Timothy Nunn

Timothy Nunn, Vignesh Gopakumar, Sebastien Kahn

Nuclear fusion using magnetic confinement holds promise as a viable method for sustainable energy. However, most fusion devices have been experimental and as we move towards energy reactors, we are entering into a new paradigm of engineering. Curating a design for a fusion reactor is a high-dimensional multi-output optimisation process. Through this work we demonstrate a proof-of-concept of an AI-driven strategy to help explore the design search space and identify optimum parameters. By utilising a Multi-Output Bayesian Optimisation scheme, our strategy is capable of identifying the Pareto front associated with the optimisation of the toroidal field coil shape of a tokamak. The optimisation helps to identify design parameters that would minimise the costs incurred while maximising the plasma stability by way of minimising magnetic ripples.

Alasdair Ross, George K. Holt, Kamran Pentland et al.

Reliable position and shape control in tokamak plasmas requires accurate real-time regulation of several strongly coupled shape parameters. The control vectors that disentangle these couplings, referred to as \textit{virtual circuits} (VCs), enable independent shape parameter control for a specific Grad--Shafranov (GS) equilibrium. Numerical calculation of VCs is not currently feasible in real time, therefore VCs are usually computed prior to each experiment, using a small number of reference GS equilibria sampled along the desired scenario trajectory, with each VC used to control the plasma within a preset time interval. While effective near the reference equilibrium, this approach can lead to degraded performance as the plasma departs from the reference equilibrium and/or from the desired trajectory, and it complicates the design of robust control strategies for rapidly evolving plasma configurations. In this paper, we construct neural-network-based emulators of plasma shape parameters from which VCs can be derived, to provide the MAST Upgrade (MAST-U) plasma control system with state-aware VCs in real-time. To do this, we develop an extensive library of over a million simulated GS equilibria, covering a substantial portion of the MAST-U operational space. These emulators provide differentiable functions whose gradients can be rapidly computed, enabling the derivation of accurate VCs for real-time shape control. We perform extensive verification of the emulated VCs by testing whether they disentangle the control problem. The neural-network-based approach delivers high accuracy and orthogonality across a diverse range of equilibria. This work establishes the physical validity of emulated VCs as a scalable and general alternative to schedules of precomputed VCs.

Vignesh Gopakumar, Ander Gray, Lorenzo Zanisi et al.

Simulating complex physical systems is crucial for understanding and predicting phenomena across diverse fields, such as fluid dynamics and heat transfer, as well as plasma physics and structural mechanics. Traditional approaches rely on solving partial differential equations (PDEs) using numerical methods, which are computationally expensive and often prohibitively slow for real-time applications or large-scale simulations. Neural PDEs have emerged as efficient alternatives to these costly numerical solvers, offering significant computational speed-ups. However, their lack of robust uncertainty quantification (UQ) limits deployment in critical applications. We introduce a model-agnostic, physics-informed conformal prediction (CP) framework that provides guaranteed uncertainty estimates without requiring labelled data. By utilising a physics-based approach, we can quantify and calibrate the model's inconsistencies with the physics rather than the uncertainty arising from the data. Our approach utilises convolutional layers as finite-difference stencils and leverages physics residual errors as nonconformity scores, enabling data-free UQ with marginal and joint coverage guarantees across prediction domains for a range of complex PDEs. We further validate the efficacy of our method on neural PDE models for plasma modelling and shot design in fusion reactors.