Yongfeng Li

Hongjin Song, Qianrun Chen, Tianqi Jiang et al.

Accurately predicting the wind power output of a wind farm across various time scales utilizing Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is a critical issue in wind power trading and utilization. The WPF problem remains unresolved due to numerous influencing variables, such as wind speed, temperature, latitude, and longitude. Furthermore, achieving high prediction accuracy is crucial for maintaining electric grid stability and ensuring supply security. In this paper, we model all wind turbines within a wind farm as graph nodes in a graph built by their geographical locations. Accordingly, we propose an ensemble model based on graph neural networks and reinforcement learning (EMGRL) for WPF. Our approach includes: (1) applying graph neural networks to capture the time-series data from neighboring wind farms relevant to the target wind farm; (2) establishing a general state embedding that integrates the target wind farm's data with the historical performance of base models on the target wind farm; (3) ensembling and leveraging the advantages of all base models through an actor-critic reinforcement learning framework for WPF.

Yongfeng Li, Mingming Zhao, Weijie Chen et al.

In this paper, we consider the linear programming (LP) formulation for deep reinforcement learning. The number of the constraints depends on the size of state and action spaces, which makes the problem intractable in large or continuous environments. The general augmented Lagrangian method suffers the double-sampling obstacle in solving the LP. Namely, the conditional expectations originated from the constraint functions and the quadratic penalties in the augmented Lagrangian function impose difficulties in sampling and evaluation. Motivated from the updates of the multipliers, we overcome the obstacles in minimizing the augmented Lagrangian function by replacing the intractable conditional expectations with the multipliers. Therefore, a deep parameterized augment Lagrangian method is proposed. Furthermore, the replacement provides a promising breakthrough to integrate the two steps in the augmented Lagrangian method into a single constrained problem. A general theoretical analysis shows that the solutions generated from a sequence of the constrained optimizations converge to the optimal solution of the LP if the error is controlled properly. A theoretical analysis on the quadratic penalty algorithm under neural tangent kernel setting shows the residual can be arbitrarily small if the parameter in network and optimization algorithm is chosen suitably. Preliminary experiments illustrate that our method is competitive to other state-of-the-art algorithms.

Yu Wang, JunPeng Bao, JianQiang Du et al.

The incidence of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) commonly happens in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients, especially in the adults, which is an independent risk factor affecting short-term and long-term mortality. Though researchers in recent years highlight the early prediction of AKI, the performance of existing models are not precise enough. The objective of this research is to precisely predict AKI by means of Convolutional Neural Network on Electronic Health Record (EHR) data. The data sets used in this research are two public Electronic Health Record (EHR) databases: MIMIC-III and eICU database. In this study, we take several Convolutional Neural Network models to train and test our AKI predictor, which can precisely predict whether a certain patient will suffer from AKI after admission in ICU according to the last measurements of the 16 blood gas and demographic features. The research is based on Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria for AKI definition. Our work greatly improves the AKI prediction precision, and the best AUROC is up to 0.988 on MIMIC-III data set and 0.936 on eICU data set, both of which outperform the state-of-art predictors. And the dimension of the input vector used in this predictor is much fewer than that used in other existing researches. Compared with the existing AKI predictors, the predictor in this work greatly improves the precision of early prediction of AKI by using the Convolutional Neural Network architecture and a more concise input vector. Early and precise prediction of AKI will bring much benefit to the decision of treatment, so it is believed that our work is a very helpful clinical application.