Wadie Skaf

Ermiyas Birihanu, Jiyan Mahmud, Péter Kiss et al.

Content delivery networks (CDNs) are the backbone of the Internet and are key in delivering high quality video on demand (VoD), web content and file services to billions of users. CDNs usually consist of hierarchically organized content servers positioned as close to the customers as possible. CDN operators face a significant challenge when analyzing billions of web server and proxy logs generated by their systems. The main objective of this study was to analyze the applicability of various clustering methods in CDN error log analysis. We worked with real-life CDN proxy logs, identified key features included in the logs (e.g., content type, HTTP status code, time-of-day, host) and clustered the log lines corresponding to different host types offering live TV, video on demand, file caching and web content. Our experiments were run on a dataset consisting of proxy logs collected over a 7-day period from a single, physical CDN server running multiple types of services (VoD, live TV, file). The dataset consisted of 2.2 billion log lines. Our analysis showed that CDN error clustering is a viable approach towards identifying recurring errors and improving overall quality of service.

Wadie Skaf, Arzu Tosayeva, Dániel T. Várkonyi

Time-Series Forecasting is a powerful data modeling discipline that analyzes historical observations to predict future values of a time-series. It has been utilized in numerous applications, including but not limited to economics, meteorology, and health. In this paper, we use time-series forecasting techniques to model and predict the future incidence of chickenpox. To achieve this, we implement and simulate multiple models and data preprocessing techniques on a Hungary-collected dataset. We demonstrate that the LSTM model outperforms all other models in the vast majority of the experiments in terms of county-level forecasting, whereas the SARIMAX model performs best at the national level. We also demonstrate that the performance of the traditional data preprocessing method is inferior to that of the data preprocessing method that we have proposed.