Salih Salihoglu

Salih Salihoglu, Gulser Koksal, Orhan Abar

In the modern transportation industry, accurate prediction of travelers' next destinations brings multiple benefits to companies, such as customer satisfaction and targeted marketing. This study focuses on developing a precise model that captures the sequential patterns and dependencies in travel data, enabling accurate predictions of individual travelers' future destinations. To achieve this, a novel model architecture with a sliding window approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is proposed for destination prediction in the transportation industry. The experimental results highlight satisfactory performance and high scores achieved by the proposed model across different data sizes and performance metrics. This research contributes to advancing destination prediction methods, empowering companies to deliver personalized recommendations and optimize customer experiences in the dynamic travel landscape.

Ismail Hakki Karaman, Gulser Koksal, Levent Eriskin et al.

In real-world applications, as data availability increases, obtaining labeled data for machine learning (ML) projects remains challenging due to the high costs and intensive efforts required for data annotation. Many ML projects, particularly those focused on multi-label classification, also grapple with data imbalance issues, where certain classes may lack sufficient data to train effective classifiers. This study introduces and examines a novel oversampling method for multi-label text classification, designed to address performance challenges associated with data imbalance. The proposed method identifies potential new samples from unlabeled data by leveraging similarity measures between instances. By iteratively searching the unlabeled dataset, the method locates instances similar to those in underrepresented classes and evaluates their contribution to classifier performance enhancement. Instances that demonstrate performance improvement are then added to the labeled dataset. Experimental results indicate that the proposed approach effectively enhances classifier performance post-oversampling.

Salih Salihoglu, Ibrahim Ahmed, Afshin Asadi

Accurate prediction of electricity prices is crucial for stakeholders in the energy market, particularly for grid operators, energy producers, and consumers. This study focuses on developing a predictive model leveraging Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast day-ahead electricity prices in the California energy market. The model incorporates a variety of features, including historical price data, weather conditions, and the energy generation mix. A novel custom loss function that integrates Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Jensen-Shannon Divergence (JSD), and a smoothness penalty is introduced to enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability. Additionally, an online learning approach is implemented to allow the model to adapt to new data incrementally, ensuring continuous relevance and accuracy. The results demonstrate that the custom loss function can improve the model's performance, aligning predicted prices more closely with actual values, particularly during peak intervals. Also, the online learning model outperforms other models by effectively incorporating real-time data, resulting in lower prediction error and variability. The inclusion of the energy generation mix further enhances the model's predictive capabilities, highlighting the importance of comprehensive feature integration. This research provides a robust framework for electricity price forecasting, offering valuable insights and tools for better decision-making in dynamic electricity markets.