Constantinos Siettos

Seungjoon Lee, Yorgos M. Psarellis, Constantinos I. Siettos et al.

We propose a machine learning framework for the data-driven discovery of macroscopic chemotactic Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) -- and the closures that lead to them -- from high-fidelity, individual-based stochastic simulations of E.coli bacterial motility. The fine scale, detailed, hybrid (continuum - Monte Carlo) simulation model embodies the underlying biophysics, and its parameters are informed from experimental observations of individual cells. We exploit Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) within a Gaussian Process framework for the identification of a parsimonious set of collective observables that parametrize the law of the effective PDEs. Using these observables, in a second step we learn effective, coarse-grained "Keller-Segel class" chemotactic PDEs using machine learning regressors: (a) (shallow) feedforward neural networks and (b) Gaussian Processes. The learned laws can be black-box (when no prior knowledge about the PDE law structure is assumed) or gray-box when parts of the equation (e.g. the pure diffusion part) is known and "hardwired" in the regression process. We also discuss data-driven corrections (both additive and functional) of analytically known, approximate closures.

Hector Vargas Alvarez, Gianluca Fabiani, Nikolaos Kazantzis et al.

We present a physics-informed machine learning (PIML) scheme for the feedback linearization of nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems. The PIML finds the nonlinear transformation law, thus ensuring stability via pole placement, in one step. In order to facilitate convergence in the presence of steep gradients in the nonlinear transformation law, we address a greedy-wise training procedure. We assess the performance of the proposed PIML approach via a benchmark nonlinear discrete map for which the feedback linearization transformation law can be derived analytically; the example is characterized by steep gradients, due to the presence of singularities, in the domain of interest. We show that the proposed PIML outperforms, in terms of numerical approximation accuracy, the traditional numerical implementation, which involves the construction--and the solution in terms of the coefficients of a power-series expansion--of a system of homological equations as well as the implementation of the PIML in the entire domain, thus highlighting the importance of continuation techniques in the training procedure of PIML.

Gianluca Fabiani, Evangelos Galaris, Lucia Russo et al.

We address a physics-informed neural network based on the concept of random projections for the numerical solution of IVPs of nonlinear ODEs in linear-implicit form and index-1 DAEs, which may also arise from the spatial discretization of PDEs. The scheme has a single hidden layer with appropriately randomly parametrized Gaussian kernels and a linear output layer, while the internal weights are fixed to ones. The unknown weights between the hidden and output layer are computed by Newton's iterations, using the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse for low to medium, and sparse QR decomposition with regularization for medium to large scale systems. To deal with stiffness and sharp gradients, we propose a variable step size scheme for adjusting the interval of integration and address a continuation method for providing good initial guesses for the Newton iterations. Based on previous works on random projections, we prove the approximation capability of the scheme for ODEs in the canonical form and index-1 DAEs in the semiexplicit form. The optimal bounds of the uniform distribution are parsimoniously chosen based on the bias-variance trade-off. The performance of the scheme is assessed through seven benchmark problems: four index-1 DAEs, the Robertson model, a model of five DAEs describing the motion of a bead, a model of six DAEs describing a power discharge control problem, the chemical Akzo Nobel problem and three stiff problems, the Belousov-Zhabotinsky, the Allen-Cahn PDE and the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky PDE. The efficiency of the scheme is compared with three solvers ode23t, ode23s, ode15s of the MATLAB ODE suite. Our results show that the proposed scheme outperforms the stiff solvers in several cases, especially in regimes where high stiffness or sharp gradients arise in terms of numerical accuracy, while the computational costs are for any practical purposes comparable.

Gianluca Fabiani, Nikolaos Evangelou, Tianqi Cui et al.

We present a machine learning (ML)-assisted framework bridging manifold learning, neural networks, Gaussian processes, and Equation-Free multiscale modeling, for (a) detecting tipping points in the emergent behavior of complex systems, and (b) characterizing probabilities of rare events (here, catastrophic shifts) near them. Our illustrative example is an event-driven, stochastic agent-based model (ABM) describing the mimetic behavior of traders in a simple financial market. Given high-dimensional spatiotemporal data -- generated by the stochastic ABM -- we construct reduced-order models for the emergent dynamics at different scales: (a) mesoscopic Integro-Partial Differential Equations (IPDEs); and (b) mean-field-type Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) embedded in a low-dimensional latent space, targeted to the neighborhood of the tipping point. We contrast the uses of the different models and the effort involved in learning them.

