Denis Sidorov

Samad Noeiaghdam, Denis Sidorov, Valery Sizikov

Finding the optimal parameters and functions of iterative methods is among the main problems of the Numerical Analysis. For this aim, a technique of the stochastic arithmetic (SA) is used to control of accuracy on Taylor-collocation method for solving first kind weakly regular integral equations (IEs). Thus, the CESTAC (Controle et Estimation Stochastique des Arrondis de Calculs) method is applied and instead of usual mathematical softwares the CADNA (Control of Accuracy and Debugging for Numerical Applications) library is used. Also, the convergence theorem of presented method is illustrated. In order to apply the CESTAC method we will prove a theorem that it will be our licence to use the new termination criterion instead of traditional absolute error. By using this theorem we can show that number of common significant digits (NCSDs) between two successive approximations are almost equal to NCSDs between exact and numerical solution. Finally, some examples are solved by using the Taylor-collocation method based on the CESTAC method. Several tables of numerical solutions based on the both arithmetics are presented. Comparison between number of iterations are demonstrated by using the floating point arithmetic (FPA) for different values of $\varepsilon$.

Ildar Muftahov, Denis Sidorov, Aleksei Zhukov et al.

Development of reliable methods for optimised energy storage and generation is one of the most imminent challenges in moder power systems. In this paper an adaptive approach to load leveling problem using novel dynamic models based on the Volterra integral equations of the first kind with piecewise continuous kernels. These integral equations efficiently solve such inverse problem taking into account both the time dependent efficiencies and the availability of generation/storage of each energy storage technology. In this analysis a direct numerical method is employed to find the least-cost dispatch of available storages. The proposed collocation type numerical method has second order accuracy and enjoys self-regularization properties, which is associated with confidence levels of system demand. This adaptive approach is suitable for energy storage optimisation in real time. The efficiency of the proposed methodology is demonstrated on the Single Electricity Market of Republic of Ireland and Sakhalin island in the Russian Far East.

Valery Sizikov, Denis Sidorov

An inverse problem in spectroscopy is considered. The objective is to restore the discrete spectrum from observed spectrum data, taking into account the spectrometer's line spread function. The problem is reduced to solution of a system of linear-nonlinear equations (SLNE) with respect to intensities and frequencies of the discrete spectral lines. The SLNE is linear with respect to lines' intensities and nonlinear with respect to the lines' frequencies. The integral approximation algorithm is proposed for the solution of this SLNE. The algorithm combines solution of linear integral equations with solution of a system of linear algebraic equations and avoids nonlinear equations. Numerical examples of the application of the technique, both to synthetic and experimental spectra, demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach in enabling an effective enhancement of the spectrometer's resolution.

Van Truong Vo, Samad Noeiaghdam, Denis Sidorov et al.

Nonlinear differential equations and systems play a crucial role in modeling systems where time-dependent factors exhibit nonlinear characteristics. Due to their nonlinear nature, solving such systems often presents significant difficulties and challenges. In this study, we propose a method utilizing Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to solve the nonlinear energy supply-demand (ESD) system. We design a neural network with four outputs, where each output approximates a function that corresponds to one of the unknown functions in the nonlinear system of differential equations describing the four-dimensional ESD problem. The neural network model is then trained and the parameters are identified, optimized to achieve a more accurate solution. The solutions obtained from the neural network for this problem are equivalent when we compare and evaluate them against the Runge-Kutta numerical method of order 4/5 (RK45). However, the method utilizing neural networks is considered a modern and promising approach, as it effectively exploits the superior computational power of advanced computer systems, especially in solving complex problems. Another advantage is that the neural network model, after being trained, can solve the nonlinear system of differential equations across a continuous domain. In other words, neural networks are not only trained to approximate the solution functions for the nonlinear ESD system but can also represent the complex dynamic relationships between the system's components. However, this approach requires significant time and computational power due to the need for model training.

Denis Sidorov, Ildar Muftahov, Nikita Tomin et al.

