Mingzhou Yin

Mingzhou Yin, Andrea Iannelli, Seyed Ali Nazari et al.

Extending data-driven algorithms based on Willems' fundamental lemma to stochastic data often requires empirical and customized workarounds. This work presents a unified Bayesian framework for linear systems that provides a systematic and general method for handling stochastic data-driven tasks, including smoothing, prediction, and control, via maximum a posteriori estimation. This framework formulates a unified trajectory estimation problem for the three tasks by specifying different types of trajectory knowledge. Then, a Bayesian problem is solved that optimally combines trajectory knowledge with a data-driven characterization of the trajectory from offline data for correlated input-output uncertainties with elliptical distributions. Under specific conditions, this problem is shown to generalize existing data-driven prediction and control algorithms. Numerical examples demonstrate the performance of the unified approach for all three tasks against other data-driven and system identification approaches.

Mingzhou Yin, Matthias A. Müller

This work investigates data-driven prediction and control of Hammerstein-Wiener systems using physics-informed Gaussian process models. Data-driven prediction algorithms have been developed for structured nonlinear systems based on Willems' fundamental lemma. However, existing frameworks cannot treat output nonlinearities and require a dictionary of basis functions for Hammerstein systems. In this work, an implicit predictor structure is considered, leveraging the multi-step-ahead ARX structure for the linear part of the model. This implicit function is learned by Gaussian process regression with kernel functions designed from Gaussian process priors for the nonlinearities. The linear model parameters are estimated as hyperparameters by assuming a stable spline hyperprior. The implicit Gaussian process model provides explicit output prediction by optimizing selected optimality criteria. The model is also applied to receding horizon control with the expected control cost and chance constraint satisfaction guarantee. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed prediction and control algorithms are superior to black-box Gaussian process models.