Dimitrios G. Patsatzis, Lucia Russo, Ioannis G. Kevrekidis et al.

We present an Equation/Variable free machine learning (EVFML) framework for the control of the collective dynamics of complex/multiscale systems modelled via microscopic/agent-based simulators. The approach obviates the need for construction of surrogate, reduced-order models.~The proposed implementation consists of three steps: (A) from high-dimensional agent-based simulations, machine learning (in particular, non-linear manifold learning (Diffusion Maps (DMs)) helps identify a set of coarse-grained variables that parametrize the low-dimensional manifold on which the emergent/collective dynamics evolve. The out-of-sample extension and pre-image problems, i.e. the construction of non-linear mappings from the high-dimensional input space to the low-dimensional manifold and back, are solved by coupling DMs with the Nystrom extension and Geometric Harmonics, respectively; (B) having identified the manifold and its coordinates, we exploit the Equation-free approach to perform numerical bifurcation analysis of the emergent dynamics; then (C) based on the previous steps, we design data-driven embedded wash-out controllers that drive the agent-based simulators to their intrinsic, imprecisely known, emergent open-loop unstable steady-states, thus demonstrating that the scheme is robust against numerical approximation errors and modelling uncertainty.~The efficiency of the framework is illustrated by controlling emergent unstable (i) traveling waves of a deterministic agent-based model of traffic dynamics, and (ii) equilibria of a stochastic financial market agent model with mimesis.

Ioannis K. Gallos, Daniel Lehmberg, Felix Dietrich et al.

We propose a machine-learning approach to model long-term out-of-sample dynamics of brain activity from task-dependent fMRI data. Our approach is a three stage one. First, we exploit Diffusion maps (DMs) to discover a set of variables that parametrize the low-dimensional manifold on which the emergent high-dimensional fMRI time series evolve. Then, we construct reduced-order-models (ROMs) on the embedded manifold via two techniques: Feedforward Neural Networks (FNNs) and the Koopman operator. Finally, for predicting the out-of-sample long-term dynamics of brain activity in the ambient fMRI space, we solve the pre-image problem coupling DMs with Geometric Harmonics (GH) when using FNNs and the Koopman modes per se. For our illustrations, we have assessed the performance of the two proposed schemes using a benchmark fMRI dataset with recordings during a visuo-motor task. The results suggest that just a few (for the particular task, five) non-linear coordinates of the high-dimensional fMRI time series provide a good basis for modelling and out-of-sample prediction of the brain activity. Furthermore, we show that the proposed approaches outperform the one-step ahead predictions of the naive random walk model, which, in contrast to our scheme, relies on the knowledge of the signals in the previous time step. Importantly, we show that the proposed Koopman operator approach provides, for any practical purposes, equivalent results to the FNN-GH approach, thus bypassing the need to train a non-linear map and to use GH to extrapolate predictions in the ambient fMRI space; one can use instead the low-frequency truncation of the DMs function space of L^2-integrable functions, to predict the entire list of coordinate functions in the fMRI space and to solve the pre-image problem.

Dimitrios G. Patsatzis, Gianluca Fabiani, Lucia Russo et al.

We present a physics-informed machine-learning (PIML) approach for the approximation of slow invariant manifolds (SIMs) of singularly perturbed systems, providing functionals in an explicit form that facilitate the construction and numerical integration of reduced order models (ROMs). The proposed scheme solves a partial differential equation corresponding to the invariance equation (IE) within the Geometric Singular Perturbation Theory (GSPT) framework. For the solution of the IE, we used two neural network structures, namely feedforward neural networks (FNNs), and random projection neural networks (RPNNs), with symbolic differentiation for the computation of the gradients required for the learning process. The efficiency of our PIML method is assessed via three benchmark problems, namely the Michaelis-Menten, the target mediated drug disposition reaction mechanism, and the 3D Sel'kov model. We show that the proposed PIML scheme provides approximations, of equivalent or even higher accuracy, than those provided by other traditional GSPT-based methods, and importantly, for any practical purposes, it is not affected by the magnitude of the perturbation parameter. This is of particular importance, as there are many systems for which the gap between the fast and slow timescales is not that big, but still ROMs can be constructed. A comparison of the computational costs between symbolic, automatic and numerical approximation of the required derivatives in the learning process is also provided.

