8.8LGSep 18, 2023
Graph-enabled Reinforcement Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Adaptive IntelligenceThanveer Shaik, Xiaohui Tao, Haoran Xie et al.
Reinforcement learning is well known for its ability to model sequential tasks and learn latent data patterns adaptively. Deep learning models have been widely explored and adopted in regression and classification tasks. However, deep learning has its limitations such as the assumption of equally spaced and ordered data, and the lack of ability to incorporate graph structure in terms of time-series prediction. Graphical neural network (GNN) has the ability to overcome these challenges and capture the temporal dependencies in time-series data. In this study, we propose a novel approach for predicting time-series data using GNN and monitoring with Reinforcement Learning (RL). GNNs are able to explicitly incorporate the graph structure of the data into the model, allowing them to capture temporal dependencies in a more natural way. This approach allows for more accurate predictions in complex temporal structures, such as those found in healthcare, traffic and weather forecasting. We also fine-tune our GraphRL model using a Bayesian optimisation technique to further improve performance. The proposed framework outperforms the baseline models in time-series forecasting and monitoring. The contributions of this study include the introduction of a novel GraphRL framework for time-series prediction and the demonstration of the effectiveness of GNNs in comparison to traditional deep learning models such as RNNs and LSTMs. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of GraphRL in providing accurate and efficient predictions in dynamic RL environments.
2.7CLFeb 26, 2025
Random Forest-of-Thoughts: Uncertainty-aware Reasoning for Computational Social ScienceXiaohua Wu, Xiaohui Tao, Wenjie Wu et al.
Social surveys in computational social science are well-designed by elaborate domain theories that can effectively reflect the interviewee's deep thoughts without concealing their true feelings. The candidate questionnaire options highly depend on the interviewee's previous answer, which results in the complexity of social survey analysis, the time, and the expertise required. The ability of large language models (LLMs) to perform complex reasoning is well-enhanced by prompting learning such as Chain-of-thought (CoT) but still confined to left-to-right decision-making processes or limited paths during inference. This means they can fall short in problems that require exploration and uncertainty searching. In response, a novel large language model prompting method, called Random Forest of Thoughts (RFoT), is proposed for generating uncertainty reasoning to fit the area of computational social science. The RFoT allows LLMs to perform deliberate decision-making by generating diverse thought space and randomly selecting the sub-thoughts to build the forest of thoughts. It can extend the exploration and prediction of overall performance, benefiting from the extensive research space of response. The method is applied to optimize computational social science analysis on two datasets covering a spectrum of social survey analysis problems. Our experiments show that RFoT significantly enhances language models' abilities on two novel social survey analysis problems requiring non-trivial reasoning.
2.6LGApr 25, 2024
DE-CGAN: Boosting rTMS Treatment Prediction with Diversity Enhancing Conditional Generative Adversarial NetworksMatthew Squires, Xiaohui Tao, Soman Elangovan et al.
Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) is a well-supported, evidence-based treatment for depression. However, patterns of response to this treatment are inconsistent. Emerging evidence suggests that artificial intelligence can predict rTMS treatment outcomes for most patients using fMRI connectivity features. While these models can reliably predict treatment outcomes for many patients for some underrepresented fMRI connectivity measures DNN models are unable to reliably predict treatment outcomes. As such we propose a novel method, Diversity Enhancing Conditional General Adversarial Network (DE-CGAN) for oversampling these underrepresented examples. DE-CGAN creates synthetic examples in difficult-to-classify regions by first identifying these data points and then creating conditioned synthetic examples to enhance data diversity. Through empirical experiments we show that a classification model trained using a diversity enhanced training set outperforms traditional data augmentation techniques and existing benchmark results. This work shows that increasing the diversity of a training dataset can improve classification model performance. Furthermore, this work provides evidence for the utility of synthetic patients providing larger more robust datasets for both AI researchers and psychiatrists to explore variable relationships.