Ling Guo

Ling Guo, Hao Wu, Wenwen Zhou et al.

We propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification via information bottleneck (IB-UQ) for scientific machine learning tasks, including deep neural network (DNN) regression and neural operator learning (DeepONet). Specifically, we incorporate the bottleneck by a confidence-aware encoder, which encodes inputs into latent representations according to the confidence of the input data belonging to the region where training data is located, and utilize a Gaussian decoder to predict means and variances of outputs conditional on representation variables. Furthermore, we propose a data augmentation based information bottleneck objective which can enhance the quantification quality of the extrapolation uncertainty, and the encoder and decoder can be both trained by minimizing a tractable variational bound of the objective. In comparison to uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for scientific learning tasks that rely on Bayesian neural networks with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo posterior estimators, the model we propose is computationally efficient, particularly when dealing with large-scale data sets. The effectiveness of the IB-UQ model has been demonstrated through several representative examples, such as regression for discontinuous functions, real-world data set regression, learning nonlinear operators for partial differential equations, and a large-scale climate model. The experimental results indicate that the IB-UQ model can handle noisy data, generate robust predictions, and provide confident uncertainty evaluation for out-of-distribution data.

Apostolos F Psaros, Xuhui Meng, Zongren Zou et al.

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with traditional methods. However, quantifying errors and uncertainties in NN-based inference is more complicated than in traditional methods. This is because in addition to aleatoric uncertainty associated with noisy data, there is also uncertainty due to limited data, but also due to NN hyperparameters, overparametrization, optimization and sampling errors as well as model misspecification. Although there are some recent works on uncertainty quantification (UQ) in NNs, there is no systematic investigation of suitable methods towards quantifying the total uncertainty effectively and efficiently even for function approximation, and there is even less work on solving partial differential equations and learning operator mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces using NNs. In this work, we present a comprehensive framework that includes uncertainty modeling, new and existing solution methods, as well as evaluation metrics and post-hoc improvement approaches. To demonstrate the applicability and reliability of our framework, we present an extensive comparative study in which various methods are tested on prototype problems, including problems with mixed input-output data, and stochastic problems in high dimensions. In the Appendix, we include a comprehensive description of all the UQ methods employed, which we will make available as open-source library of all codes included in this framework.

Yan Wang, Ling Guo, Hao Wu et al.

Sampling from Boltzmann distributions, particularly those tied to high dimensional and complex energy functions, poses a significant challenge in many fields. In this work, we present the Energy-Based Diffusion Generator (EDG), a novel approach that integrates ideas from variational autoencoders and diffusion models. EDG uses a decoder to generate Boltzmann-distributed samples from simple latent variables, and a diffusion-based encoder to estimate the Kullback-Leibler divergence to the target distribution. Notably, EDG is simulation-free, eliminating the need to solve ordinary or stochastic differential equations during training. Furthermore, by removing constraints such as bijectivity in the decoder, EDG allows for flexible network design. Through empirical evaluation, we demonstrate the superior performance of EDG across a variety of sampling tasks with complex target distributions, outperforming existing methods.