3.3LGMay 26, 2022
GraphPMU: Event Clustering via Graph Representation Learning Using Locationally-Scarce Distribution-Level Fundamental and Harmonic PMU MeasurementsArmin Aligholian, Hamed Mohsenian-Rad
This paper is concerned with the complex task of identifying the type and cause of the events that are captured by distribution-level phasor measurement units (D-PMUs) in order to enhance situational awareness in power distribution systems. Our goal is to address two fundamental challenges in this field: a) scarcity in measurement locations due to the high cost of purchasing, installing, and streaming data from D-PMUs; b) limited prior knowledge about the event signatures due to the fact that the events are diverse, infrequent, and inherently unscheduled. To tackle these challenges, we propose an unsupervised graph-representation learning method, called GraphPMU, to significantly improve the performance in event clustering under locationally-scarce data availability by proposing the following two new directions: 1) using the topological information about the relative location of the few available phasor measurement units on the graph of the power distribution network; 2) utilizing not only the commonly used fundamental phasor measurements, bus also the less explored harmonic phasor measurements in the process of analyzing the signatures of various events. Through a detailed analysis of several case studies, we show that GraphPMU can highly outperform the prevalent methods in the literature.
2.1MLJan 17, 2022
Equitable Community Resilience: The Case of Winter Storm Uri in TexasAli Nejat, Laura Solitare, Edward Pettitt et al.
Community resilience in the face of natural hazards relies on a community's potential to bounce back. A failure to integrate equity into resilience considerations results in unequal recovery and disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations, which has long been a concern in the United States. This research investigated aspects of equity related to community resilience in the aftermath of Winter Storm Uri in Texas which led to extended power outages for more than 4 million households. County level outage and recovery data was analyzed to explore potential significant links between various county attributes and their share of the outages during the recovery and restoration phases. Next, satellite imagery was used to examine data at a much higher geographical resolution focusing on census tracts in the city of Houston. The goal was to use computer vision to extract the extent of outages within census tracts and investigate their linkages to census tracts attributes. Results from various statistical procedures revealed statistically significant negative associations between counties' percentage of non-Hispanic whites and median household income with the ratio of outages. Additionally, at census tract level, variables including percentages of linguistically isolated population and public transport users exhibited positive associations with the group of census tracts that were affected by the outage as detected by computer vision analysis. Informed by these results, engineering solutions such as the applicability of grid modernization technologies, together with distributed and renewable energy resources, when controlled for the region's topographical characteristics, are proposed to enhance equitable power grid resiliency in the face of natural hazards.
2.3SPSep 19, 2021
A Data-Driven Convergence Bidding Strategy Based on Reverse Engineering of Market Participants' Performance: A Case of California ISOEhsan Samani, Mahdi Kohansal, Hamed Mohsenian-Rad
Convergence bidding, a.k.a., virtual bidding, has been widely adopted in wholesale electricity markets in recent years. It provides opportunities for market participants to arbitrage on the difference between the day-ahead market locational marginal prices and the real-time market locational marginal prices. Given the fact that convergence bids (CBs) have a significant impact on the operation of electricity markets, it is important to understand how market participants strategically select their CBs in real-world. We address this open problem with focus on the electricity market that is operated by the California ISO. In this regard, we use the publicly available electricity market data to learn, characterize, and evaluate different types of convergence bidding strategies that are currently used by market participants. Our analysis includes developing a data-driven reverse engineering method that we apply to three years of real-world data. Our analysis involves feature selection and density-based data clustering. It results in identifying three main clusters of CB strategies in the California ISO market. Different characteristics and the performance of each cluster of strategies are analyzed. Interestingly, we unmask a common real-world strategy that does not match any of the existing strategic convergence bidding methods in the literature. Next, we build upon the lessons learned from the existing real-world strategies to propose a new CB strategy that can significantly outperform them. Our analysis includes developing a new strategy for convergence bidding. The new strategy has three steps: net profit maximization by capturing price spikes, dynamic node labeling, and strategy selection algorithm. We show through case studies that the annual net profit for the most lucrative market participants can increase by over 40% if the proposed convergence bidding strategy is used.
2.3SPNov 30, 2020
A Data-Driven Study to Discover, Characterize, and Classify Convergence Bidding Strategies in California ISO Energy MarketEhsan Samani, Hamed Mohsenian-Rad
Convergence bidding has been adopted in recent years by most Independent System Operators (ISOs) in the United States as a relatively new market mechanism to enhance market efficiency. Convergence bidding affects many aspects of the operation of the electricity markets and there is currently a gap in the literature on understanding how the market participants strategically select their convergence bids in practice. To address this open problem, in this paper, we study three years of real-world market data from the California ISO energy market. First, we provide a data-driven overview of all submitted convergence bids (CBs) and analyze the performance of each individual convergence bidder based on the number of their submitted CBs, the number of locations that they placed the CBs, the percentage of submitted supply or demand CBs, the amount of cleared CBs, and their gained profit or loss. Next, we scrutinize the bidding strategies of the 13 largest market players that account for 75\% of all CBs in the California ISO market. We identify quantitative features to characterize and distinguish their different convergence bidding strategies. This analysis results in revealing three different classes of CB strategies that are used in practice. We identify the differences between these strategic bidding classes and compare their advantages and disadvantages. We also explain how some of the most active market participants are using bidding strategies that do not match any of the strategic bidding methods that currently exist in the literature.
4.3SYDec 11, 2019
Event Detection in Micro-PMU Data: A Generative Adversarial Network Scoring MethodArmin Aligholian, Alireza Shahsavari, Ed Cortez et al.
A new data-driven method is proposed to detect events in the data streams from distribution-level phasor measurement units, a.k.a., micro-PMUs. The proposed method is developed by constructing unsupervised deep learning anomaly detection models; thus, providing event detection algorithms that require no or minimal human knowledge. First, we develop the core components of our approach based on a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) model. We refer to this method as the basic method. It uses the same features that are often used in the literature to detect events in micro-PMU data. Next, we propose a second method, which we refer to as the enhanced method, which is enforced with additional feature analysis. Both methods can detect point signatures on single features and also group signatures on multiple features. This capability can address the unbalanced nature of power distribution circuits. The proposed methods are evaluated using real-world micro-PMU data. We show that both methods highly outperform a state-of-the-art statistical method in terms of the event detection accuracy. The enhanced method also outperforms the basic method.