Yun Bai

Yachuan Li, Zongmin Li, Xavier Soria P. et al.

The significance of multi-scale features has been gradually recognized by the edge detection community. However, the fusion of multi-scale features increases the complexity of the model, which is not friendly to practical application. In this work, we propose a Compact Twice Fusion Network (CTFN) to fully integrate multi-scale features while maintaining the compactness of the model. CTFN includes two lightweight multi-scale feature fusion modules: a Semantic Enhancement Module (SEM) that can utilize the semantic information contained in coarse-scale features to guide the learning of fine-scale features, and a Pseudo Pixel-level Weighting (PPW) module that aggregate the complementary merits of multi-scale features by assigning weights to all features. Notwithstanding all this, the interference of texture noise makes the correct classification of some pixels still a challenge. For these hard samples, we propose a novel loss function, coined Dynamic Focal Loss, which reshapes the standard cross-entropy loss and dynamically adjusts the weights to correct the distribution of hard samples. We evaluate our method on three datasets, i.e., BSDS500, NYUDv2, and BIPEDv2. Compared with state-of-the-art methods, CTFN achieves competitive accuracy with less parameters and computational cost. Apart from the backbone, CTFN requires only 0.1M additional parameters, which reduces its computation cost to just 60% of other state-of-the-art methods. The codes are available at https://github.com/Li-yachuan/CTFN-pytorch-master.

Yun Bai, Simon Camal, Andrea Michiorri

The relationship between electricity demand and weather is well established in power systems, along with the importance of behavioral and social aspects such as holidays and significant events. This study explores the link between electricity demand and more nuanced information about social events. This is done using mature Natural Language Processing (NLP) and demand forecasting techniques. The results indicate that day-ahead forecasts are improved by textual features such as word frequencies, public sentiments, topic distributions, and word embeddings. The social events contained in these features include global pandemics, politics, international conflicts, transportation, etc. Causality effects and correlations are discussed to propose explanations for the mechanisms behind the links highlighted. This study is believed to bring a new perspective to traditional electricity demand analysis. It confirms the feasibility of improving forecasts from unstructured text, with potential consequences for sociology and economics.

Kaiping Yin, Sooik Im, Chaorui Qiu et al.

Reliable real-time 3D shape sensing is essential for robust control and interpretation of deformable systems during motion. Existing vision-based approaches require line-of-sight and complex instrumentation, limiting operation in occluded and space-constrained settings. Here, we introduce a scalable, skin-like sensor that reconstructs its continuous 3D deformation in real time from distributed strain measurements. The device embeds a 2D array of mirror-stacked, printed oxidized eutectic gallium-indium (o-EGaIn) strain gauges within an elastomeric film to measure off-neutral-axis strains. Combined with a mechanics-informed observation model and a fast optimization routine, the system estimates local curvature, elongation, offset, and orientation under concurrent stretching, bending, and indentation, enabling reconstruction of complex surfaces. A 5-by-5 array with a 12 mm pitch achieves a mean surface reconstruction error of 0.62 mm with 0.1s latency across all tested scenarios. When conforming to complex surfaces, the sensor provides fast 3D shape mapping of the underlying geometry. Demonstrations involving palm gesturing, finger indentation, and contact-induced balloon deformation highlight utility for epidermal motion tracking, haptic interaction, and intraoperative monitoring.

Yachuan Li, Xavier Soria Pomab, Yongke Xi et al.

The performance of deep learning based edge detector has far exceeded that of humans, but the huge computational cost and complex training strategy hinder its further development and application. In this paper, we eliminate these complexities with a vanilla encoder-decoder based detector. Firstly, we design a bilateral encoder to decouple the extraction process of location features and semantic features. Since the location branch no longer provides cues for the semantic branch, the richness of features can be further compressed, which is the key to make our model more compact. We propose a cascaded feature fusion decoder, where the location features are progressively refined by semantic features. The refined location features are the only basis for generating the edge map. The coarse original location features and semantic features are avoided from direct contact with the final result. So the noise in the location features and the location error in the semantic features can be suppressed in the generated edge map. The proposed New Baseline for Edge Detection (NBED) achieves superior performance consistently across multiple edge detection benchmarks, even compared with those methods with huge computational cost and complex training strategy. The ODS of NBED on BSDS500 is 0.838, achieving state-of-the-art performance. Our study shows that what really matters in the current edge detection is high-quality features, and we can make the encoder-decoder based detector great again even without complex training strategies and huge computational cost. The code is available at https://github.com/Li-yachuan/NBED.

