Chris Hill

Qidong Yang, Jonathan Giezendanner, Daniel Salles Civitarese et al.

Urgent applications like wildfire management and renewable energy generation require precise, localized weather forecasts near the Earth's surface. However, forecasts produced by machine learning models or numerical weather prediction systems are typically generated on large-scale regular grids, where direct downscaling fails to capture fine-grained, near-surface weather patterns. In this work, we propose a multi-modal transformer model trained end-to-end to downscale gridded forecasts to off-grid locations of interest. Our model directly combines local historical weather observations (e.g., wind, temperature, dewpoint) with gridded forecasts to produce locally accurate predictions at various lead times. Multiple data modalities are collected and concatenated at station-level locations, treated as a token at each station. Using self-attention, the token corresponding to the target location aggregates information from its neighboring tokens. Experiments using weather stations across the Northeastern United States show that our model outperforms a range of data-driven and non-data-driven off-grid forecasting methods. They also reveal that direct input of station data provides a phase shift in local weather forecasting accuracy, reducing the prediction error by up to 80% compared to pure gridded data based models. This approach demonstrates how to bridge the gap between large-scale weather models and locally accurate forecasts to support high-stakes, location-sensitive decision-making.

Rishikesh Ranade, Chris Hill, Haiyang He et al.

Numerical simulations for engineering applications solve partial differential equations (PDE) to model various physical processes. Traditional PDE solvers are very accurate but computationally costly. On the other hand, Machine Learning (ML) methods offer a significant computational speedup but face challenges with accuracy and generalization to different PDE conditions, such as geometry, boundary conditions, initial conditions and PDE source terms. In this work, we propose a novel ML-based approach, CoAE-MLSim (Composable AutoEncoder Machine Learning Simulation), which is an unsupervised, lower-dimensional, local method, that is motivated from key ideas used in commercial PDE solvers. This allows our approach to learn better with relatively fewer samples of PDE solutions. The proposed ML-approach is compared against commercial solvers for better benchmarks as well as latest ML-approaches for solving PDEs. It is tested for a variety of complex engineering cases to demonstrate its computational speed, accuracy, scalability, and generalization across different PDE conditions. The results show that our approach captures physics accurately across all metrics of comparison (including measures such as results on section cuts and lines).

Rishikesh Ranade, Chris Hill, Haiyang He et al.

In this work we propose a hybrid solver to solve partial differential equation (PDE)s in the latent space. The solver uses an iterative inferencing strategy combined with solution initialization to improve generalization of PDE solutions. The solver is tested on an engineering case and the results show that it can generalize well to several PDE conditions.