Milan Jain

Rachel Kalaimani, Milan Jain, Srinivasan Keshav et al.

Most modern HVAC systems suffer from two intrinsic problems. First, inability to meet diverse comfort requirements of the occupants. Second, heat or cool an entire zone even when the zone is only partially occupied. Both issues can be mitigated by using personal comfort systems (PCS) which bridge the comfort gap between what is provided by a central HVAC system and the personal preferences of the occupants. In recent work, we have proposed and deployed such a system, called SPOT. We address the question, "How should an existing HVAC system modify its operation to benefit the availability of PCS like SPOT?" For example, energy consumption could be reduced during sparse occupancy by choosing appropriate thermal set backs, with the PCS providing the additional offset in thermal comfort required for each occupant. Our control strategy based on Model Predictive Control (MPC), employs a bi-linear thermal model, and has two time-scales to accommodate the physical constraints that limit certain components of the central HVAC system from frequently changing their set points. We compare the energy consumption and comfort offered by our SPOT-aware HVAC system with that of a state-of-the-art MPC-based central HVAC system in multiple settings including different room layouts and partial deployment of PCS. Numerical evaluations show that our system obtains, in average, 45% (15%) savings in energy in summer (winter), compared with the benchmark system for the case of homogeneous comfort requirements. For heterogeneous comfort requirements, we observe 51% (29%) improvement in comfort in summer (winter) in addition to significant savings in energy.

Milan Jain, Rachel K Kalaimani, Srinivasan Keshav et al.

Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) consumes a significant fraction of energy in commercial buildings. Hence, the use of optimization techniques to reduce HVAC energy consumption has been widely studied. Model predictive control (MPC) is one state of the art optimization technique for HVAC control which converts the control problem to a sequence of optimization problems, each over a finite time horizon. In a typical MPC, future system state is estimated from a model using predictions of model inputs, such as building occupancy and outside air temperature. Consequently, as prediction accuracy deteriorates, MPC performance--in terms of occupant comfort and building energy use--degrades. In this work, we use a custom-built building thermal simulator to systematically investigate the impact of occupancy prediction errors on occupant comfort and energy consumption. Our analysis shows that in our test building, as occupancy prediction error increases from 5\% to 20\% the performance of an MPC-based HVAC controller becomes worse than that of even a simple static schedule. However, when combined with a personal environmental control (PEC) system, HVAC controllers are considerably more robust to prediction errors. Thus, we quantify the effectiveness of PECs in mitigating the impact of forecast errors on MPC control for HVAC systems.

Milan Jain, Xueqing Sun, Sohom Datta et al.

Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically but also taking into account various controllable actions like renewable curtailment, transmission congestion mitigation, and energy storage optimization to ensure grid reliability. As a result, price formations in electricity markets have become quite complex. Traditional root cause analysis and statistical approaches are rendered inapplicable to analyze and infer the main drivers behind price formation in the modern grid and markets with variable renewable energy (VRE). In this paper, we propose a machine learning-based analysis framework to deconstruct the primary drivers for price spike events in modern electricity markets with high renewable energy. The outcomes can be utilized for various critical aspects of market design, renewable dispatch and curtailment, operations, and cyber-security applications. The framework can be applied to any ISO or market data; however, in this paper, it is applied to open-source publicly available datasets from California Independent System Operator (CAISO) and ISO New England (ISO-NE).

Milan Jain, Narmadha Meenu Mohankumar, Heng Wan et al.

Disadvantaged communities (DAC), as defined by the Justice40 initiative of the Department of Energy (DOE), USA, identifies census tracts across the USA to determine where benefits of climate and energy investments are or are not currently accruing. The DAC status not only helps in determining the eligibility for future Justice40-related investments but is also critical for exploring ways to achieve equitable distribution of resources. However, designing inclusive and equitable strategies not just requires a good understanding of current demographics, but also a deeper analysis of the transformations that happened in those demographics over the years. In this paper, machine learning (ML) models are trained on publicly available census data from recent years to classify the DAC status at the census tracts level and then the trained model is used to classify DAC status for historical years. A detailed analysis of the feature and model selection along with the evolution of disadvantaged communities between 2013 and 2018 is presented in this study.

Milan Jain, Burcu O. Mutlu, Caleb Stam et al.

The Main Control Room of the Fermilab accelerator complex continuously gathers extensive time-series data from thousands of sensors monitoring the beam. However, unplanned events such as trips or voltage fluctuations often result in beam outages, causing operational downtime. This downtime not only consumes operator effort in diagnosing and addressing the issue but also leads to unnecessary energy consumption by idle machines awaiting beam restoration. The current threshold-based alarm system is reactive and faces challenges including frequent false alarms and inconsistent outage-cause labeling. To address these limitations, we propose an AI-enabled framework that leverages predictive analytics and automated labeling. Using data from $2,703$ Linac devices and $80$ operator-labeled outages, we evaluate state-of-the-art deep learning architectures, including recurrent, attention-based, and linear models, for beam outage prediction. Additionally, we assess a Random Forest-based labeling system for providing consistent, confidence-scored outage annotations. Our findings highlight the strengths and weaknesses of these architectures for beam outage prediction and identify critical gaps that must be addressed to fully harness AI for transitioning downtime handling from reactive to predictive, ultimately reducing downtime and improving decision-making in accelerator management.

Ashutosh Dutta, Milan Jain, Arif Khan et al.

Collisions, crashes, and other incidents on road networks, if left unmitigated, can potentially cause cascading failures that can affect large parts of the system. Timely handling such extreme congestion scenarios is imperative to reduce emissions, enhance productivity, and improve the quality of urban living. In this work, we propose a Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) approach to reduce traffic congestion on multi-lane freeways during extreme congestion. The agent is trained to learn adaptive detouring strategies for congested freeway traffic such that the freeway lanes along with the local arterial network in proximity are utilized optimally, with rewards being congestion reduction and traffic speed improvement. The experimental setup is a 2.6-mile-long 4-lane freeway stretch in Shoreline, Washington, USA with two exits and associated arterial roads simulated on a microscopic and continuous multi-modal traffic simulator SUMO (Simulation of Urban MObility) while using parameterized traffic profiles generated using real-world traffic data. Our analysis indicates that DRL-based controllers can improve average traffic speed by 21\% when compared to no-action during steep congestion. The study further discusses the trade-offs involved in the choice of reward functions, the impact of human compliance on agent performance, and the feasibility of knowledge transfer from one agent to other to address data sparsity and scaling issues.

Milan Jain

Room-level air conditioners (also referred as ACs) consume a significant proportion of total energy in residential and small-scale commercial buildings. In a typical AC, occupants specify their comfort requirements by manually setting the desired temperature on the thermostat. Though commercial thermostats (such as Tado) provide basic energy-saving features, they neither consider the influence of external factors (such as weather) to set the thermostat temperature nor offer advanced features such as monitoring the fitness level of AC. In this paper, we discuss grey-box modeling techniques to enhance existing thermostats for energy-efficient control of the ACs and provide actionable and corrective feedback to the users. Our study indicates that the enhancements can reduce occupants' discomfort by 23% when maximising the user experience, and reduce AC energy consumption by 26% during the power-saving mode.