Albina Ilina

Badr Moufad, Albina Ilina, Hai Victor Habi et al.

Commercial Microwave Links (CMLs) offer dense spatial coverage for rainfall sensing but produce path-integrated measurements that make accurate ground-level reconstruction challenging. Existing methods typically oversimplify CMLs as point sensors and neglect line integration relating rainfall to signal attenuation, resulting in degraded performance under heterogeneous precipitation. In this work, we view rain field reconstruction as a Bayesian inverse problem with Diffusion Models (DMs) as high-fidelity spatial priors. We show that diffusion models better preserve key rainfall statistics compared to censored Gaussian processes. Framing rainfall estimation as a Bayesian inverse problem with a DM prior enables training-free posterior sampling using a broad family of methods, including Plug-and-Play, Sequential Monte Carlo, and Replica Exchange methods. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over established CML-based reconstruction baselines.

Roman Vashurin, Maiya Goloburda, Albina Ilina et al.

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for Large Language Models (LLMs) encompass a variety of approaches, with two major types being particularly prominent: information-based, which focus on model confidence expressed as token probabilities, and consistency-based, which assess the semantic relationship between multiple outputs generated using repeated sampling. Several recent methods have combined these two approaches to boost UQ performance. However, they sometimes fail to outperform much simpler baseline methods. Our work discusses the fundamental approach to constructing uncertainty measures that directly links uncertainty with the minimum Bayes risks achieved by LLM decoding. Building on these findings, we propose a novel approach to integrating model confidence with output consistency, resulting in a family of efficient and robust UQ methods. Our investigation reveals distinctive characteristics of LLMs as probabilistic models, which help to explain why these UQ methods underperform in certain tasks. Based on these findings, we propose a new way of synthesizing model confidence and output consistency, leading to a family of efficient and robust UQ methods. We evaluate our approach across various tasks such as question answering, abstractive summarization, and machine translation, demonstrating sizable improvements over state-of-the-art UQ approaches.

Abduragim Shtanchaev, Albina Ilina, Yazid Janati et al.

Pretrained diffusion models serve as effective priors for Bayesian inverse problems. These priors enable zero-shot generation by sampling from the conditional distribution, which avoids the need for task-specific retraining. However, a major limitation of existing methods is their reliance on surrogate likelihoods that require vector-Jacobian products at each denoising step, creating a substantial computational burden. To address this, we introduce a lightweight likelihood surrogate that eliminates the need to calculate gradients through the denoiser network. This enables us to handle diverse inverse problems without backpropagation overhead. Experiments confirm that using our method, the inference cost drops dramatically. At the same time, our approach delivers the highest results in multiple tasks. Broadly speaking, we propose the fastest and Pareto optimal method for Bayesian inverse problems.