Damian Hodel

Damian Hodel, Jevin West

In their recent Nature Human Behaviour paper, "Emergent analogical reasoning in large language models," (Webb, Holyoak, and Lu, 2023) the authors argue that "large language models such as GPT-3 have acquired an emergent ability to find zero-shot solutions to a broad range of analogy problems." In this response, we provide counterexamples of the letter string analogies. In our tests, GPT-3 fails to solve simplest variations of the original tasks, whereas human performance remains consistently high across all modified versions. Zero-shot reasoning is an extraordinary claim that requires extraordinary evidence. We do not see that evidence in our experiments. To strengthen claims of humanlike reasoning such as zero-shot reasoning, it is important that the field develop approaches that rule out data memorization.

Damian Hodel, Jevin West, Aylin Caliskan

Language models (LMs) exhibit problematic biases, such as stereotypes. Effectively analyzing and mitigating such biases requires accurate and generalizable evaluation methods of the underlying associations. Some existing approaches focus on downstream metrics that analyze associations in generated text. Since generated text content can vary drastically across LMs, such metrics often require specialized evaluation datasets, which limits the generalization of such downstream metrics. In contrast, upstream metrics examine LMs at the fundamental level of embeddings or continuation probabilities, enabling principled association analyses across LMs. Yet, to date, no upstream metric for generative LMs has uncovered a strong relationship with real-world associations, including those measured in generated text. To address this gap, we introduce the Relative Probability Association Metric (RPAM), an association evaluation metric for generative LMs. For three LMs of different quality of language generation and purpose (Mistral-7B-Instruct, Mistral-7B, and GPT-2) and well-studied evaluation datasets (WEAT-WS, Bellezza, WS-353, and SST2), we find a strong relationship between upstream RPAM measurements and corresponding implicit and explicit associations observed in humans, as well as biases measured downstream with LM-specific tasks, outperforming prior record values where applicable.