Energy storage systems will play a key role in the power system of the twenty first century considering the large penetrations of variable renewable energy, growth in transport electrification and decentralisation of heating loads. Therefore reliable real time methods to optimise energy storage, demand response and generation are vital for power system operations. This paper presents a concise review of battery energy storage and an example of battery modelling for renewable energy applications and second details an adaptive approach to solve this load levelling problem with storage. A dynamic evolutionary model based on the first kind Volterra integral equation is used in both cases. A direct regularised numerical method is employed to find the least-cost dispatch of the battery in terms of integral equation solution. Validation on real data shows that the proposed evolutionary Volterra model effectively generalises conventional discrete integral model taking into account both state of health and the availability of generation/storage.

Alexei Zhukov, Victor Kurbatsky, Nikita Tomin et al.

One of the most promising approaches for complex technical systems analysis employs ensemble methods of classification. Ensemble methods enable to build a reliable decision rules for feature space classification in the presence of many possible states of the system. In this paper, novel techniques based on decision trees are used for evaluation of the reliability of the regime of electric power systems. We proposed hybrid approach based on random forests models and boosting models. Such techniques can be applied to predict the interaction of increasing renewable power, storage devices and swiching of smart loads from intelligent domestic appliances, heaters and air-conditioning units and electric vehicles with grid for enhanced decision making. The ensemble classification methods were tested on the modified 118-bus IEEE power system showing that proposed technique can be employed to examine whether the power system is secured under steady-state operating conditions.

Valery Sizikov, Denis Sidorov

We propose the generalized quadrature methods for numerical solution of singular integral equation of Abel type. We overcome the singularity using the analytical calculation of the singular integral expression. The problem of solution of singular integral equation is reduced to nonsingular system of linear algebraic equations without shift meshes techniques employment. We also propose generalized quadrature method for solution of Abel equation using the singular integral. Relaxed errors bounds are derived. In order to improve the accuracy we use Tikhonov regularization method. We demonstrate the efficiency of proposed techniques on infrared tomography problem. Numerical experiments show that it make sense to apply regularization in case of highly noisy sources only. That is due to the fact that singular integral equations enjoy selfregularization property.

Ildar Muftahov, Aleksandr Tynda, Denis Sidorov

We propose the numerical methods for solution of the weakly regular linear and nonlinear evolutionary (Volterra) integral equation of the first kind. The kernels of such equations have jump discontinuities along the continuous curves (endogenous delays) which starts at the origin. In order to linearize these equations we use the modified Newton-Kantorovich iterative process. Then for linear equations we propose two direct quadrature methods based on the piecewise constant and piecewise linear approximation of the exact solution. The accuracy of proposed numerical methods is $\mathcal{O}(1/N)$ and $\mathcal{O}(1/N^2)$ respectively. We also suggest a certain iterative numerical scheme enjoying the regularization properties. Furthermore, we adduce generalized numerical method for nonlinear equations. We employ the midpoint quadrature rule in all the cases. In conclusion we include several numerical examples in order to demonstrate the efficiency of proposed numerical methods

Victor Kurbatsky, Nikita Tomin, Vadim Spiryaev et al.

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode decomposition and a feature analysis of initial retrospective data using the Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning algorithms. The random forests and gradient boosting trees learning techniques were examined. The decision tree techniques were used to rank the importance of variables employed in the forecasting models. The Mean Decrease Gini index is employed as an impurity function. The resulting hybrid forecasting models employ the radial basis function neural network and support vector regression. Apart from introduction and references the paper is organized as follows. The section 2 presents the background and the review of several approaches for short-term forecasting of power system parameters. In the third section a hybrid machine learning-based algorithm using Hilbert-Huang transform is developed for short-term forecasting of power system parameters. Fourth section describes the decision tree learning algorithms used for the issue of variables importance. Finally in section six the experimental results in the following electric power problems are presented: active power flow forecasting, electricity price forecasting and for the wind speed and direction forecasting.