37.4SEMay 27
Rethinking Software Empirical Studies with Structural Causal ModelsDaniel Rodriguez-Cardenas, Aya Garryyeva, David Nader Palacio et al.
Causal Inference offers a fundamental approach for advancing empirical software engineering (ESE) beyond traditional statistical association, enabling researchers to rigorously identify and quantify causal relationships in software experiments. This paper introduces CausalSE, a framework that operationalizes Judea Pearl's causal inference paradigm in ESE context. The paper focuses on Structural Causal Models (SCMs) to address the limitations of classical statistical methods in mitigating confounding bias. Through a case study using the Galeras dataset and propensity score matching, we demonstrate how CausalSE disentangles the effect of prompt engineering strategies on code generation outcomes in a popular LLM (i.e., GPT-3). The results reveal that while associational analyses can suggest improvements in certain interventions (e.g., more complex prompts), causal analysis often does not find a significant treatment effect, highlighting the risk of false positives when confounding is not addressed. By providing a tutorial-based methodology and a real-world case study, this work equips software researchers with practical tools to design, analyze, and interpret software experiments with methodological rigor, ultimately enabling more informed and actionable conclusions in both research and practice.
SEFeb 3, 2025
Toward Neurosymbolic Program ComprehensionAlejandro Velasco, Aya Garryyeva, David N. Palacio et al.
Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have paved the way for Large Code Models (LCMs), enabling automation in complex software engineering tasks, such as code generation, software testing, and program comprehension, among others. Tools like GitHub Copilot and ChatGPT have shown substantial benefits in supporting developers across various practices. However, the ambition to scale these models to trillion-parameter sizes, exemplified by GPT-4, poses significant challenges that limit the usage of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based systems powered by large Deep Learning (DL) models. These include rising computational demands for training and deployment and issues related to trustworthiness, bias, and interpretability. Such factors can make managing these models impractical for many organizations, while their "black-box'' nature undermines key aspects, including transparency and accountability. In this paper, we question the prevailing assumption that increasing model parameters is always the optimal path forward, provided there is sufficient new data to learn additional patterns. In particular, we advocate for a Neurosymbolic research direction that combines the strengths of existing DL techniques (e.g., LLMs) with traditional symbolic methods--renowned for their reliability, speed, and determinism. To this end, we outline the core features and present preliminary results for our envisioned approach, aimed at establishing the first Neurosymbolic Program Comprehension (NsPC) framework to aid in identifying defective code components.