Zhendong Guo, Yew-Soon Ong, Tiantian He et al.
Bayesian optimization (BO) is well known to be sample-efficient for solving black-box problems. However, the BO algorithms can sometimes get stuck in suboptimal solutions even with plenty of samples. Intrinsically, such suboptimal problem of BO can attribute to the poor surrogate accuracy of the trained Gaussian process (GP), particularly that in the regions where the optimal solutions locate. Hence, we propose to build multiple GP models instead of a single GP surrogate to complement each other and thus resolving the suboptimal problem of BO. Nevertheless, according to the bias-variance tradeoff equation, the individual prediction errors can increase when increasing the diversity of models, which may lead to even worse overall surrogate accuracy. On the other hand, based on the theory of Rademacher complexity, it has been proved that exploiting the agreement of models on unlabeled information can help to reduce the complexity of the hypothesis space, and therefore achieving the required surrogate accuracy with fewer samples. Such value of model agreement has been extensively demonstrated for co-training style algorithms to boost model accuracy with a small portion of samples. Inspired by the above, we propose a novel BO algorithm labeled as co-learning BO (CLBO), which exploits both model diversity and agreement on unlabeled information to improve the overall surrogate accuracy with limited samples, and therefore achieving more efficient global optimization. Through tests on five numerical toy problems and three engineering benchmarks, the effectiveness of proposed CLBO has been well demonstrated.