prevent failures. A wide range of PdM tasks can be performed using Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods, which often use data generated from industrial sensors. The steel industry, which is an important branch of the global economy, is one of the potential beneficiaries of this trend, given its large environmental footprint, the globalized nature of the market, and the demanding working conditions. This survey synthesizes the current state of knowledge in the field of AI-based PdM within the steel industry and is addressed to researchers and practitioners. We identified 219 articles related to this topic and formulated five research questions, allowing us to gain a global perspective on current trends and the main research gaps. We examined equipment and facilities subjected to PdM, determined common PdM approaches, and identified trends in the AI methods used to develop these solutions. We explored the characteristics of the data used in the surveyed articles and assessed the practical implications of the research presented there. Most of the research focuses on the blast furnace or hot rolling, using data from industrial sensors. Current trends show increasing interest in the domain, especially in the use of deep learning. The main challenges include implementing the proposed methods in a production environment, incorporating them into maintenance plans, and enhancing the accessibility and reproducibility of the research.

Ehsan Aminian, Rita P. Ribeiro, Joao Gama

Imbalanced domains pose a significant challenge in real-world predictive analytics, particularly in the context of regression. While existing research has primarily focused on batch learning from static datasets, limited attention has been given to imbalanced regression in online learning scenarios. Intending to address this gap, in prior work, we proposed sampling strategies based on Chebyshevs inequality as the first methodologies designed explicitly for data streams. However, these approaches operated under the restrictive assumption that rare instances exclusively reside at distribution extremes. This study introduces histogram-based sampling strategies to overcome this constraint, proposing flexible solutions for imbalanced regression in evolving data streams. The proposed techniques -- Histogram-based Undersampling (HistUS) and Histogram-based Oversampling (HistOS) -- employ incremental online histograms to dynamically detect and prioritize rare instances across arbitrary regions of the target distribution to improve predictions in the rare cases. Comprehensive experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmarks demonstrate that HistUS and HistOS substantially improve rare-case prediction accuracy, outperforming baseline models while maintaining competitiveness with Chebyshev-based approaches.

Matthias Jakobs, Bruno Veloso, Joao Gama

Due to their high predictive performance, predictive maintenance applications have increasingly been approached with Deep Learning techniques in recent years. However, as in other real-world application scenarios, the need for explainability is often stated but not sufficiently addressed. This study will focus on predicting failures on Metro trains in Porto, Portugal. While recent works have found high-performing deep neural network architectures that feature a parallel explainability pipeline, the generated explanations are fairly complicated and need help explaining why the failures are happening. This work proposes a simple online rule-based explainability approach with interpretable features that leads to straightforward, interpretable rules. We showcase our approach on MetroPT2 and find that three specific sensors on the Metro do Porto trains suffice to predict the failures present in the dataset with simple rules.

Jie Lu, Anjin Liu, Fan Dong et al.

Concept drift describes unforeseeable changes in the underlying distribution of streaming data over time. Concept drift research involves the development of methodologies and techniques for drift detection, understanding and adaptation. Data analysis has revealed that machine learning in a concept drift environment will result in poor learning results if the drift is not addressed. To help researchers identify which research topics are significant and how to apply related techniques in data analysis tasks, it is necessary that a high quality, instructive review of current research developments and trends in the concept drift field is conducted. In addition, due to the rapid development of concept drift in recent years, the methodologies of learning under concept drift have become noticeably systematic, unveiling a framework which has not been mentioned in literature. This paper reviews over 130 high quality publications in concept drift related research areas, analyzes up-to-date developments in methodologies and techniques, and establishes a framework of learning under concept drift including three main components: concept drift detection, concept drift understanding, and concept drift adaptation. This paper lists and discusses 10 popular synthetic datasets and 14 publicly available benchmark datasets used for evaluating the performance of learning algorithms aiming at handling concept drift. Also, concept drift related research directions are covered and discussed. By providing state-of-the-art knowledge, this survey will directly support researchers in their understanding of research developments in the field of learning under concept drift.

Hadi Fanaee-T, Joao Gama

Space and time are two critical components of many real world systems. For this reason, analysis of anomalies in spatiotemporal data has been a great of interest. In this work, application of tensor decomposition and eigenspace techniques on spatiotemporal hotspot detection is investigated. An algorithm called SST-Hotspot is proposed which accounts for spatiotemporal variations in data and detect hotspots using matching of eigenvector elements of two cases and population tensors. The experimental results reveal the interesting application of tensor decomposition and eigenvector-based techniques in hotspot analysis.