Zhiwei Wang

Chang Fu, Zhe Yu, Di Shi et al.

Accurate identification of parameters of load models is essential in power system computations, including simulation, prediction, and stability and reliability analysis. Conventional point estimation based composite load modeling approaches suffer from disturbances and noises and provide limited information of the system dynamics. In this work, a statistic (Bayesian Estimation) based distribution estimation approach is proposed for both static (ZIP) and dynamic (Induction Motor) load modeling. When dealing with multiple parameters, Gibbs sampling method is employed. In each iteration, the proposal samples each parameter while keeps others fixed. The proposed method provides a distribution estimation of load models coefficients and is robust to measurement errors.

Chen Yuan, Yuqi Zhou, Guofang Zhang et al.

With the increased complexity of power systems due to the integration of smart grid technologies and renewable energy resources, more frequent changes have been introduced to system status, and the traditional serial mode of state estimation algorithm cannot well meet the restrict time-constrained requirement for the future dynamic power grid, even with advanced computer hardware. To guarantee the grid reliability and minimize the impacts caused by system status fluctuations, a fast, even SCADA-rate, state estimator is urgently needed. In this paper, a graph based power system modeling is firstly explored and a graph computing based state estimation is proposed to speed up its performance. The power system is represented by a graph, which is a collection of vertices and edges, and the measurements are attributes of vertices and edges. Each vertex can independently implement local computation, like formulations of the node-based H matrix, gain matrix and righthand-side (RHS) vector, only with the information on its connected edges and neighboring vertices. Then, by taking advantages of graph database, these node-based data are conveniently collected and stored in the compressed sparse row (CSR) format avoiding the complexity and heaviness introduced by the sparse matrices. With communications and synchronization, centralized computation of solving the weighted least square (WLS) state estimation is completed with hierarchical parallel computing. The proposed strategy is implemented on a graph database platform. The testing results of IEEE 14-bus, IEEE 118-bus systems and a provincial system in China verify the accuracy and high-performance of the proposed methodology.

Xiaohu Zhang, Di Shi, Xiao Lu et al.

This paper proposes an approach to address the voltage stability assessment (VSA) considering N-1 contingency. The approach leverages the sensitivity based Thevenin index (STI) which involves evaluating the Jacobian matrix at current operating condition. Since the N-1 contingency case is hypothetical, there is no information regarding the operating condition after a foreseen contingency. The proposed approach first estimates the post-contingency operating point as well as possible PV-PQ transitions based on the current operating point. Then the STI for each contingency can be predicted using the estimated operating condition. Numerical results based on IEEE 14-bus system demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed approach in predicting the voltage stability margin under contingency. Moreover, the on-line implementation of the proposed approach is promising since it only involves solving several linear equations.

Junjie Shi, Guangyi Liu, Renchang Dai et al.

Power flow calculation in EMS is required to accommodate a large and complex power system. To achieve a faster than real-time calculation, a graph based power flow calculation is proposed in this paper. Graph database and graph computing advantages in power system calculations are presented. A linear solver for power flow application is formulated and decomposed in nodal parallelism and hierarchical parallelism to fully utilize graph parallel computing capability. Comparison of the algorithm with traditional sequential programs shows significant benefits on computation efficiency. Case studies on practical large-scale systems provide supporting evidence that the new algorithm is promising for online computing for EMS.

Zhijie Nie, Xiaohu Zhang, Xiaoying Zhao et al.

Voltage stability refers to the ability of a power system to maintain acceptable voltages among all buses under normal operating conditions and after a disturbance. In this paper, a measurement-based voltage stability assessment (VSA) framework using online deep learning is developed. Since the topology changes induced by transmission contingencies may significantly reduce the voltage stability margin, different network topologies under different operating conditions are involved in our training dataset. To achieve high accuracy in the training process, a gradient-based adaptive learning algorithms is adopted. Numerical results based on the NETS-NYPS 68-bus system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed VSA approach. Moreover, with the proximal function modified adaptively, the adaptive algorithm with momentum outperforms traditional nonadaptive algorithms whose learning rate is constant.

