Julia Pelzer

Julia Pelzer, Corné Verburg, Alexander Heinlein et al.

Machine learning methods often struggle with real-world applications in science and engineering due to limited or low-quality training data. In this work, the example of groundwater flow with heat transport is considered; this corresponds to an advection-diffusion process under heterogeneous flow conditions, that is, spatially distributed material parameters and heat sources. Classical numerical simulations are costly and challenging due to high spatio-temporal resolution requirements and large domains. While often computationally more efficient, purely data-driven surrogate models face difficulties, particularly in predicting the advection process, which is highly sensitive to input variations and involves long-range spatial interactions. Therefore, in this work, a Local-Global Convolutional Neural Network (LGCNN) approach is introduced. It combines a lightweight numerical surrogate for the transport process (global) with convolutional neural networks for the groundwater velocity and heat diffusion processes (local). With the LGCNN, a city-wide subsurface temperature field is modeled, involving a heterogeneous groundwater flow field and one hundred groundwater heat pump injection points forming interacting heat plumes over long distances. The model is first systematically analyzed based on random subsurface input fields. Then, the model is trained on a handful of cut-outs from a real-world subsurface map of the Munich region in Germany, and it scales to larger cut-outs without retraining. All datasets, our code, and trained models are published for reproducibility.

Danyal Maheshwari, Julia Pelzer, Miriam Schulte

Quantum machine learning methods are increasingly explored for modeling complex environmental systems, including groundwater heat plume dynamics. In this work, we explore a Quantum Convolutional Neural Network (QCNN) as a surrogate model for predicting temperature variations in groundwater induced by geothermal heat pumps in the city of Munich. To comply with the scalability constraints of current quantum hardware, the original high-dimensional simulation output is reduced to a compact set of representative parameters that serve as training targets for the surrogate. The proposed QCNN architecture consists of a quantum convolutional layer, a quantum pooling layer, and a fully connected quantum readout stage. Convolution and pooling operations are realized via parameterized quantum circuits based on rotational gates and measurement-driven decoding, while a Hamiltonian-inspired feature-encoding scheme is used to prepare informative input states on the quantum device. We evaluate the QCNN across multiple execution backends, including an ideal statevector simulator, a noisy simulator, IBM's 127-qubit Kyiv quantum processor, and the same hardware augmented with advanced error-mitigation techniques. Realistic noise models are employed to approximate device behavior and to assess the impact of mitigation strategies. Model performance is benchmarked using mean squared error (MSE) on both training and testing sets. The results show that, although classical neural networks still achieve the highest predictive accuracy, the QCNN attains competitive and consistent performance on simulators and exhibits noticeable improvement under error-mitigated hardware conditions. These findings indicate that quantum-enhanced surrogate modeling is a promising direction for future groundwater temperature prediction as quantum hardware and error-mitigation techniques continue to mature.