LGNov 14, 2022
Evaluating Distribution System Reliability with Hyperstructures Graph Convolutional NetsYuzhou Chen, Tian Jiang, Miguel Heleno et al.
Nowadays, it is broadly recognized in the power system community that to meet the ever expanding energy sector's needs, it is no longer possible to rely solely on physics-based models and that reliable, timely and sustainable operation of energy systems is impossible without systematic integration of artificial intelligence (AI) tools. Nevertheless, the adoption of AI in power systems is still limited, while integration of AI particularly into distribution grid investment planning is still an uncharted territory. We make the first step forward to bridge this gap by showing how graph convolutional networks coupled with the hyperstructures representation learning framework can be employed for accurate, reliable, and computationally efficient distribution grid planning with resilience objectives. We further propose a Hyperstructures Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (Hyper-GCNNs) to capture hidden higher order representations of distribution networks with attention mechanism. Our numerical experiments show that the proposed Hyper-GCNNs approach yields substantial gains in computational efficiency compared to the prevailing methodology in distribution grid planning and also noticeably outperforms seven state-of-the-art models from deep learning (DL) community.
SYMar 28
Time Window-Based Netload Range Cost Curves for Coordinated Transmission and Distribution Planning Under UncertaintyYujia Li, Alexandre Moreira, Miguel Heleno
Mechanisms to coordinate transmission and distribution planning should be regulatory compliant and keep the spheres of DSO and TSO decisions separate, without requiring disclosure of proprietary data or unrealistic computationally expensive T&D co-simulations. The concept of Netload Range Cost Curves (NRCC) has been recently proposed as simple non-invasive form of coordinating T&D investments under distribution netload uncertainty. This paper extends the NRCC concept to accommodate the temporal dimension of the T&D planning process. We propose to compute a hierarchy of certified temporal interface products that represent the different levels of flexibility that distribution networks can provide transmission grids with at the planning stage. The first product (P1) maps distribution investment into scenario-robust, per-window service envelopes within which any TSO service call (to modify load within specified bounds) is guaranteed distribution-network-feasible. The second product (P2) adds lexicographic rebound minimization, preserving P1-optimal service capacity while certifying post-service recovery under three governance variants with qualitatively distinct rebound-budget responses. In our numerical results, based on a real distribution feeder, we compare the performance of our proposed time-window-based flexibility products to an atemporal product (P0) that offers a static bound on the aggregate distribution grid netload across all time periods. Our results demonstrate the superiority of our proposed products in properly valuing the benefits of incremental investments in storage to allow for temporal flexibility.
SYMar 31
From Net Load Modifiers to Firm Capacity: The Role of Distributed Energy Resources in Resource AdequacyYujia Li, Alexandre Moreira, Miguel Heleno
Distributed energy resources (DERs) such as rooftop solar, battery storage, and demand response offer substantial potential for power system reliability, yet integrating them into resource adequacy (RA) frameworks as firm capacity contributors remains difficult across jurisdictions. Existing analyses often treat these barriers as isolated technical problems at individual stages of the RA participation process, overlooking the cross-stage dependencies that prevent reforms at one stage from producing scalable participation. This paper introduces a four-gate compliance pathway (entry and classification, metering and verification, accreditation, and enforcement), preceded by an upstream forecasting layer, as a unified lens for tracing where DER capacity value is lost at the institutional interfaces between these stages. Using a document-grounded comparative synthesis of tariff provisions, compliance protocols, and regulatory documents across five jurisdictions spanning U.S. capacity markets and European capacity remuneration mechanisms, we show that these barriers persist despite substantial variation in market design and regulatory structure, indicating that the problem is structural rather than jurisdiction-specific. We identify three cross-stage coupling mechanisms that explain why gate-level reforms have repeatedly failed to scale DER participation, and derive coordination principles for end-to-end compliance redesign. The central finding is that compliance architecture, rather than DER technology itself, is the binding constraint on translating DER capability into firm RA contributions.
LGJan 23, 2025
Selecting Critical Scenarios of DER Adoption in Distribution Grids Using Bayesian OptimizationOlivier Mulkin, Miguel Heleno, Mike Ludkovski
We develop a new methodology to select scenarios of DER adoption most critical for distribution grids. Anticipating risks of future voltage and line flow violations due to additional PV adopters is central for utility investment planning but continues to rely on deterministic or ad hoc scenario selection. We propose a highly efficient search framework based on multi-objective Bayesian Optimization. We treat underlying grid stress metrics as computationally expensive black-box functions, approximated via Gaussian Process surrogates and design an acquisition function based on probability of scenarios being Pareto-critical across a collection of line- and bus-based violation objectives. Our approach provides a statistical guarantee and offers an order of magnitude speed-up relative to a conservative exhaustive search. Case studies on realistic feeders with 200-400 buses demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of our approach.