LGDec 23, 2024
EasyTime: Time Series Forecasting Made EasyXiangfei Qiu, Xiuwen Li, Ruiyang Pang et al.
Time series forecasting has important applications across diverse domains. EasyTime, the system we demonstrate, facilitates easy use of time-series forecasting methods by researchers and practitioners alike. First, EasyTime enables one-click evaluation, enabling researchers to evaluate new forecasting methods using the suite of diverse time series datasets collected in the preexisting time series forecasting benchmark (TFB). This is achieved by leveraging TFB's flexible and consistent evaluation pipeline. Second, when practitioners must perform forecasting on a new dataset, a nontrivial first step is often to find an appropriate forecasting method. EasyTime provides an Automated Ensemble module that combines the promising forecasting methods to yield superior forecasting accuracy compared to individual methods. Third, EasyTime offers a natural language Q&A module leveraging large language models. Given a question like "Which method is best for long term forecasting on time series with strong seasonality?", EasyTime converts the question into SQL queries on the database of results obtained by TFB and then returns an answer in natural language and charts. By demonstrating EasyTime, we intend to show how it is possible to simplify the use of time series forecasting and to offer better support for the development of new generations of time series forecasting methods.
SOC-PHJun 18, 2013
Gravity Effects on Information Filtering and Network EvolvingJin-Hu Liu, Zi-Ke Zhang, Chengcheng Yang et al.
In this paper, based on the gravity principle of classical physics, we propose a tunable gravity-based model, which considers tag usage pattern to weigh both the mass and distance of network nodes. We then apply this model in solving the problems of information filtering and network evolving. Experimental results on two real-world data sets, \emph{Del.icio.us} and \emph{MovieLens}, show that it can not only enhance the algorithmic performance, but can also better characterize the properties of real networks. This work may shed some light on the in-depth understanding of the effect of gravity model.
IRJun 14, 2012
A two-step Recommendation Algorithm via Iterative Local Least SquaresJinhu Liu, Chengcheng Yang, Zi-Ke Zhang
Recommender systems can change our life a lot and help us select suitable and favorite items much more conveniently and easily. As a consequence, various kinds of algorithms have been proposed in last few years to improve the performance. However, all of them face one critical problem: data sparsity. In this paper, we proposed a two-step recommendation algorithm via iterative local least squares (ILLS). Firstly, we obtain the ratings matrix which is constructed via users' behavioral records, and it is normally very sparse. Secondly, we preprocess the "ratings" matrix through ProbS which can convert the sparse data to a dense one. Then we use ILLS to estimate those missing values. Finally, the recommendation list is generated. Experimental results on the three datasets: MovieLens, Netflix, RYM, suggest that the proposed method can enhance the algorithmic accuracy of AUC. Especially, it performs much better in dense datasets. Furthermore, since this methods can improve those missing value more accurately via iteration which might show light in discovering those inactive users' purchasing intention and eventually solving cold-start problem.