Lu Zhang

Muleilan Pei, Shaoshuai Shi, Lu Zhang et al.

Trajectory prediction for surrounding agents is a challenging task in autonomous driving due to its inherent uncertainty and underlying multimodality. Unlike prevailing data-driven methods that primarily rely on supervised learning, in this paper, we introduce a novel Graph-oriented Inverse Reinforcement Learning (GoIRL) framework, which is an IRL-based predictor equipped with vectorized context representations. We develop a feature adaptor to effectively aggregate lane-graph features into grid space, enabling seamless integration with the maximum entropy IRL paradigm to infer the reward distribution and obtain the policy that can be sampled to induce multiple plausible plans. Furthermore, conditioned on the sampled plans, we implement a hierarchical parameterized trajectory generator with a refinement module to enhance prediction accuracy and a probability fusion strategy to boost prediction confidence. Extensive experimental results showcase our approach not only achieves state-of-the-art performance on the large-scale Argoverse & nuScenes motion forecasting benchmarks but also exhibits superior generalization abilities compared to existing supervised models.

Lu Zhang, Peiliang Li, Jing Chen et al.

Motion prediction for traffic participants is essential for a safe and robust automated driving system, especially in cluttered urban environments. However, it is highly challenging due to the complex road topology as well as the uncertain intentions of the other agents. In this paper, we present a graph-based trajectory prediction network named the Dual Scale Predictor (DSP), which encodes both the static and dynamical driving context in a hierarchical manner. Different from methods based on a rasterized map or sparse lane graph, we consider the driving context as a graph with two layers, focusing on both geometrical and topological features. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are applied to extract features with different levels of granularity, and features are subsequently aggregated with attention-based inter-layer networks, realizing better local-global feature fusion. Following the recent goal-driven trajectory prediction pipeline, goal candidates with high likelihood for the target agent are extracted, and predicted trajectories are generated conditioned on these goals. Thanks to the proposed dual-scale context fusion network, our DSP is able to generate accurate and human-like multi-modal trajectories. We evaluate the proposed method on the large-scale Argoverse motion forecasting benchmark, and it achieves promising results, outperforming the recent state-of-the-art methods.

Lu Zhang, Wenchao Ding, Jing Chen et al.

Decision-making in dense traffic scenarios is challenging for automated vehicles (AVs) due to potentially stochastic behaviors of other traffic participants and perception uncertainties (e.g., tracking noise and prediction errors, etc.). Although the partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) provides a systematic way to incorporate these uncertainties, it quickly becomes computationally intractable when scaled to the real-world large-size problem. In this paper, we present an efficient uncertainty-aware decision-making (EUDM) framework, which generates long-term lateral and longitudinal behaviors in complex driving environments in real-time. The computation complexity is controlled to an appropriate level by two novel techniques, namely, the domain-specific closed-loop policy tree (DCP-Tree) structure and conditional focused branching (CFB) mechanism. The key idea is utilizing domain-specific expert knowledge to guide the branching in both action and intention space. The proposed framework is validated using both onboard sensing data captured by a real vehicle and an interactive multi-agent simulation platform. We also release the code of our framework to accommodate benchmarking.