Katiana Kontolati, Constantinos Siettos

We perform one and two-parameter numerical bifurcation analysis of a mechanotransduction model approximating the dynamics of mesenchymal stem cell differentiation into neurons, adipocytes, myocytes and osteoblasts. For our analysis, we use as bifurcation parameters the stiffness of the extracellular matrix and parameters linked with the positive feedback mechanisms that up-regulate the production of the YAP/TAZ transcriptional regulators (TRs) and the cell adhesion area. Our analysis reveals a rich nonlinear behaviour of the cell differentiation including regimes of hysteresis and multistability, stable oscillations of the effective adhesion area, the YAP/TAZ TRs and the PPAR$γ$ receptors associated with the adipogenic fate, as well as homoclinic bifurcations that interrupt relatively high-amplitude oscillations abruptly. The two-parameter bifurcation analysis of the Andronov-Hopf points that give birth to the oscillating patterns predicts their existence for soft extracellular substrates ($<1kPa$), a regime that favours the neurogenic and the adipogenic cell fate. Furthermore, in these regimes, the analysis reveals the presence of homoclinic bifurcations that result in the sudden loss of the stable oscillations of the cell-substrate adhesion towards weaker adhesion and high expression levels of the gene encoding Tubulin beta-3 chain, thus favouring the phase transition from the adipogenic to the neurogenic fate.

Kyriakos C. Georgiou, Constantinos Siettos, Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We generalize the framework of Fredholm Neural Networks, to learn non-expansive integral operators arising in Fredholm Integral Equations (FIEs) of the second kind in arbitrary dimensions. We first present the proposed Fredholm Integral Neural Operators (FREDINOs), for FIEs and prove that they are universal approximators of linear and non-linear integral operators and corresponding solution operators. We furthermore prove that the learned operators are guaranteed to be contractive, thereby strictly satisfying the mathematical property required for the convergence of the fixed point scheme. Finally, we also demonstrate how FREDINOs can be used to learn the solution operator of non-linear elliptic PDEs, via a Boundary Integral Equation (BIE) formulation. We assess the proposed methodology numerically, via several benchmark problems: linear and non-linear FIEs in arbitrary dimensions, as well as a non-linear elliptic PDE in 2D. Built on tailored mathematical/numerical analysis theory, FREDINOs offer high-accuracy approximations and interpretable schemes, making them well suited for scientific machine learning/numerical analysis computations.

Kyriakos Georgiou, Gianluca Fabiani, Constantinos Siettos et al.

We deal with the solution of the forward problem for high-dimensional parabolic PDEs with random feature (projection) neural networks (RFNNs). We first prove that there exists a single-hidden layer neural network with randomized heat-kernels arising from the fundamental solution (Green's functions) of the heat operator, that we call HEATNET, that provides an unbiased universal approximator to the solution of parabolic PDEs in arbitrary (high) dimensions, with the rate of convergence being analogous to the ${O}(N^{-1/2})$, where $N$ is the size of HEATNET. Thus, HEATNETs are explainable schemes, based on the analytical framework of parabolic PDEs, exploiting insights from physics-informed neural networks aided by numerical and functional analysis, and the structure of the corresponding solution operators. Importantly, we show how HEATNETs can be scaled up for the efficient numerical solution of arbitrary high-dimensional parabolic PDEs using suitable transformations and importance Monte Carlo sampling of the integral representation of the solution, in order to deal with the singularities of the heat kernel around the collocation points. We evaluate the performance of HEATNETs through benchmark linear parabolic problems up to 2,000 dimensions. We show that HEATNETs result in remarkable accuracy with the order of the approximation error ranging from $1.0E-05$ to $1.0E-07$ for problems up to 500 dimensions, and of the order of $1.0E-04$ to $1.0E-03$ for 1,000 to 2,000 dimensions, with a relatively low number (up to 15,000) of features.