Mang Liao, Di Shi, Zhe Yu et al.

This paper presents a novel algorithm for recovering missing data of phasor measurement units (PMUs). Due to the low-rank property of PMU data, missing measurement recovery can be formulated as a low-rank matrix-completion problem. Based on maximum-margin matrix factorization, we propose an efficient algorithm based on alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) for solving the matrix completion problem. Comparing to existing approaches, the proposed ADMM based algorithm does not need to estimate the rank of the target data matrix and provides better performance in computation complexity. In addition, we consider the case of measurements missing from all PMU channels and provide a strategy of reshaping the matrix which contains the received PMU data for recovery. Numerical results using PMU measurements from IEEE 68-bus power system model illustrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approaches.

Yinglun Xu, Zhiwei Wang, Gagandeep Singh

Thompson sampling is one of the most popular learning algorithms for online sequential decision-making problems and has rich real-world applications. However, current Thompson sampling algorithms are limited by the assumption that the rewards received are uncorrupted, which may not be true in real-world applications where adversarial reward poisoning exists. To make Thompson sampling more reliable, we want to make it robust against adversarial reward poisoning. The main challenge is that one can no longer compute the actual posteriors for the true reward, as the agent can only observe the rewards after corruption. In this work, we solve this problem by computing pseudo-posteriors that are less likely to be manipulated by the attack. We propose robust algorithms based on Thompson sampling for the popular stochastic and contextual linear bandit settings in both cases where the agent is aware or unaware of the budget of the attacker. We theoretically show that our algorithms guarantee near-optimal regret under any attack strategy.

Zhiwei Wang, Huazheng Wang, Hongning Wang

Adversarial attacks against stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms have been extensively studied in the literature. In this work, we focus on reward poisoning attacks and find most existing attacks can be easily detected by our proposed detection method based on the test of homogeneity, due to their aggressive nature in reward manipulations. This motivates us to study the notion of stealthy attack against stochastic MABs and investigate the resulting attackability. Our analysis shows that against two popularly employed MAB algorithms, UCB1 and $ε$-greedy, the success of a stealthy attack depends on the environmental conditions and the realized reward of the arm pulled in the first round. We also analyze the situation for general MAB algorithms equipped with our attack detection method and find that it is possible to have a stealthy attack that almost always succeeds. This brings new insights into the security risks of MAB algorithms.

Xinan Wang, Yishen Wang, Di Shi et al.

With the increasing complexity of modern power systems, conventional dynamic load modeling with ZIP and induction motors (ZIP + IM) is no longer adequate to address the current load characteristic transitions. In recent years, the WECC composite load model (WECC CLM) has shown to effectively capture the dynamic load responses over traditional load models in various stability studies and contingency analyses. However, a detailed WECC CLM model typically has a high degree of complexity, with over one hundred parameters, and no systematic approach to identifying and calibrating these parameters. Enabled by the wide deployment of PMUs and advanced deep learning algorithms, proposed here is a double deep Q-learning network (DDQN)-based, two-stage load modeling framework for the WECC CLM. This two-stage method decomposes the complicated WECC CLM for more efficient identification and does not require explicit model details. In the first stage, the DDQN agent determines an accurate load composition. In the second stage, the parameters of the WECC CLM are selected from a group of Monte-Carlo simulations. The set of selected load parameters is expected to best approximate the true transient responses. The proposed framework is verified using an IEEE 39-bus test system on commercial simulation platforms.

Ruisheng Diao, Zhiwei Wang, Di Shi et al.

