Muhammad Wasim Nawaz

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2papers

2 Papers

LGDec 8, 2024
Accurate Multi-Category Student Performance Forecasting at Early Stages of Online Education Using Neural Networks

Naveed Ur Rehman Junejo, Muhammad Wasim Nawaz, Qingsheng Huang et al.

The ability to accurately predict and analyze student performance in online education, both at the outset and throughout the semester, is vital. Most of the published studies focus on binary classification (Fail or Pass) but there is still a significant research gap in predicting students' performance across multiple categories. This study introduces a novel neural network-based approach capable of accurately predicting student performance and identifying vulnerable students at early stages of the online courses. The Open University Learning Analytics (OULA) dataset is employed to develop and test the proposed model, which predicts outcomes in Distinction, Fail, Pass, and Withdrawn categories. The OULA dataset is preprocessed to extract features from demographic data, assessment data, and clickstream interactions within a Virtual Learning Environment (VLE). Comparative simulations indicate that the proposed model significantly outperforms existing baseline models including Artificial Neural Network Long Short Term Memory (ANN-LSTM), Random Forest (RF) 'gini', RF 'entropy' and Deep Feed Forward Neural Network (DFFNN) in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. The results indicate that the prediction accuracy of the proposed method is about 25% more than the existing state-of-the-art. Furthermore, compared to existing methodologies, the model demonstrates superior predictive capability across temporal course progression, achieving superior accuracy even at the initial 20% phase of course completion.

SPJan 9, 2024
Cuff-less Arterial Blood Pressure Waveform Synthesis from Single-site PPG using Transformer & Frequency-domain Learning

Muhammad Wasim Nawaz, Muhammad Ahmad Tahir, Ahsan Mehmood et al.

We develop and evaluate two novel purpose-built deep learning (DL) models for synthesis of the arterial blood pressure (ABP) waveform in a cuff-less manner, using a single-site photoplethysmography (PPG) signal. We train and evaluate our DL models on the data of 209 subjects from the public UCI dataset on cuff-less blood pressure (CLBP) estimation. Our transformer model consists of an encoder-decoder pair that incorporates positional encoding, multi-head attention, layer normalization, and dropout techniques for ABP waveform synthesis. Secondly, under our frequency-domain (FD) learning approach, we first obtain the discrete cosine transform (DCT) coefficients of the PPG and ABP signals, and then learn a linear/non-linear (L/NL) regression between them. The transformer model (FD L/NL model) synthesizes the ABP waveform with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.01 (4.23). Further, the synthesis of ABP waveform also allows us to estimate the systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) values. To this end, the transformer model reports an MAE of 3.77 mmHg and 2.69 mmHg, for SBP and DBP, respectively. On the other hand, the FD L/NL method reports an MAE of 4.37 mmHg and 3.91 mmHg, for SBP and DBP, respectively. Both methods fulfill the AAMI criterion. As for the BHS criterion, our transformer model (FD L/NL regression model) achieves grade A (grade B).