Qian Wang

Qian Wang, Toby P. Breckon

Automatic crowd behaviour analysis is an important task for intelligent transportation systems to enable effective flow control and dynamic route planning for varying road participants. Crowd counting is one of the keys to automatic crowd behaviour analysis. Crowd counting using deep convolutional neural networks (CNN) has achieved encouraging progress in recent years. Researchers have devoted much effort to the design of variant CNN architectures and most of them are based on the pre-trained VGG16 model. Due to the insufficient expressive capacity, the backbone network of VGG16 is usually followed by another cumbersome network specially designed for good counting performance. Although VGG models have been outperformed by Inception models in image classification tasks, the existing crowd counting networks built with Inception modules still only have a small number of layers with basic types of Inception modules. To fill in this gap, in this paper, we firstly benchmark the baseline Inception-v3 model on commonly used crowd counting datasets and achieve surprisingly good performance comparable with or better than most existing crowd counting models. Subsequently, we push the boundary of this disruptive work further by proposing a Segmentation Guided Attention Network (SGANet) with Inception-v3 as the backbone and a novel curriculum loss for crowd counting. We conduct thorough experiments to compare the performance of our SGANet with prior arts and the proposed model can achieve state-of-the-art performance with MAE of 57.6, 6.3 and 87.6 on ShanghaiTechA, ShanghaiTechB and UCF\_QNRF, respectively.

Lei Lin, Qian Wang, Adel W. Sadek

Traffic accident data are usually noisy, contain missing values, and heterogeneous. How to select the most important variables to improve real-time traffic accident risk prediction has become a concern of many recent studies. This paper proposes a novel variable selection method based on the Frequent Pattern tree (FP tree) algorithm. First, all the frequent patterns in the traffic accident dataset are discovered. Then for each frequent pattern, a new criterion, called the Relative Object Purity Ratio (ROPR) which we proposed, is calculated. This ROPR is added to the importance score of the variables that differentiate one frequent pattern from the others. To test the proposed method, a dataset was compiled from the traffic accidents records detected by only one detector on interstate highway I-64 in Virginia in 2005. This dataset was then linked to other variables such as real-time traffic information and weather conditions. Both the proposed method based on the FP tree algorithm, as well as the widely utilized, random forest method, were then used to identify the important variables or the Virginia dataset. The results indicate that there are some differences between the variables deemed important by the FP tree and those selected by the random forest method. Following this, two baseline models (i.e. a nearest neighbor (k-NN) method and a Bayesian network) were developed to predict accident risk based on the variables identified by both the FP tree method and the random forest method. The results show that the models based on the variable selection using the FP tree performed better than those based on the random forest method for several versions of the k-NN and Bayesian network models.The best results were derived from a Bayesian network model using variables from FP tree. That model could predict 61.11% of accidents accurately while having a false alarm rate of 38.16%.