Gianluca Fabiani, Erik Bollt, Constantinos Siettos et al.

We present a linear stability analysis of physics-informed random projection neural networks (PI-RPNNs), for the numerical solution of {the initial value problem (IVP)} of (stiff) ODEs. We begin by proving that PI-RPNNs are uniform approximators of the solution to ODEs. We then provide a constructive proof demonstrating that PI-RPNNs offer consistent and asymptotically stable numerical schemes, thus convergent schemes. In particular, we prove that multi-collocation PI-RPNNs guarantee asymptotic stability. Our theoretical results are illustrated via numerical solutions of benchmark examples including indicative comparisons with the backward Euler method, the midpoint method, the trapezoidal rule, the 2-stage Gauss scheme, and the 2- and 3-stage Radau schemes.

Dimitrios G. Patsatzis, Alessandro Della Pia, Lucia Russo et al.

We introduce RANDSMAPs (Random-feature/multi-scale neural decoders with Mass Preservation), numerical analysis-informed, explainable neural decoders designed to explicitly respect conservation laws when solving the challenging ill-posed pre-image problem in manifold learning. We start by proving the equivalence of vanilla random Fourier feature neural networks to Radial Basis Function interpolation and the double Diffusion Maps (based on Geometric Harmonics) decoders in the deterministic limit. We then establish the theoretical foundations for RANDSMAP and introduce its multiscale variant to capture structures across multiple scales. We formulate and derive the closed-form solution of the corresponding constrained optimization problem and prove the mass preservation property. Numerically, we assess the performance of RANDSMAP on three benchmark problems/datasets with mass preservation obtained by the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards traffic flow PDE with shock waves, 2D rotated MRI brain images, and the Hughes crowd dynamics PDEs. We demonstrate that RANDSMAPs yield high reconstruction accuracy at low computational cost and maintain mass conservation at single-machine precision. In its vanilla formulation, the scheme remains applicable to the classical pre-image problem, i.e., when mass-preservation constraints are not imposed.

Hector Vargas Alvarez, Gianluca Fabiani, Ioannis G. Kevrekidis et al.

We use Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to solve the discrete-time nonlinear observer state estimation problem. Integrated within a single-step exact observer linearization framework, the proposed PINN approach aims at learning a nonlinear state transformation map by solving a system of inhomogeneous functional equations. The performance of the proposed PINN approach is assessed via two illustrative case studies for which the observer linearizing transformation map can be derived analytically. We also perform an uncertainty quantification analysis for the proposed PINN scheme and we compare it with conventional power-series numerical implementations, which rely on the computation of a power series solution.

Gianluca Fabiani, Hannes Vandecasteele, Somdatta Goswami et al.

Neural Operators (NOs) provide a powerful framework for computations involving physical laws that can be modelled by (integro-) partial differential equations (PDEs), directly learning maps between infinite-dimensional function spaces that bypass both the explicit equation identification and their subsequent numerical solving. Still, NOs have so far primarily been employed to explore the dynamical behavior as surrogates of brute-force temporal simulations/predictions. Their potential for systematic rigorous numerical system-level tasks, such as fixed-point, stability, and bifurcation analysis - crucial for predicting irreversible transitions in real-world phenomena - remains largely unexplored. Toward this aim, inspired by the Equation-Free multiscale framework, we propose and implement a framework that integrates (local) NOs with advanced iterative numerical methods in the Krylov subspace, so as to perform efficient system-level stability and bifurcation analysis of large-scale dynamical systems. Beyond fixed point, stability, and bifurcation analysis enabled by local in time NOs, we also demonstrate the usefulness of local in space as well as in space-time ("patch") NOs in accelerating the computer-aided analysis of spatiotemporal dynamics. We illustrate our framework via three nonlinear PDE benchmarks: the 1D Allen-Cahn equation, which undergoes multiple concatenated pitchfork bifurcations; the Liouville-Bratu-Gelfand PDE, which features a saddle-node tipping point; and the FitzHugh-Nagumo (FHN) model, consisting of two coupled PDEs that exhibit both Hopf and saddle-node bifurcations.

