Paweł Polak

Haohan Xu, Jason Bohne, Pawel Polak et al.

We study the detection of transient liquidity erosion ("crumbling quotes") in electronic limit order books, where observable quote deterioration may reflect either mechanical liquidity withdrawal or informational repricing. Using the ABIDES agent-based simulator, we construct a multi-agent environment in which crumbling emerges from stochastic regime switches in a market maker, providing time-resolved ground truth unavailable in real market data. We develop a detection pipeline that identifies mechanically driven quote erosion using order book features, and train a neural model to produce calibrated crumbling probabilities. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed framework reliably identifies crumbling events against agent-level ground truth, with the neural model achieving +36% AUC improvement over rule-based baselines and robust performance across normal, high-volatility, bull, and bear market conditions. Ablation studies on temporal features and varying the dependence structure of the ground-truth mechanism confirm that the framework generalizes across both independent and autocorrelated liquidity withdrawal dynamics.

Ruolan Sun, Pawel Polak

Inference-time alignment of pretrained text-to-image models is typically performed along a single control axis, such as classifier-free guidance, attention editing, or reward-based latent perturbations. This limitation prevents modeling joint dependencies between conditioning and latent variables and hinders transfer across generative transports. We propose PG-MAP, a training-free framework that formulates inference-time alignment as a trajectory-level Gibbs-MAP / proximal energy optimization over the conditioning $c$ and latent state $z_t$ via a forward-consistency coupling, optionally guided by a frozen preference reward. This joint formulation enables coordinated updates across modalities while remaining compatible with both diffusion and flow-matching models through transport-specific adaptations. Across diffusion backbones (SD~1.5, SDXL), PG-MAP consistently improves alignment metrics such as PickScore and Aesthetic, and can be effectively combined with tuned classifier-free guidance to achieve the strongest overall performance. On flow-matching models (SD3.5-medium), the framework reduces to a latent-only variant, achieving $\mathbf{91.9\%}$ PickScore and $75.7\%$ HPS win rates against a static baseline, with controlled experiments ruling out noise-related artifacts. Human evaluations further confirm consistent preference over strong baselines, including tuned CFG and compute-matched universal guidance. Finally, an oracle-routing analysis shows that the relative importance of conditioning and latent optimization depends on prompt types, surfacing further headroom that a per-prompt selector could exploit.

Jason Bohne, Pawel Polak, David Rosenberg et al.

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) has recently emerged as a simple and effective alternative to reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) for aligning large language models (LLMs) with user preferences. However, existing DPO formulations rely on a single monolithic model, which limits their expressivity in multi-task settings and their adaptability to heterogeneous or diverse preference distributions. In this work, we propose Mix- and MoE-DPO, a framework that extends DPO with both soft mixture models and mixture-of-experts (MoE) architectures, using a stochastic variational inference approach. Our method introduces a latent-variable model over expert assignments and optimizes a variational evidence lower bound (ELBO), enabling stable and efficient learning of specialized expert policies from preference data. Mix- and MoE-DPO provides three key advantages over standard DPO: (i) generalization via universal function approximation through mixtures; (ii) reward and policy specialization through expert components tailored to distinct preference modes; and (iii) contextual alignment through input-dependent soft gating that enables user-specific mixture policies. Our framework supports both shared base architectures with expert-specific policy heads and fully independent expert models, allowing flexible trade-offs between parameter efficiency and specialization. We validate our approach on a variety of model sizes and multi-preference datasets, demonstrating that Mix- and MoE-DPO offers a powerful and scalable method for preference-based LLM alignment.