Yun Bai, Simon Camal, Andrea Michiorri

Electricity demand forecasting is a well established research field. Usually this task is performed considering historical loads, weather forecasts, calendar information and known major events. Recently attention has been given on the possible use of new sources of information from textual news in order to improve the performance of these predictions. This paper proposes a Long and Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network incorporating textual news features that successfully predicts the deterministic and probabilistic tasks of the UK national electricity demand. The study finds that public sentiment and word vector representations related to transport and geopolitics have time-continuity effects on electricity demand. The experimental results show that the LSTM with textual features improves by more than 3% compared to the pure LSTM benchmark and by close to 10% over the official benchmark. Furthermore, the proposed model effectively reduces forecasting uncertainty by narrowing the confidence interval and bringing the forecast distribution closer to the truth.

Yachuan Li, Xavier Soria Poma, Yun Bai et al.

Transformer-based models have made significant progress in edge detection, but their high computational cost is prohibitive. Recently, vision Mamba have shown excellent ability in efficiently capturing long-range dependencies. Drawing inspiration from this, we propose a novel edge detector with Mamba, termed EDMB, to efficiently generate high-quality multi-granularity edges. In EDMB, Mamba is combined with a global-local architecture, therefore it can focus on both global information and fine-grained cues. The fine-grained cues play a crucial role in edge detection, but are usually ignored by ordinary Mamba. We design a novel decoder to construct learnable Gaussian distributions by fusing global features and fine-grained features. And the multi-grained edges are generated by sampling from the distributions. In order to make multi-granularity edges applicable to single-label data, we introduce Evidence Lower Bound loss to supervise the learning of the distributions. On the multi-label dataset BSDS500, our proposed EDMB achieves competitive single-granularity ODS 0.837 and multi-granularity ODS 0.851 without multi-scale test or extra PASCAL-VOC data. Remarkably, EDMB can be extended to single-label datasets such as NYUDv2 and BIPED. The source code is available at https://github.com/Li-yachuan/EDMB.

Fei Wang, Ruohui Zhang, Chenglin Chen et al.

Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) aims to maintain stable and uninterrupted trajectories for each target. Most state-of-the-art approaches first detect objects in each frame and then implement data association between new detections and existing tracks using motion models and appearance similarities. Despite achieving satisfactory results, occlusion and crowds can easily lead to missing and distorted detections, followed by missing and false associations. In this paper, we first revisit the classic tracker DeepSORT, enhancing its robustness over crowds and occlusion significantly by placing greater trust in predictions when detections are unavailable or of low quality in crowded and occluded scenes. Specifically, we propose a new framework comprising of three lightweight and plug-and-play algorithms: the probability map, the prediction map, and the covariance adaptive Kalman filter. The probability map identifies whether undetected objects have genuinely disappeared from view (e.g., out of the image or entered a building) or are only temporarily undetected due to occlusion or other reasons. Trajectories of undetected targets that are still within the probability map are extended by state estimations directly. The prediction map determines whether an object is in a crowd, and we prioritize state estimations over observations when severe deformation of observations occurs, accomplished through the covariance adaptive Kalman filter. The proposed method, named MapTrack, achieves state-of-the-art results on popular multi-object tracking benchmarks such as MOT17 and MOT20. Despite its superior performance, our method remains simple, online, and real-time. The code will be open-sourced later.

