Zikang Zhou

Zikang Zhou, Zihao Wen, Jianping Wang et al.

Estimating the joint distribution of on-road agents' future trajectories is essential for autonomous driving. In this technical report, we propose a next-generation framework for joint multi-agent trajectory prediction called QCNeXt. First, we adopt the query-centric encoding paradigm for the task of joint multi-agent trajectory prediction. Powered by this encoding scheme, our scene encoder is equipped with permutation equivariance on the set elements, roto-translation invariance in the space dimension, and translation invariance in the time dimension. These invariance properties not only enable accurate multi-agent forecasting fundamentally but also empower the encoder with the capability of streaming processing. Second, we propose a multi-agent DETR-like decoder, which facilitates joint multi-agent trajectory prediction by modeling agents' interactions at future time steps. For the first time, we show that a joint prediction model can outperform marginal prediction models even on the marginal metrics, which opens up new research opportunities in trajectory prediction. Our approach ranks 1st on the Argoverse 2 multi-agent motion forecasting benchmark, winning the championship of the Argoverse Challenge at the CVPR 2023 Workshop on Autonomous Driving.

Zikang Zhou, Haibo Hu, Xinhong Chen et al.

Multimodal motion forecasting is inherently under-supervised: each training scene provides only one realized future, yet multiple plausible futures exist. This sparse supervision often leads to mode collapse (redundant hypotheses and insufficient mode coverage) and unreliable confidence ranking when predicting a small set of trajectories. We propose Mode-as-Sequence, a unified decoding framework that translates an unordered mode set into an ordered mode sequence and explicitly models mode-to-mode dependency. Under this framework, we develop two complementary instantiations. ModeSeq performs recurrent mode decoding, where each mode is generated conditioned on the previously generated modes, encouraging diverse, non-redundant hypotheses with calibrated confidence ordering. To remove the mode-by-mode autoregressive bottleneck, we further propose Parallel ModeSeq, which preserves the same causal dependency using masked mode-to-mode self-attention while decoding all modes in a single forward pass, enabling efficient large-$K$ inference and scalable joint-scene prediction. To learn representative modes and calibrated confidence under sparse labels, we introduce Early-Match-Take-All (EMTA) and its joint-scene extension MA-EMTA, together with a lightweight ranking regularizer that reduces confidence inversions. Extensive experiments on large-scale benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements in both ranking-oriented metrics and best-of-K accuracy across datasets, horizons, and object types. In the Waymo Open Dataset challenges, ModeSeq achieves 1st place in the 2024 LiDAR-free motion prediction track, and Parallel ModeSeq achieves 1st place in the 2025 Interaction Prediction Challenge, validating the effectiveness of Mode-as-Sequence for both accuracy and efficiency.

Jiacheng Zuo, Haibo Hu, Zikang Zhou et al.

In the pursuit of robust autonomous driving systems, models trained on real-world datasets often struggle to adapt to new environments, particularly when confronted with corner cases such as extreme weather conditions. Collecting these corner cases in the real world is non-trivial, which necessitates the use of simulators for validation. However,the high computational cost and the domain gap in data distribution have hindered the seamless transition between real and simulated driving scenarios. To tackle this challenge, we propose Retrieval-Augmented Learning for Autonomous Driving (RALAD), a novel framework designed to bridge the real-to-sim gap at a low cost. RALAD features three primary designs, including (1) domain adaptation via an enhanced Optimal Transport (OT) method that accounts for both individual and grouped image distances, (2) a simple and unified framework that can be applied to various models, and (3) efficient fine-tuning techniques that freeze the computationally expensive layers while maintaining robustness. Experimental results demonstrate that RALAD compensates for the performance degradation in simulated environments while maintaining accuracy in real-world scenarios across three different models. Taking Cross View as an example, the mIOU and mAP metrics in real-world scenarios remain stable before and after RALAD fine-tuning, while in simulated environments,the mIOU and mAP metrics are improved by 10.30% and 12.29%, respectively. Moreover, the re-training cost of our approach is reduced by approximately 88.1%. Our code is available at https://github.com/JiachengZuo/RALAD.git.

Fei Zuo, Zikang Zhou, Hao Cong et al.

Large language models cache all previously computed key-value (KV) pairs during generation, and this KV cache grows linearly with sequence length, making it a primary memory bottleneck for serving. Quantizing the KV cache to fewer bits reduces this cost, yet all current quantizers assign the same bit-width to every attention head, ignoring the large variation in head importance. A natural idea is to allocate more bits to important heads and fewer to the rest. We show, however, that such mixed-precision allocation has a hidden pitfall: each quantizer follows a different distortion curve D(b)=alpha*beta^{-b}, and the decay rate beta varies from 3.6 to 5.3 across quantizer designs. Applying one quantizer's distortion model to another inverts the allocation order and makes performance worse than uniform quantization. We call this failure mode distortion model mismatch and propose RateQuant to resolve it. RateQuant fits a per-quantizer distortion model from a small calibration set, then solves the resulting bit-allocation problem in closed form via reverse waterfilling from rate-distortion theory. On Qwen3-8B at 2.5 average bits, calibrated RateQuant reduces KIVI's perplexity from 49.3 to 14.9 (70% reduction) and improves QuaRot by 6.6 PPL. The entire calibration takes 1.6 s on a single GPU and adds zero overhead at inference time.

Zikang Zhou, Hengjian Zhou, Haibo Hu et al.

Anticipating the multimodality of future events lays the foundation for safe autonomous driving. However, multimodal motion prediction for traffic agents has been clouded by the lack of multimodal ground truth. Existing works predominantly adopt the winner-take-all training strategy to tackle this challenge, yet still suffer from limited trajectory diversity and uncalibrated mode confidence. While some approaches address these limitations by generating excessive trajectory candidates, they necessitate a post-processing stage to identify the most representative modes, a process lacking universal principles and compromising trajectory accuracy. We are thus motivated to introduce ModeSeq, a new multimodal prediction paradigm that models modes as sequences. Unlike the common practice of decoding multiple plausible trajectories in one shot, ModeSeq requires motion decoders to infer the next mode step by step, thereby more explicitly capturing the correlation between modes and significantly enhancing the ability to reason about multimodality. Leveraging the inductive bias of sequential mode prediction, we also propose the Early-Match-Take-All (EMTA) training strategy to diversify the trajectories further. Without relying on dense mode prediction or heuristic post-processing, ModeSeq considerably improves the diversity of multimodal output while attaining satisfactory trajectory accuracy, resulting in balanced performance on motion prediction benchmarks. Moreover, ModeSeq naturally emerges with the capability of mode extrapolation, which supports forecasting more behavior modes when the future is highly uncertain.