Chenbei Lu

Hongyu Yi, Chenbei Lu, Jing Yu

This paper studies finite-sample set-membership identification for discrete-time bilinear systems under bounded symmetric log-concave disturbances. Compared with existing finite-sample results for linear systems and related analyses under stronger noise assumptions, we consider the more challenging bilinear setting with trajectory-dependent regressors and allow marginally stable dynamics with polynomial mean-square state growth. Under these conditions, we prove that the diameter of the feasible parameter set shrinks with sample complexity $\widetilde{O}(1/ε)$. Simulation supports the theory and illustrates the advantage of the proposed estimator for uncertainty quantification.

Chenbei Lu, Laixi Shi, Zaiwei Chen et al.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms are known to suffer from the curse of dimensionality, which refers to the fact that large-scale problems often lead to exponentially high sample complexity. A common solution is to use deep neural networks for function approximation; however, such approaches typically lack theoretical guarantees. To provably address the curse of dimensionality, we observe that many real-world problems exhibit task-specific model structures that, when properly leveraged, can improve the sample efficiency of RL. Building on this insight, we propose overcoming the curse of dimensionality by approximately factorizing the original Markov decision processes (MDPs) into smaller, independently evolving MDPs. This factorization enables the development of sample-efficient RL algorithms in both model-based and model-free settings, with the latter involving a variant of variance-reduced Q-learning. We provide improved sample complexity guarantees for both proposed algorithms. Notably, by leveraging model structure through the approximate factorization of the MDP, the dependence of sample complexity on the size of the state-action space can be exponentially reduced. Numerically, we demonstrate the practicality of our proposed methods through experiments on both synthetic MDP tasks and a wind farm-equipped storage control problem.

Chenbei Lu, Zaiwei Chen, Tongxin Li et al.

Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) assumes the agents make decisions based on Markov decision processes (MDPs) with one-step transition models. In many real-world applications, such as energy management and stock investment, agents can access multi-step predictions of future states, which provide additional advantages for decision making. However, multi-step predictions are inherently high-dimensional: naively embedding these predictions into an MDP leads to an exponential blow-up in state space and the curse of dimensionality. Moreover, existing RL theory provides few tools to analyze prediction-augmented MDPs, as it typically works on one-step transition kernels and cannot accommodate multi-step predictions with errors or partial action-coverage. We address these challenges with three key innovations: First, we propose the \emph{Bayesian value function} to characterize the optimal prediction-aware policy tractably. Second, we develop a novel \emph{Bellman-Jensen Gap} analysis on the Bayesian value function, which enables characterizing the value of imperfect predictions. Third, we introduce BOLA (Bayesian Offline Learning with Online Adaptation), a two-stage model-based RL algorithm that separates offline Bayesian value learning from lightweight online adaptation to real-time predictions. We prove that BOLA remains sample-efficient even under imperfect predictions. We validate our theory and algorithm on synthetic MDPs and a real-world wind energy storage control problem.

Haoxiang Wang, Jiasheng Zhang, Chenbei Lu et al.

Smart meter devices enable a better understanding of the demand at the potential risk of private information leakage. One promising solution to mitigating such risk is to inject noises into the meter data to achieve a certain level of differential privacy. In this paper, we cast one-shot non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) in the compressive sensing framework, and bridge the gap between theoretical accuracy of NILM inference and differential privacy's parameters. We then derive the valid theoretical bounds to offer insights on how the differential privacy parameters affect the NILM performance. Moreover, we generalize our conclusions by proposing the hierarchical framework to solve the multi-shot NILM problem. Numerical experiments verify our analytical results and offer better physical insights of differential privacy in various practical scenarios. This also demonstrates the significance of our work for the general privacy preserving mechanism design.

Chenbei Lu, Kui Wang, Chenye Wu

Conventional wisdom to improve the effectiveness of economic dispatch is to design the load forecasting method as accurately as possible. However, this approach can be problematic due to the temporal and spatial correlations between system cost and load prediction errors. This motivates us to adopt the notion of end-to-end machine learning and to propose a task-specific learning criteria to conduct economic dispatch. Specifically, to maximize the data utilization, we design an efficient optimization kernel for the learning process. We provide both theoretical analysis and empirical insights to highlight the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed learning framework.