Natalia Vassileva Vesselinova

Natalia Vassileva Vesselinova

The main contribution reported in the paper is a novel paradigm through which mobile cellular traffic forecasting is made substantially more accurate. Specifically, by incorporating freely available road metrics we characterise the data generation process and spatial dependencies. Therefore, this provides a means for improving the forecasting estimates. We employ highway flow and average speed variables together with a cellular network traffic metric in a light learning structure to predict the short-term future load on a cell covering a segment of a highway. This is in sharp contrast to prior art that mainly studies urban scenarios (with pedestrian and limited vehicular speeds) and develops machine learning approaches that use exclusively network metrics and meta information to make mid-term and long-term predictions. The learning structure can be used at a cell or edge level, and can find application in both federated and centralised learning.

A. Jung, N. Vesselinova

We apply network Lasso to semi-supervised regression problems involving network structured data. This approach lends quite naturally to highly scalable learning algorithms in the form of message passing over an empirical graph which represents the network structure of the data. By using a simple non-parametric regression model, which is motivated by a clustering hypothesis, we provide an analysis of the estimation error incurred by network Lasso. This analysis reveals conditions on the the network structure and the available training data which guarantee network Lasso to be accurate. Remarkably, the accuracy of network Lasso is related to the existence of sufficiently large network flows over the empirical graph. Thus, our analysis reveals a connection between network Lasso and maximum flow problems.