Dimitrios G. Patsatzis, Mario di Bernardo, Lucia Russo et al.

We present GoRINNs: numerical analysis-informed (shallow) neural networks for the solution of inverse problems of non-linear systems of conservation laws. GoRINNs is a hybrid/blended machine learning scheme based on high-resolution Godunov schemes for the solution of the Riemann problem in hyperbolic Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). In contrast to other existing machine learning methods that learn the numerical fluxes or just parameters of conservative Finite Volume methods, relying on deep neural networks (that may lead to poor approximations due to the computational complexity involved in their training), GoRINNs learn the closures of the conservation laws per se based on "intelligently" numerical-assisted shallow neural networks. Due to their structure, in particular, GoRINNs provide explainable, conservative schemes, that solve the inverse problem for hyperbolic PDEs, on the basis of approximate Riemann solvers that satisfy the Rankine-Hugoniot condition. The performance of GoRINNs is assessed via four benchmark problems, namely the Burgers', the Shallow Water, the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards and the Payne-Whitham traffic flow models. The solution profiles of these PDEs exhibit shock waves, rarefactions and/or contact discontinuities at finite times. We demonstrate that GoRINNs provide a very high accuracy both in the smooth and discontinuous regions.

Dimitrios G. Patsatzis, Lucia Russo, Constantinos Siettos

We present a physics-informed neural network (PINN) approach for the discovery of slow invariant manifolds (SIMs), for the most general class of fast/slow dynamical systems of ODEs. In contrast to other machine learning (ML) approaches that construct reduced order black box surrogate models using simple regression, and/or require a priori knowledge of the fast and slow variables, our approach, simultaneously decomposes the vector field into fast and slow components and provides a functional of the underlying SIM in a closed form. The decomposition is achieved by finding a transformation of the state variables to the fast and slow ones, which enables the derivation of an explicit, in terms of fast variables, SIM functional. The latter is obtained by solving a PDE corresponding to the invariance equation within the Geometric Singular Perturbation Theory (GSPT) using a single-layer feedforward neural network with symbolic differentiation. The performance of the proposed physics-informed ML framework is assessed via three benchmark problems: the Michaelis-Menten, the target mediated drug disposition (TMDD) reaction model and a fully competitive substrate-inhibitor(fCSI) mechanism. We also provide a comparison with other GPST methods, namely the quasi steady state approximation (QSSA), the partial equilibrium approximation (PEA) and CSP with one and two iterations. We show that the proposed PINN scheme provides SIM approximations, of equivalent or even higher accuracy, than those provided by QSSA, PEA and CSP, especially close to the boundaries of the underlying SIMs.

Gianluca Fabiani, Constantinos Siettos, Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

The control of high-dimensional distributed parameter systems (DPS) remains a challenge when explicit coarse-grained equations are unavailable. Classical equation-free (EF) approaches rely on fine-scale simulators treated as black-box timesteppers. However, repeated simulations for steady-state computation, linearization, and control design are often computationally prohibitive, or the microscopic timestepper may not even be available, leaving us with data as the only resource. We propose a data-driven alternative that uses local neural operators, trained on spatiotemporal microscopic/mesoscopic data, to obtain efficient short-time solution operators. These surrogates are employed within Krylov subspace methods to compute coarse steady and unsteady-states, while also providing Jacobian information in a matrix-free manner. Krylov-Arnoldi iterations then approximate the dominant eigenspectrum, yielding reduced models that capture the open-loop slow dynamics without explicit Jacobian assembly. Both discrete-time Linear Quadratic Regulator (dLQR) and pole-placement (PP) controllers are based on this reduced system and lifted back to the full nonlinear dynamics, thereby closing the feedback loop.

