Javier Fernández

Sergio Llana, Borja Burriel, Pau Madrero et al.

We present a framework that gives a deep insight into the link between physical and technical-tactical aspects of soccer and it allows associating physical performance with value generation thanks to a top-down approach. First, we estimate physical indicators from tracking data. Then, we contextualize each player's run to understand better the purpose and circumstances in which it is done, adding a new dimension to the creation of team and player profiles. Finally, we assess the value-added by off-ball high-intensity runs by linking with a possession-value model. This novel approach allows answering practical questions from very different profiles of practitioners within a soccer club, from analysts, coaches, and scouts to physical coaches and readaptation physiotherapists.

Javier Fernandez, Luke Bornn, Daniel Cervone

The expected possession value (EPV) of a soccer possession represents the likelihood of a team scoring or receiving the next goal at any time instance. By decomposing the EPV into a series of subcomponents that are estimated separately, we develop a comprehensive analysis framework providing soccer practitioners with the ability to evaluate the impact of both observed and potential actions. We show we can obtain calibrated models for all the components of EPV, including a set of yet-unexplored problems in soccer. We produce visually-interpretable probability surfaces for potential passes from a series of deep neural network architectures that learn from low-level spatiotemporal data. Additionally, we present a series of novel practical applications providing coaches with an enriched interpretation of specific game situations.

Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa, Adrián Martín, Javier Fernández et al.

Although orientation has proven to be a key skill of soccer players in order to succeed in a broad spectrum of plays, body orientation is a yet-little-explored area in sports analytics' research. Despite being an inherently ambiguous concept, player orientation can be defined as the projection (2D) of the normal vector placed in the center of the upper-torso of players (3D). This research presents a novel technique to obtain player orientation from monocular video recordings by mapping pose parts (shoulders and hips) in a 2D field by combining OpenPose with a super-resolution network, and merging the obtained estimation with contextual information (ball position). Results have been validated with players-held EPTS devices, obtaining a median error of 27 degrees/player. Moreover, three novel types of orientation maps are proposed in order to make raw orientation data easy to visualize and understand, thus allowing further analysis at team- or player-level.

Alessio Rossi, Luca Pappalardo, Paolo Cintia et al.

Injuries have a great impact on professional soccer, due to their large influence on team performance and the considerable costs of rehabilitation for players. Existing studies in the literature provide just a preliminary understanding of which factors mostly affect injury risk, while an evaluation of the potential of statistical models in forecasting injuries is still missing. In this paper, we propose a multi-dimensional approach to injury forecasting in professional soccer that is based on GPS measurements and machine learning. By using GPS tracking technology, we collect data describing the training workload of players in a professional soccer club during a season. We then construct an injury forecaster and show that it is both accurate and interpretable by providing a set of case studies of interest to soccer practitioners. Our approach opens a novel perspective on injury prevention, providing a set of simple and practical rules for evaluating and interpreting the complex relations between injury risk and training performance in professional soccer.