Yun Bai, Simon Camal, Andrea Michiorri

The relationship between electricity demand and variables such as economic activity and weather patterns is well established. However, this paper explores the connection between electricity demand and social aspects. It further embeds dynamic information about the state of society into energy demand modelling and forecasting approaches. Through the use of natural language processing on a large news corpus, we highlight this important link. This study is conducted in five regions of the UK and Ireland and considers multiple time horizons from 1 to 30 days. It also considers economic variables such as GDP, unemployment and inflation. The textual features used in this study represent central constructs from the word frequencies, topics, word embeddings extracted from the news. The findings indicate that: 1) the textual features are related to various contents, such as military conflicts, transportation, the global pandemic, regional economics, and the international energy market. They exhibit causal relationships with regional electricity demand, which are validated using Granger causality and Double Machine Learning methods. 2) Economic indicators play a more important role in the East Midlands and Northern Ireland, while social indicators are more influential in the West Midlands and the South West of England. 3) The use of these factors improves deterministic forecasting by around 6%.

Yun Bai, Ganglin Tian, Yanfei Kang et al.

Hybrid ensemble, an essential branch of ensembles, has flourished in the regression field, with studies confirming diversity's importance. However, previous ensembles consider diversity in the sub-model training stage, with limited improvement compared to single models. In contrast, this study automatically selects and weights sub-models from a heterogeneous model pool. It solves an optimization problem using an interior-point filtering linear-search algorithm. The objective function innovatively incorporates negative correlation learning as a penalty term, with which a diverse model subset can be selected. The best sub-models from each model class are selected to build the NCL ensemble, which performance is better than the simple average and other state-of-the-art weighting methods. It is also possible to improve the NCL ensemble with a regularization term in the objective function. In practice, it is difficult to conclude the optimal sub-model for a dataset prior due to the model uncertainty. Regardless, our method would achieve comparable accuracy as the potential optimal sub-models. In conclusion, the value of this study lies in its ease of use and effectiveness, allowing the hybrid ensemble to embrace diversity and accuracy.

Xixi Li, Yun Bai, Yanfei Kang

One of the most significant differences of M5 over previous forecasting competitions is that it was held on Kaggle, an online platform of data scientists and machine learning practitioners. Kaggle provides a gathering place, or virtual community, for web users who are interested in the M5 competition. Users can share code, models, features, loss functions, etc. through online notebooks and discussion forums. This paper aims to study the social influence of virtual community on user behaviors in the M5 competition. We first research the content of the M5 virtual community by topic modeling and trend analysis. Further, we perform social media analysis to identify the potential relationship network of the virtual community. We study the roles and characteristics of some key participants that promote the diffusion of information within the M5 virtual community. Overall, this study provides in-depth insights into the mechanism of the virtual community's influence on the participants and has potential implications for future online competitions.

Yun Bai, Suling Jia, Xixi Li

Based on the online transaction data of COSCO group's centralized procurement platform, this paper studies the clustering method of time series type data. The different methods of similarity calculation, different clustering methods with different K values are analysed, and the best clustering method suitable for centralized purchasing data is determined. The company list under the corresponding cluster is obtained. The time series motif discovery algorithm is used to model the centroid of each cluster. Through ARIMA method, we also made 12 periods of prediction for the centroid of each category. This paper constructs a matrix of "Customer Lifecycle Theory - Five Elements of Marketing ", and puts forward corresponding marketing suggestions for customers at different life cycle stages.

Vernon Asuncion, Yan Zhang, Heng Zhang et al.

In ontology-based data access (OBDA), the classical database is enhanced with an ontology in the form of logical assertions generating new intensional knowledge. A powerful form of such logical assertions is the tuple-generating dependencies (TGDs), also called existential rules, where Horn rules are extended by allowing existential quantifiers to appear in the rule heads. In this paper we introduce a new language called loop restricted (LR) TGDs (existential rules), which are TGDs with certain restrictions on the loops embedded in the underlying rule set. We study the complexity of this new language. We show that the conjunctive query answering (CQA) under the LR TGDs is decid- able. In particular, we prove that this language satisfies the so-called bounded derivation-depth prop- erty (BDDP), which implies that the CQA is first-order rewritable, and its data complexity is in AC0 . We also prove that the combined complexity of the CQA is EXPTIME complete, while the language membership is PSPACE complete. Then we extend the LR TGDs language to the generalised loop restricted (GLR) TGDs language, and prove that this class of TGDs still remains to be first-order rewritable and properly contains most of other first-order rewritable TGDs classes discovered in the literature so far.