Kyriakos Georgiou, Constantinos Siettos, Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

Building on our previous work introducing Fredholm Neural Networks (Fredholm NNs/ FNNs) for solving integral equations, we extend the framework to tackle forward and inverse problems for linear and semi-linear elliptic partial differential equations. The proposed scheme consists of a deep neural network (DNN) which is designed to represent the iterative process of fixed-point iterations for the solution of elliptic PDEs using the boundary integral method within the framework of potential theory. The number of layers, weights, biases and hyperparameters are computed in an explainable manner based on the iterative scheme, and we therefore refer to this as the Potential Fredholm Neural Network (PFNN). We show that this approach ensures both accuracy and explainability, achieving small errors in the interior of the domain, and near machine-precision on the boundary. We provide a constructive proof for the consistency of the scheme and provide explicit error bounds for both the interior and boundary of the domain, reflected in the layers of the PFNN. These error bounds depend on the approximation of the boundary function and the integral discretization scheme, both of which directly correspond to components of the Fredholm NN architecture. In this way, we provide an explainable scheme that explicitly respects the boundary conditions. We assess the performance of the proposed scheme for the solution of both the forward and inverse problem for linear and semi-linear elliptic PDEs in two dimensions.

Dimitrios G. Patsatzis, Nikolaos Kazantzis, Ioannis G. Kevrekidis et al.

We propose a hybrid machine learning scheme to learn -- in physics-informed and numerical analysis-informed fashion -- invariant manifolds (IM) of discrete maps for constructing reduced-order models (ROMs) for dynamical systems. The proposed scheme combines polynomial series with shallow neural networks, exploiting the complementary strengths of both approaches. Polynomials enable an efficient and accurate modeling of ROMs with guaranteed local exponential convergence rate around the fixed point, where, under certain assumptions, the IM is demonstrated to be analytic. Neural networks provide approximations to more complex structures beyond the reach of the polynomials' convergence. We evaluate the efficiency of the proposed scheme using three benchmark examples, examining convergence behavior, numerical approximation accuracy, and computational training cost. Additionally, we compare the IM approximations obtained solely with neural networks and with polynomial expansions. We demonstrate that the proposed hybrid scheme outperforms both pure polynomial approximations (power series, Legendre and Chebyshev polynomials) and standalone shallow neural network approximations in terms of numerical approximation accuracy.

Gianluca Fabiani, Ioannis G. Kevrekidis, Constantinos Siettos et al.

Deep Operator Networks (DeepOnets) have revolutionized the domain of scientific machine learning for the solution of the inverse problem for dynamical systems. However, their implementation necessitates optimizing a high-dimensional space of parameters and hyperparameters. This fact, along with the requirement of substantial computational resources, poses a barrier to achieving high numerical accuracy. Here, inpsired by DeepONets and to address the above challenges, we present Random Projection-based Operator Networks (RandONets): shallow networks with random projections that learn linear and nonlinear operators. The implementation of RandONets involves: (a) incorporating random bases, thus enabling the use of shallow neural networks with a single hidden layer, where the only unknowns are the output weights of the network's weighted inner product; this reduces dramatically the dimensionality of the parameter space; and, based on this, (b) using established least-squares solvers (e.g., Tikhonov regularization and preconditioned QR decomposition) that offer superior numerical approximation properties compared to other optimization techniques used in deep-learning. In this work, we prove the universal approximation accuracy of RandONets for approximating nonlinear operators and demonstrate their efficiency in approximating linear nonlinear evolution operators (right-hand-sides (RHS)) with a focus on PDEs. We show, that for this particular task, RandONets outperform, both in terms of numerical approximation accuracy and computational cost, the ``vanilla" DeepOnets.

Evangelos Galaris, Gianluca Fabiani, Ioannis Gallos et al.

