Thomas Colthurst

Ross Goroshin, Alex Wilson, Andrew Lamb et al.

Project Sunroof estimates the solar potential of residential buildings using high quality aerial data. That is, it estimates the potential solar energy (and associated financial savings) that can be captured by buildings if solar panels were to be installed on their roofs. Unfortunately its coverage is limited by the lack of high resolution digital surface map (DSM) data. We present a deep learning approach that bridges this gap by enhancing widely available low-resolution data, thereby dramatically increasing the coverage of Sunroof. We also present some ongoing efforts to potentially improve accuracy even further by replacing certain algorithmic components of the Sunroof processing pipeline with deep learning.

Natalia Ponomareva, Soroush Radpour, Gilbert Hendry et al.

TF Boosted Trees (TFBT) is a new open-sourced frame-work for the distributed training of gradient boosted trees. It is based on TensorFlow, and its distinguishing features include a novel architecture, automatic loss differentiation, layer-by-layer boosting that results in smaller ensembles and faster prediction, principled multi-class handling, and a number of regularization techniques to prevent overfitting.

Natalia Ponomareva, Thomas Colthurst, Gilbert Hendry et al.

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this advantage. The first improvement extends the boosting formalism from scalar-valued trees to vector-valued trees. This allows individual trees to be used as multiclass classifiers, rather than requiring one tree per class, and drastically reduces the model size required for multiclass problems. We also show that some other popular vector-valued gradient boosted trees modifications fit into this formulation and can be easily obtained in our implementation. The second extension, layer-by-layer boosting, takes smaller steps in function space, which is empirically shown to lead to a faster convergence and to a more compact ensemble. We have added both improvements to the open-source TensorFlow Boosted trees (TFBT) package, and we demonstrate their efficacy on a variety of multiclass datasets. We expect these extensions will be of particular interest to boosted tree applications that require small models, such as embedded devices, applications requiring fast inference, or applications desiring more interpretable models.

Aaron Bell, Amit Aides, Amr Helmy et al.

Geospatial data offers immense potential for understanding our planet. However, the sheer volume and diversity of this data along with its varied resolutions, timescales, and sparsity pose significant challenges for thorough analysis and interpretation. This paper introduces Earth AI, a family of geospatial AI models and agentic reasoning that enables significant advances in our ability to unlock novel and profound insights into our planet. This approach is built upon foundation models across three key domains--Planet-scale Imagery, Population, and Environment--and an intelligent Gemini-powered reasoning engine. We present rigorous benchmarks showcasing the power and novel capabilities of our foundation models and validate that when used together, they provide complementary value for geospatial inference and their synergies unlock superior predictive capabilities. To handle complex, multi-step queries, we developed a Gemini-powered agent that jointly reasons over our multiple foundation models along with large geospatial data sources and tools. On a new benchmark of real-world crisis scenarios, our agent demonstrates the ability to deliver critical and timely insights, effectively bridging the gap between raw geospatial data and actionable understanding.