Modern power grids are experiencing grand challenges caused by the stochastic and dynamic nature of growing renewable energy and demand response. Traditional theoretical assumptions and operational rules may be violated, which are difficult to be adapted by existing control systems due to the lack of computational power and accurate grid models for use in real time, leading to growing concerns in the secure and economic operation of the power grid. Existing operational control actions are typically determined offline, which are less optimized. This paper presents a novel paradigm, Grid Mind, for autonomous grid operational controls using deep reinforcement learning. The proposed AI agent for voltage control can learn its control policy through interactions with massive offline simulations, and adapts its behavior to new changes including not only load/generation variations but also topological changes. A properly trained agent is tested on the IEEE 14-bus system with tens of thousands of scenarios, and promising performance is demonstrated in applying autonomous voltage controls for secure grid operation.

Qicheng Chang, Yishen Wang, Xiao Lu et al.

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps to improve the reliability and economics of system operation performances. This paper proposes a two-stage probabilistic load forecasting framework by integrating point forecast as a key probabilistic forecasting feature into PLF. In the first stage, all related features are utilized to train a point forecast model and also obtain the feature importance. In the second stage the forecasting model is trained, taking into consideration point forecast features, as well as selected feature subsets. During the testing period of the forecast model, the final probabilistic load forecast results are leveraged to obtain both point forecasting and probabilistic forecasting. Numerical results obtained from ISO New England demand data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in the hour-ahead load forecasting, which uses the gradient boosting regression for the point forecasting and quantile regression neural networks for the probabilistic forecasting.

Yayu Peng, Yishen Wang, Xiao Lu et al.

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and economic operation of power systems. Though many STLF methods were proposed over the past decades, most of them focused on loads at high aggregation levels only. Thus, low-aggregation load forecast still requires further research and development. Compared with the substation or city level loads, individual loads are typically more volatile and much more challenging to forecast. To further address this issue, this paper first discusses the characteristics of small-and-medium enterprise (SME) and residential loads at different aggregation levels and quantifies their predictability with approximate entropy. Various STLF techniques, from the conventional linear regression to state-of-the-art deep learning, are implemented for a detailed comparative analysis to verify the forecasting performances as well as the predictability using an Irish smart meter dataset. In addition, the paper also investigates how using data processing improves individual-level residential load forecasting with low predictability. Effectiveness of the discussed method is validated with numerical results.

Yao Cui, Zhehan Yi, Jiajun Duan et al.

This paper proposes a resilient-backpropagation-neural-network-(Rprop-NN) based algorithm for Photovoltaic (PV) maximum power point tracking (MPPT). A supervision mechanism is proposed to calibrate the Rprop-NN-MPPT reference and limit short-circuit current caused by incorrect prediction. Conventional MPPT algorithms (e.g., perturb and observe (P&O), hill climbing, and incremental conductance (Inc-Cond) etc.) are trial-and-error-based, which may result in steady-state oscillations and loss of tracking direction under fast-changing ambient environment. In addition, partial shading is also a challenge due to the difficulty of finding the global maximum power point on a multi-peak characteristic curve. As an attempt to address the aforementioned issues, a novel Rprop-NN MPPT algorithm is developed and elaborated in this work. Multiple case studies are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Yimajian Yan, Di Shi, Desong Bian et al.

Distributed control, as a potential solution to decreasing communication demands in microgrids, has drawn much attention in recent years. Advantages of distributed control have been extensively discussed, while its impacts on microgrid performance and stability, especially in the case of communication latency, have not been explicitly studied or fully understood yet. This paper addresses this gap by proposing a generalized theoretical framework for small-signal stability analysis and performance evaluation for microgrids using distributed control. The proposed framework synthesizes generator and load frequency-domain characteristics, primary and secondary control loops, as well as the communication latency into a frequency-domain representation which is further evaluated by the generalized Nyquist theorem. In addition, various parameters and their impacts on microgrid dynamic performance are investigated and summarized into guidelines to help better design the system. Case studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Chen Yuan, Yi Lu, Kewen Liu et al.

