Caiyin Yang

Yong Liu, Guo Qin, Zhiyuan Shi et al.

We introduce Sundial, a family of native, flexible, and scalable time series foundation models. To predict the next-patch's distribution, we propose a TimeFlow Loss based on flow-matching, which facilitates native pre-training of Transformers on continuous-valued time series without discrete tokenization. Conditioned on arbitrary-length time series, our models are pre-trained without specifying any prior distribution and can generate multiple probable predictions, achieving more flexibility in representation learning than using parametric densities. Towards time series foundation models, we leverage minimal but crucial adaptations of Transformers and curate TimeBench with one trillion time points, comprising mostly real-world datasets and synthetic data. By mitigating mode collapse via TimeFlow Loss, we pre-train a family of Sundial models on TimeBench, which achieve unprecedented model capacity and generalization performance. In addition to excellent scalability, Sundial achieves state-of-the-art results on both point and probabilistic forecasting benchmarks with a just-in-time inference speed, i.e., making zero-shot predictions within a few milliseconds. We believe that Sundial's pioneering generative forecasting capability can improve model reliability in real-world decision-making. Code is available at: https://github.com/thuml/Sundial.

Jiayi Zhang, Yongfeng Gu, Jianhao Ruan et al.

Agentic evolution has emerged as a powerful paradigm for improving programs, workflows, and scientific solutions by iteratively generating candidates, evaluating them, and using feedback to guide future search. However, existing methods are typically instantiated either as fixed hand-designed procedures that are modular but rigid, or as general-purpose agents that flexibly integrate feedback but can drift in long-horizon evolution. Both forms accumulate rich evidence over time, including candidates, feedback, traces, and failures, yet lack a stable interface for organizing this evidence and revising the mechanism that drives future evolution. We address this limitation by formulating agentic evolution as an interactive environment, where the accumulated evolution context serves as a process-level state. We introduce AEvo, a harnessed meta-editing framework in which a meta-agent observes this state and acts not by directly proposing the next candidate, but by editing the procedure or agent context that controls future evolution. This unified interface enables AEvo to steer both procedure-based and agent-based evolution, making accumulated evidence actionable for long-horizon search. Empirical evaluations on agentic and reasoning benchmarks show that AEvo outperforms five evolution baselines, achieving a 26 relative improvement over the strongest baseline. Across three open-ended optimization tasks, AEvo further outperforms four evolution baselines and achieves state-of-the-art performance under the same iteration budget.

Haotian Ye, Haowei Lin, Jingyi Tang et al.

Language models are increasingly used in scientific discovery to generate hypotheses, propose candidate solutions, implement systems, and iteratively refine them. At the core of these trial-and-error loops lies evaluation: the process of obtaining feedback on candidate solutions via verifiers, simulators, or task-specific scoring functions. While prior work has highlighted the importance of evaluation, it has not explicitly formulated the problem of how evaluation-driven discovery loops can be scaled up in a principled and effective manner to push the boundaries of scientific discovery, a problem this paper seeks to address. We introduce Simple Test-time Evaluation-driven Scaling (SimpleTES), a general framework that strategically combines parallel exploration, feedback-driven refinement, and local selection, revealing substantial gains unlocked by scaling evaluation-driven discovery loops along the right dimensions. Across 21 scientific problems spanning six domains, SimpleTES discovers state-of-the-art solutions using gpt-oss models, consistently outperforming both frontier-model baselines and sophisticated optimization pipelines. Particularly, we sped up the widely used LASSO algorithm by over 2x, designed quantum circuit routing policies that reduce gate overhead by 24.5%, and discovered new Erdos minimum overlap constructions that surpass the best-known results. Beyond novel discoveries, SimpleTES produces trajectory-level histories that naturally supervise feedback-driven learning. When post-trained on successful trajectories, models not only improve efficiency on seen problems but also generalize to unseen problems, discovering solutions that base models fail to uncover. Together, our results establish effective evaluation-driven loop scaling as a central axis for advancing LLM-driven scientific discovery, and provide a simple yet practical framework for realizing these gains.