We address a three-tier data-driven approach to solve the inverse problem in complex systems modelling from spatio-temporal data produced by microscopic simulators using machine learning. In the first step, we exploit manifold learning and in particular parsimonious Diffusion Maps using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) to both identify the intrinsic dimension of the manifold where the emergent dynamics evolve and for feature selection over the parametric space. In the second step, based on the selected features, we learn the right-hand-side of the effective partial differential equations (PDEs) using two machine learning schemes, namely shallow Feedforward Neural Networks (FNNs) with two hidden layers and single-layer Random Projection Networks(RPNNs) which basis functions are constructed using an appropriate random sampling approach. Finally, based on the learned black-box PDE model, we construct the corresponding bifurcation diagram, thus exploiting the numerical bifurcation analysis toolkit. For our illustrations, we implemented the proposed method to construct the one-parameter bifurcation diagram of the 1D FitzHugh-Nagumo PDEs from data generated by $D1Q3$ Lattice Boltzmann simulations. The proposed method was quite effective in terms of numerical accuracy regarding the construction of the coarse-scale bifurcation diagram. Furthermore, the proposed RPNN scheme was $\sim$ 20 to 30 times less costly regarding the training phase than the traditional shallow FNNs, thus arising as a promising alternative to deep learning for solving the inverse problem for high-dimensional PDEs.

Panagiotis Papaioannou, Ronen Talmon, Ioannis Kevrekidis et al.

We address a three-tier numerical framework based on manifold learning for the forecasting of high-dimensional time series. At the first step, we embed the time series into a reduced low-dimensional space using a nonlinear manifold learning algorithm such as Locally Linear Embedding and Diffusion Maps. At the second step, we construct reduced-order regression models on the manifold, in particular Multivariate Autoregressive (MVAR) and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) models, to forecast the embedded dynamics. At the final step, we lift the embedded time series back to the original high-dimensional space using Radial Basis Functions interpolation and Geometric Harmonics. For our illustrations, we test the forecasting performance of the proposed numerical scheme with four sets of time series: three synthetic stochastic ones resembling EEG signals produced from linear and nonlinear stochastic models with different model orders, and one real-world data set containing daily time series of 10 key foreign exchange rates (FOREX) spanning the time period 03/09/2001-29/10/2020. The forecasting performance of the proposed numerical scheme is assessed using the combinations of manifold learning, modelling and lifting approaches. We also provide a comparison with the Principal Component Analysis algorithm as well as with the naive random walk model and the MVAR and GPR models trained and implemented directly in the high-dimensional space.

Evangelos Galaris, Gianluca Fabiani, Francesco Calabrò et al.

We propose a numerical method based on physics-informed Random Projection Neural Networks for the solution of Initial Value Problems (IVPs) of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) with a focus on stiff problems. We address an Extreme Learning Machine with a single hidden layer with radial basis functions having as widths uniformly distributed random variables, while the values of the weights between the input and the hidden layer are set equal to one. The numerical solution of the IVPs is obtained by constructing a system of nonlinear algebraic equations, which is solved with respect to the output weights by the Gauss-Newton method, using a simple adaptive scheme for adjusting the time interval of integration. To assess its performance, we apply the proposed method for the solution of four benchmark stiff IVPs, namely the Prothero-Robinson, van der Pol, ROBER and HIRES problems. Our method is compared with an adaptive Runge-Kutta method based on the Dormand-Prince pair, and a variable-step variable-order multistep solver based on numerical differentiation formulas, as implemented in the \texttt{ode45} and \texttt{ode15s} MATLAB functions, respectively. We show that the proposed scheme yields good approximation accuracy, thus outperforming \texttt{ode45} and \texttt{ode15s}, especially in the cases where steep gradients arise. Furthermore, the computational times of our approach are comparable with those of the two MATLAB solvers for practical purposes.

Ioannis Gallos, Evangelos Galaris, Constantinos Siettos

We construct embedded functional connectivity networks (FCN) from benchmark resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rsfMRI) data acquired from patients with schizophrenia and healthy controls based on linear and nonlinear manifold learning algorithms, namely, Multidimensional Scaling (MDS), Isometric Feature Mapping (ISOMAP) and Diffusion Maps. Furthermore, based on key global graph-theoretical properties of the embedded FCN, we compare their classification potential using machine learning techniques. We also assess the performance of two metrics that are widely used for the construction of FCN from fMRI, namely the Euclidean distance and the lagged cross-correlation metric. We show that the FCN constructed with Diffusion Maps and the lagged cross-correlation metric outperform the other combinations.