Pancham Shukla

Jonah Anton, Harry Coppock, Pancham Shukla et al.

The Barlow Twins self-supervised learning objective requires neither negative samples or asymmetric learning updates, achieving results on a par with the current state-of-the-art within Computer Vision. As such, we present Audio Barlow Twins, a novel self-supervised audio representation learning approach, adapting Barlow Twins to the audio domain. We pre-train on the large-scale audio dataset AudioSet, and evaluate the quality of the learnt representations on 18 tasks from the HEAR 2021 Challenge, achieving results which outperform, or otherwise are on a par with, the current state-of-the-art for instance discrimination self-supervised learning approaches to audio representation learning. Code at https://github.com/jonahanton/SSL_audio.

Pritthijit Nath, Pancham Shukla, Shuai Wang et al.

As tropical cyclones become more intense due to climate change, the rise of Al-based modelling provides a more affordable and accessible approach compared to traditional methods based on mathematical models. This work leverages generative diffusion models to forecast cyclone trajectories and precipitation patterns by integrating satellite imaging, remote sensing, and atmospheric data. It employs a cascaded approach that incorporates three main tasks: forecasting, super-resolution, and precipitation modelling. The training dataset includes 51 cyclones from six major tropical cyclone basins from January 2019 - March 2023. Experiments demonstrate that the final forecasts from the cascaded models show accurate predictions up to a 36-hour rollout, with excellent Structural Similarity (SSIM) and Peak-Singal-To-Noise Ratio (PSNR) values exceeding 0.5 and 20 dB, respectively, for all three tasks. The 36-hour forecasts can be produced in as little as 30 mins on a single Nvidia A30/RTX 2080 Ti. This work also highlights the promising efficiency of Al methods such as diffusion models for high-performance needs in weather forecasting, such as tropical cyclone forecasting, while remaining computationally affordable, making them ideal for highly vulnerable regions with critical forecasting needs and financial limitations. Code accessible at https://github.com/nathzi1505/forecast-diffmodels.

Zhibo Ren, Pritthijit Nath, Pancham Shukla

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is crucial for disaster preparedness and mitigation. While recent deep learning approaches have shown promise, existing methods often treat TC evolution as a series of independent frame-to-frame predictions, limiting their ability to capture long-term dynamics. We present a novel application of video diffusion models for TC forecasting that explicitly models temporal dependencies through additional temporal layers. Our approach enables the model to generate multiple frames simultaneously, better capturing cyclone evolution patterns. We introduce a two-stage training strategy that significantly improves individual-frame quality and performance in low-data regimes. Experimental results show our method outperforms the previous approach of Nath et al. by 19.3% in MAE, 16.2% in PSNR, and 36.1% in SSIM. Most notably, we extend the reliable forecasting horizon from 36 to 50 hours. Through comprehensive evaluation using both traditional metrics and Fréchet Video Distance (FVD), we demonstrate that our approach produces more temporally coherent forecasts while maintaining competitive single-frame quality. Code accessible at https://github.com/Ren-creater/forecast-video-diffmodels.