Yaying Zhang

Aoyu Liu, Yaying Zhang

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for smart cities to achieve traffic control, route planning, and flow detection. Although many spatial-temporal methods are currently proposed, these methods are deficient in capturing the spatial-temporal dependence of traffic data synchronously. In addition, most of the methods ignore the dynamically changing correlations between road network nodes that arise as traffic data changes. We propose a neural network-based Spatial-Temporal Interactive Dynamic Graph Convolutional Network (STIDGCN) to address the above challenges for traffic forecasting. Specifically, we propose an interactive dynamic graph convolution structure, which divides the sequences at intervals and synchronously captures the traffic data's spatial-temporal dependence through an interactive learning strategy. The interactive learning strategy makes STIDGCN effective for long-term prediction. We also propose a novel dynamic graph convolution module to capture the dynamically changing correlations in the traffic network, consisting of a graph generator and fusion graph convolution. The dynamic graph convolution module can use the input traffic data and pre-defined graph structure to generate a graph structure. It is then fused with the defined adaptive adjacency matrix to generate a dynamic adjacency matrix, which fills the pre-defined graph structure and simulates the generation of dynamic associations between nodes in the road network. Extensive experiments on four real-world traffic flow datasets demonstrate that STIDGCN outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline.

Zihao Yao, Jiankai Zuo, Yaying Zhang

Time series data plays a pivotal role in a wide variety of fields but faces challenges related to privacy concerns. Recently, synthesizing data via diffusion models is viewed as a promising solution. However, existing methods still struggle to capture long-range temporal dependencies and complex channel interrelations. In this research, we aim to utilize the sequence modeling capability of a State Space Model called Mamba to extend its applicability to time series data generation. We firstly analyze the core limitations in State Space Model, namely the lack of consideration for correlated temporal lag and channel permutation. Building upon the insight, we propose Lag Fusion Mamba and Permutation Scanning Mamba, which enhance the model's ability to discern significant patterns during the denoising process. Theoretical analysis reveals that both variants exhibit a unified matrix multiplication framework with the original Mamba, offering a deeper understanding of our method. Finally, we integrate two variants and introduce Diffusion Mamba for Time Series (DiM-TS), a high-quality time series generation model that better preserves the temporal periodicity and inter-channel correlations. Comprehensive experiments on public datasets demonstrate the superiority of DiM-TS in generating realistic time series while preserving diverse properties of data.

Qi Zheng, Zihao Yao, Yaying Zhang

Spatial-temporal forecasting is crucial and widely applicable in various domains such as traffic, energy, and climate. Benefiting from the abundance of unlabeled spatial-temporal data, self-supervised methods are increasingly adapted to learn spatial-temporal representations. However, it encounters three key challenges: 1) the difficulty in selecting reliable negative pairs due to the homogeneity of variables, hindering contrastive learning methods; 2) overlooking spatial correlations across variables over time; 3) limitations of efficiency and scalability in existing self-supervised learning methods. To tackle these, we propose a lightweight representation-learning model ST-ReP, integrating current value reconstruction and future value prediction into the pre-training framework for spatial-temporal forecasting. And we design a new spatial-temporal encoder to model fine-grained relationships. Moreover, multi-time scale analysis is incorporated into the self-supervised loss to enhance predictive capability. Experimental results across diverse domains demonstrate that the proposed model surpasses pre-training-based baselines, showcasing its ability to learn compact and semantically enriched representations while exhibiting superior scalability.