Shunyu Wu

Haoyu Wang, Jingcheng Wang, Shunyu Wu et al.

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) can fit strong value functions from fixed datasets, yet reliable deployment still hinges on the action selection interface used to query them. When the dataset induces a branched or multimodal action landscape, unimodal policy extraction can blur competing hypotheses and yield "in-between" actions that are weakly supported by data, making decisions brittle even with a strong critic. We introduce GEM (Guided Expectation-Maximization), an analytical framework that makes action selection both multimodal and explicitly controllable. GEM trains a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) actor via critic-guided, advantage-weighted EM-style updates that preserve distinct components while shifting probability mass toward high-value regions, and learns a tractable GMM behavior model to quantify support. During inference, GEM performs candidate-based selection: it generates a parallel candidate set and reranks actions using a conservative ensemble lower-confidence bound together with behavior-normalized support, where the behavior log-likelihood is standardized within each state's candidate set to yield stable, comparable control across states and candidate budgets. Empirically, GEM is competitive across D4RL benchmarks, and offers a simple inference-time budget knob (candidate count) that trades compute for decision quality without retraining.

Jiahui Zhou, Dan Li, Lin Li et al.

The reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have significantly advanced their performance by enabling in-depth understanding of diverse tasks. With growing interest in applying LLMs to the time series domain, this has proven nontrivial, as evidenced by the limited efficacy of straightforwardly adapting text-domain reasoning techniques. Although recent work has shown promise in several time series tasks, further leveraging advancements in LLM reasoning remains under-explored for time series classification (TSC) tasks, despite their prevalence and significance in many real-world applications. In this paper, we propose ReasonTSC, a novel framework designed to effectively leverage LLM reasoning for time series classification through both a multi-turn reasoning and a fused decision-making strategy tailored to TSC. Rather than straightforwardly applying existing reasoning techniques or relying solely on LLMs' built-in reasoning capabilities, ReasonTSC first steers the model to think over the essential characteristics of time series data. Next, it integrates predictions and confidence scores from plug-in classifiers, e.g., domain-specific time series models, as in-context examples. Finally, ReasonTSC guides the LLM through a structured reasoning process: it evaluates the initial assessment, backtracks to consider alternative hypotheses, and compares their merits before arriving at a final classification. Extensive experiments and systematic ablation studies demonstrate that ReasonTSC consistently outperforms both existing time series reasoning baselines and plug-in models, and is even capable of identifying and correcting plug-in models' false predictions.