Joannes D. Maasakkers

Solomiia Kurchaba, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Berend J. Schuit et al.

Continuous and global detection of large methane emissions is a crucial step for global warming mitigation. Satellite observations, such as from S5P/TROPOMI, combined with plume detection algorithms, can play a key role in this effort. However, not all TROPOMI plume detections that look like methane emission plumes are the result of actual emissions. A significant part of the plume-like features in the data are retrieval artifacts. Such artifacts could be the result of variations in elevation or albedo gradients, high concentrations of aerosols, coastal lines, water bodies, etc. Previous work approached the problem of plume-artifact classification by means of a Support Vector Machine Classifier (SVC), trained on an extensive set of observation-based scalar features designed by domain experts. However, such an approach limits the information scope received by the algorithm to what is deemed to be important by the experts, breaks the spatial relationship between pixels, and loses information during the process of statistical aggregation. In this study, we compare feature-based (SVC, Random Forest, XGBoost) and image-based (ResNet-18, ResNet-34) models for methane plume-artifact classification under balanced and imbalanced evaluation settings. To interpret the results, we apply SHAP-based explainability to both model families. Our findings provide practical guidance for model selection in operational methane-screening workflows such as the CAMS Methane Hotspot Explorer.

Julia Wąsala, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Ilse Aben et al.

Most satellite images have systematically missing pixels (i.e., missing data not at random (MNAR)) due to factors such as clouds. If not addressed, these missing pixels can lead to representation bias in automated feature extraction models. In this work, we show that spurious association between the label and the number of missing values in methane plume detection can cause the model to associate the coverage (i.e., the percentage of valid pixels in an image) with the label, subsequently under-detecting plumes in low-coverage images. We evaluate multiple imputation approaches to remove the dependence between the coverage and a label. Additionally, we propose a weighted resampling scheme during training that removes the association between the label and the coverage by enforcing class balance in each coverage bin. Our results show that both resampling and imputation can significantly reduce the representation bias without hurting balanced accuracy, precision, or recall. Finally, we evaluate the capability of the debiased models using these techniques in an operational scenario and demonstrate that the debiased models have a higher chance of detecting plumes in low-coverage images.