Liya Wang

Liya Wang, Alex Tien

Remote sensing scene classification has been extensively studied for its critical roles in geological survey, oil exploration, traffic management, earthquake prediction, wildfire monitoring, and intelligence monitoring. In the past, the Machine Learning (ML) methods for performing the task mainly used the backbones pretrained in the manner of supervised learning (SL). As Masked Image Modeling (MIM), a self-supervised learning (SSL) technique, has been shown as a better way for learning visual feature representation, it presents a new opportunity for improving ML performance on the scene classification task. This research aims to explore the potential of MIM pretrained backbones on four well-known classification datasets: Merced, AID, NWPU-RESISC45, and Optimal-31. Compared to the published benchmarks, we show that the MIM pretrained Vision Transformer (ViTs) backbones outperform other alternatives (up to 18% on top 1 accuracy) and that the MIM technique can learn better feature representation than the supervised learning counterparts (up to 5% on top 1 accuracy). Moreover, we show that the general-purpose MIM-pretrained ViTs can achieve competitive performance as the specially designed yet complicated Transformer for Remote Sensing (TRS) framework. Our experiment results also provide a performance baseline for future studies.

Liya Wang, Alex Tien, Jason Chou

Airport performance prediction with a reasonable look-ahead time is a challenging task and has been attempted by various prior research. Traffic, demand, weather, and traffic management actions are all critical inputs to any prediction model. In this paper, a novel approach based on Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) was proposed to predict departure and arrival delays simultaneously for multiple airports at once. This approach can capture complex temporal dynamics of the inputs known at the time of prediction and then forecast selected delay metrics up to four hours into the future. When dealing with weather inputs, a self-supervised learning (SSL) model was developed to encode high-dimensional weather data into a much lower-dimensional representation to make the training of TFT more efficiently and effectively. The initial results show that the TFT-based delay prediction model achieves satisfactory performance measured by smaller prediction errors on a testing dataset. In addition, the interpretability analysis of the model outputs identifies the important input factors for delay prediction. The proposed approach is expected to help air traffic managers or decision makers gain insights about traffic management actions on delay mitigation and once operationalized, provide enough lead time to plan for predicted performance degradation.

Liya Wang, Amy Mykityshyn, Craig Johnson et al.

Inspired by the success of deep learning (DL) in natural language processing (NLP), we applied cutting-edge DL techniques to predict flight departure demand in a strategic time horizon (4 hours or longer). This work was conducted in support of a MITRE-developed mobile application, Pacer, which displays predicted departure demand to general aviation (GA) flight operators so they can have better situation awareness of the potential for departure delays during busy periods. Field demonstrations involving Pacer's previously designed rule-based prediction method showed that the prediction accuracy of departure demand still has room for improvement. This research strives to improve prediction accuracy from two key aspects: better data sources and robust forecasting algorithms. We leveraged two data sources, Aviation System Performance Metrics (ASPM) and System Wide Information Management (SWIM), as our input. We then trained forecasting models with DL techniques of sequence to sequence (seq2seq) and seq2seq with attention. The case study has shown that our seq2seq with attention performs best among four forecasting algorithms tested. In addition, with better data sources, seq2seq with attention can reduce mean squared error (mse) over 60%, compared to the classical autoregressive (AR) forecasting method.