Ali Pakniyat

Dena Firoozi, Ali Pakniyat, Peter E. Caines

A novel framework is presented that combines Mean Field Game (MFG) theory and Hybrid Optimal Control (HOC) theory to obtain a unique $ε$-Nash equilibrium for a non-cooperative game with switching and stopping times. We consider the case where there exists one major agent with a significant influence on the system together with a large number of minor agents constituting two subpopulations, each agent with individually asymptotically negligible effect on the whole system. Each agent has stochastic linear dynamics with quadratic costs, and the agents are coupled in their dynamics and costs by the average state of minor agents (i.e. the empirical mean field). It is shown that for a class of Hybrid LQG MFGs, the optimal switching and stopping times are state-invariant and only depend on the dynamical parameters of each agent. Accordingly, a hybrid systems formulation of the game is presented via the indexing by discrete events: (i) the switching of the major agent between alternative dynamics or (ii) the termination of the agents' trajectories in one or both of the subpopulations of minor agents. Optimal switchings and stopping time strategies together with best response control actions for, respectively, the major agent and all minor agents are established with respect to their individual cost criteria by an application of Hybrid LQG MFG theory.

Kelsey P. Hawkins, Ali Pakniyat, Panagiotis Tsiotras

Two novel numerical estimators are proposed for solving forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function in stochastic optimal control problems. In contrast to the current numerical approaches which are based on the discretization of the continuous-time FBSDE, we propose a converse approach, namely, we obtain a discrete-time approximation of the on-policy value function, and then we derive a discrete-time estimator that resembles the continuous-time counterpart. The proposed approach allows for the construction of higher accuracy estimators along with error analysis. The approach is applied to the policy improvement step in reinforcement learning. Numerical results and error analysis are demonstrated using (i) a scalar nonlinear stochastic optimal control problem and (ii) a four-dimensional linear quadratic regulator (LQR) problem. The proposed estimators show significant improvement in terms of accuracy in both cases over Euler-Maruyama-based estimators used in competing approaches. In the case of LQR problems, we demonstrate that our estimators result in near machine-precision level accuracy, in contrast to previously proposed methods that can potentially diverge on the same problems.

Kelsey P. Hawkins, Ali Pakniyat, Evangelos Theodorou et al.

We propose a numerical method for the computation of the forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function in stochastic optimal control problems. By the use of the Girsanov change of probability measures, it is demonstrated how a rapidly-exploring random tree (RRT) method can be utilized for the forward integration pass, as long as the controlled drift terms are appropriately compensated in the backward integration pass. Subsequently, a numerical approximation of the value function is proposed by solving a series of function approximation problems backwards in time along the edges of the constructed RRT. Moreover, a local entropy-weighted least squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) method is developed to concentrate function approximation accuracy in regions most likely to be visited by optimally controlled trajectories. The results of the proposed methodology are demonstrated on linear and nonlinear stochastic optimal control problems with non-quadratic running costs, which reveal significant convergence improvements over previous FBSDE-based numerical solution methods.