Luis Medrano-Navarro

Kevin Debeire, Aytaç Paçal, Pierre Gentine et al.

Regional climate information at kilometer scales is essential for assessing the impacts of climate change, but generating it with global climate models is too expensive due to their high computational costs. Machine learning models offer a fast alternative, yet they often violate basic physical laws and degrade when applied to climates outside of their training distribution. We present Physics-Constrained Adaptive Flow Matching (PC-AFM), a generative downscaling model that addresses both problems. Building on the Adaptive Flow Matching (AFM) model of Fotiadis et al. (2025) as our baseline, we add soft conservation constraints that keep the downscaled output consistent with the large-scale input for precipitation and humidity, and use gradient surgery via the ConFIG algorithm to prevent these constraints from interfering with the generative objective. We train the model on Central Europe climate data, evaluate it on a 10-time downscaling task (63km to 6.3km) over six variables (near-surface temperature, precipitation, specific humidity, surface pressure, and horizontal wind components) across a comprehensive set of metrics including bias, ensemble skill scores, power spectra, and conservation error, and test the generalization on two held-out climate regions. Within the training distribution, PC-AFM reduces conservation errors and improves ensemble calibration while matching the baseline on standard skill metrics. Outside the training distribution, where unconstrained models develop large systematic errors by extrapolating learned statistics, PC-AFM halves precipitation wet bias, reduces conservation error and improves extreme-quantile accuracy, all without any information about the target climate at inference time. These results indicate that physical consistency is a practical requirement for deploying generative downscaling models in real-world applications.

Marc Amorós-Trepat, Luis Medrano-Navarro, Qiang Liu et al.

The reconstruction of unsteady flow fields from limited measurements is a challenging and crucial task for many engineering applications. Machine learning models are gaining popularity in solving this problem due to their ability to learn complex patterns from data and generalize across diverse conditions. Among these, diffusion models have emerged as particularly powerful in generative tasks, producing high-quality samples by iteratively refining noisy inputs. In contrast to other methods, these generative models are capable of reconstructing the smallest scales of the fluid spectrum. In this work, we introduce a novel sampling method for diffusion models that enables the reconstruction of high-fidelity samples by guiding the reverse process using the available sparse data. Moreover, we enhance the reconstructions with available physics knowledge using a conflict-free update method during training. To evaluate the effectiveness of our method, we conduct experiments on 2 and 3-dimensional turbulent flow data. Our method consistently outperforms other diffusion-based methods in predicting the fluid's structure and in pixel-wise accuracy. This study underscores the remarkable potential of diffusion models in reconstructing flow field data, paving the way for their application in Computational Fluid Dynamics research.