9.4LGFeb 5, 2025Code
Pre-training Epidemic Time Series Forecasters with Compartmental PrototypesZewen Liu, Juntong Ni, Max S. Y. Lau et al.
Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for outbreak preparedness, but existing data-driven models are often brittle. Typically trained on a single pathogen, they struggle with data scarcity during new outbreaks and fail under distribution shifts caused by viral evolution or interventions. However, decades of surveillance data from diverse diseases offer an untapped source of transferable knowledge. To leverage the collective lessons from history, we propose CAPE, the first open-source pre-trained model for epidemic forecasting. Unlike existing time series foundation models that overlook epidemiological challenges, CAPE models epidemic dynamics as mixtures of latent population states, termed compartmental prototypes. It discovers a flexible dictionary of compartment prototypes directly from surveillance data, enabling each outbreak to be expressed as a time-varying mixture that links observed infections to latent population states. To promote robust generalization, CAPE combines self-supervised pre-training objectives with lightweight epidemic-aware regularizers that align the learned prototypes with epidemiological semantics. On a comprehensive benchmark spanning 17 diseases and 50+ regions, CAPE significantly outperforms strong baselines in zero-shot, few-shot, and full-shot forecasting. This work represents a principled step toward pre-trained epidemic models that are both transferable and epidemiologically grounded.
16.4LGAug 18, 2024
Threshold Filtering Packing for Supervised Fine-Tuning: Training Related Samples within PacksJiancheng Dong, Lei Jiang, Wei Jin et al.
Packing for Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) in autoregressive models involves concatenating data points of varying lengths until reaching the designed maximum length to facilitate GPU processing. However, randomly concatenating data points can lead to cross-contamination of sequences due to the significant difference in their subject matter. The mainstream approaches in SFT ensure that each token in the attention calculation phase only focuses on tokens within its own short sequence, without providing additional learning signals for the preceding context. To address these challenges, we introduce Threshold Filtering Packing (TFP), a method that selects samples with related context while maintaining sufficient diversity within the same pack. Our experiments show that TFP offers a simple-to-implement and scalable approach that significantly enhances SFT performance, with observed improvements of up to 7\% on GSM8K, 4\% on HumanEval. Furthermore, results from bias benchmark datasets highlight TFP's promising performance in improving fairness while also boosting prediction accuracy by 15\%.
2.0CVJun 14, 2024
Asymmetrical Siamese Network for Point Clouds Normal EstimationWei Jin, Jun Zhou, Nannan Li et al.
In recent years, deep learning-based point cloud normal estimation has made great progress. However, existing methods mainly rely on the PCPNet dataset, leading to overfitting. In addition, the correlation between point clouds with different noise scales remains unexplored, resulting in poor performance in cross-domain scenarios. In this paper, we explore the consistency of intrinsic features learned from clean and noisy point clouds using an Asymmetric Siamese Network architecture. By applying reasonable constraints between features extracted from different branches, we enhance the quality of normal estimation. Moreover, we introduce a novel multi-view normal estimation dataset that includes a larger variety of shapes with different noise levels. Evaluation of existing methods on this new dataset reveals their inability to adapt to different types of shapes, indicating a degree of overfitting. Extensive experiments show that the proposed dataset poses significant challenges for point cloud normal estimation and that our feature constraint mechanism effectively improves upon existing methods and reduces overfitting in current architectures.