Compared with traditional relational database, graph database, GDB, is a natural expression of most real-world systems. Each node in the GDB is not only a storage unit, but also a logic operation unit to implement local computation in parallel. This paper firstly explores the feasibility of power system modeling using GDB. Then a brief introduction of the PageRank algorithm and the feasibility analysis of its application in GDB are presented. Then the proposed GDB based bilevel PageRank algorithm is developed from PageRank algorithm and Gauss Seidel methodology realize high performance parallel computation. MP 10790 case, and its extensions, MP 107900 and MP 1079000, are tested to verify the proposed method and investigate its parallelism in GDB. Besides, a provincial system, FJ case which include 1425 buses and 1922 branches, is also included in the case study to further prove the proposed algorithm effectiveness in real world.

Hasan Ul Banna, Zhe Yu, Di Shi et al.

Controlled islanding is considered to be the last countermeasure to prevent system-wide blackouts in case of cascading failures. It splits the system into self-sustained islands to maintain transient stability at the expense of possible loss of load. Generator coherence identification is critical to controlled islanding scheme as it helps identify the optimal cut-set to maintain system transient stability. This paper presents a novel approach for online generator coherency identification using phasor measurement unit (PMU) data and dynamic time warping (DTW). Results from the coherence identification are used to further cluster non-generator buses using spectral clustering with the objective of minimizing power flow disruption. The proposed approach is validated and compared to existing methods on the IEEE 39-bus system, through which its advantages are demonstrated.

Shruti Rao, Daniel Tylavsky, Weili Yi et al.

A new method of solving the power-flow problem, the holomorphically embedded load-flow method (HELM) is theoretically guaranteed to find the high-voltage solution, if one exists, up to the saddle-node bifurcation point (SNBP), provided sufficient precision is used and the conditions of Stahls theorem are satisfied. Sigma indices, have been proposed as estimators of the distance from the present operating point to the SNBP, and indicators of the weak buses in a system. In this paper, it is shown that the sigma condition proposed in [2] will not produce reliable results and that a modified requirement can be used to produce a tight upper bound on the SNBP. Introduced is an approach to estimate the weak buses in the system using the HEM power series with numerical results compared to traditional modal analysis for a 14-bus system.

Di Shi, Xi Chen, Zhiwei Wang et al.

One critical value microgrids bring to power systems is resilience, the capability of being able to island from the main grid under certain conditions and connect back when necessary. Once islanded, a microgrid must be synchronized to the main grid before reconnection to prevent severe consequences. In general, synchronization of a single machine with the grid can be easily achieved using a synchronizer. The problem becomes more challenging when it comes to a multi-bus microgrid with multiple distributed generators (DGs) and dispersed loads. All distributed generators need to be properly controlled in a coordinated way to achieve synchronization. This paper presents a novel bi-level distributed cooperative control framework for a multi-bus microgrid. In this framework, DGs work collaboratively in a distributed manner using the minimum and sparse communication. The topology of the communication network can be flexible which supports the plug-and-play feature of microgrids. Fast and deterministic synchronization can be achieved with tolerance to communication latency. Experimental results obtained from Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) simulation demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Xiao Lu, Di Shi, Bin Zhu et al.

An online PMU-assisted Power System Parameter Calibration System (PSPCS) was recently developed and implemented at State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company (JEPC). PSPCS leverages high-resolution PMU data and data mining techniques to perform online screening of the EMS and Production Management System (PMS) databases for data cleaning, model validation, and parameter calibration. PSPCS calculates transmission line and generator parameters on a regular real-time basis and compares the results with databases to identify record(s) with significant discrepancy, if any. Once consistent discrepancy is observed, the system will raise a flag and further investigation will be initiated, including a novel density-based spatial clustering procedure for parameter/data calibration. A novel metric is proposed to quantify the credibility of PMU-based parameter identification. This paper discusses the proposed methodologies, challenges, as well as implementation issues identified during the development and deployment of PSPCS.