Wenjing Li

Xinyu Yuan, Yan Qiao, Zhenchun Wei et al.

Due to network operation and maintenance relying heavily on network traffic monitoring, traffic matrix analysis has been one of the most crucial issues for network management related tasks. However, it is challenging to reliably obtain the precise measurement in computer networks because of the high measurement cost, and the unavoidable transmission loss. Although some methods proposed in recent years allowed estimating network traffic from partial flow-level or link-level measurements, they often perform poorly for traffic matrix estimation nowadays. Despite strong assumptions like low-rank structure and the prior distribution, existing techniques are usually task-specific and tend to be significantly worse as modern network communication is extremely complicated and dynamic. To address the dilemma, this paper proposed a diffusion-based traffic matrix analysis framework named Diffusion-TM, which leverages problem-agnostic diffusion to notably elevate the estimation performance in both traffic distribution and accuracy. The novel framework not only takes advantage of the powerful generative ability of diffusion models to produce realistic network traffic, but also leverages the denoising process to unbiasedly estimate all end-to-end traffic in a plug-and-play manner under theoretical guarantee. Moreover, taking into account that compiling an intact traffic dataset is usually infeasible, we also propose a two-stage training scheme to make our framework be insensitive to missing values in the dataset. With extensive experiments with real-world datasets, we illustrate the effectiveness of Diffusion-TM on several tasks. Moreover, the results also demonstrate that our method can obtain promising results even with $5\%$ known values left in the datasets.

Wenjing Li, Randy C. Paffenroth, David Berthiaume

Ensemble learning is a process by which multiple base learners are strategically generated and combined into one composite learner. There are two features that are essential to an ensemble's performance, the individual accuracies of the component learners and the overall diversity in the ensemble. The right balance of learner accuracy and ensemble diversity can improve the performance of machine learning tasks on benchmark and real-world data sets, and recent theoretical and practical work has demonstrated the subtle trade-off between accuracy and diversity in an ensemble. In this paper, we extend the extant literature by providing a deeper theoretical understanding for assessing and improving the optimality of any given ensemble, including random forests and deep neural network ensembles. We also propose a training algorithm for neural network ensembles and demonstrate that our approach provides improved performance when compared to both state-of-the-art individual learners and ensembles of state-of-the-art learners trained using standard loss functions. Our key insight is that it is better to explicitly encourage diversity in an ensemble, rather than merely allowing diversity to occur by happenstance, and that rigorous theoretical bounds on the trade-off between diversity and learner accuracy allow one to know when an optimal arrangement has been achieved.