Jørn Eirik Betten

Helge Spieker, Jørn Eirik Betten, Arnaud Gotlieb

Multiple machine learning models can achieve near-equivalent predictive performance on the same task, yet provide divergent feature-based explanations. This is called the Rashomon effect of (explainable) machine learning, and it raises the question of which explanations, if any, are trustworthy. We propose a framework based on metamorphic testing that assesses explanation faithfulness without requiring ground-truth labels by exploring attributed feature importance from post-hoc explanation methods. Five metamorphic relations formalize expected consistency properties between model behavior and feature attributions. We apply this general framework to two tabular regression datasets and two post-hoc explainers (SHAP and LIME) to demonstrate the approach. The framework offers a practical, model-agnostic tool for selecting accurate models with reliable and trustworthy explanations.

Dennis Gross, Jørn Eirik Betten, Helge Spieker

The Rashomon effect describes the phenomenon where multiple models trained on the same data produce identical predictions while differing in which features they rely on internally. This effect has been studied extensively in classification tasks, but not in sequential decision-making, where an agent learns a policy to achieve an objective by taking actions in an environment. In this paper, we translate the Rashomon effect to sequential decision-making. We define it as multiple policies that exhibit identical behavior, visiting the same states and selecting the same actions, while differing in their internal structure, such as feature attributions. Verifying identical behavior in sequential decision-making differs from classification. In classification, predictions can be directly compared to ground-truth labels. In sequential decision-making with stochastic transitions, the same policy may succeed or fail on any single trajectory due to randomness. We address this using formal verification methods that construct and compare the complete probabilistic behavior of each policy in the environment. Our experiments demonstrate that the Rashomon effect exists in sequential decision-making. We further show that ensembles constructed from the Rashomon set exhibit greater robustness to distribution shifts than individual policies. Additionally, permissive policies derived from the Rashomon set reduce computational requirements for verification while maintaining optimal performance.

Helge Spieker, Jørn Eirik Betten, Arnaud Gotlieb et al.

Explainable AI (XAI) is essential for validating and trusting models in safety-critical applications like autonomous driving. However, the reliability of XAI is challenged by the Rashomon effect, where multiple, equally accurate models can offer divergent explanations for the same prediction. This paper provides the first empirical quantification of this effect for the task of action prediction in real-world driving scenes. Using Qualitative Explainable Graphs (QXGs) as a symbolic scene representation, we train Rashomon sets of two distinct model classes: interpretable, pair-based gradient boosting models and complex, graph-based Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Using feature attribution methods, we measure the agreement of explanations both within and between these classes. Our results reveal significant explanation disagreement. Our findings suggest that explanation ambiguity is an inherent property of the problem, not just a modeling artifact.