Indeterminate Probability TheoryTao Yang, Chuang Liu, Xiaofeng Ma et al.
Complex continuous or mixed joint distributions (e.g., P(Y | z_1, z_2, ..., z_N)) generally lack closed-form solutions, often necessitating approximations such as MCMC. This paper proposes Indeterminate Probability Theory (IPT), which makes the following contributions: (1) An observer-centered framework in which experimental outcomes are represented as distributions combining ground truth with observation error; (2) The introduction of three independence candidate axioms that enable a two-phase probabilistic inference framework; (3) The derivation of closed-form solutions for arbitrary complex joint distributions under this framework. Both the Indeterminate Probability Neural Network (IPNN) model and the non-neural multivariate time series forecasting application demonstrate IPT's effectiveness in modeling high-dimensional distributions, with successful validation up to 1000 dimensions. Importantly, IPT is consistent with classical probability theory and subsumes the frequentist equation in the limit of vanishing observation error.
2.9CRJun 21, 2022
Using EBGAN for Anomaly Intrusion DetectionYi Cui, Wenfeng Shen, Jian Zhang et al.
As an active network security protection scheme, intrusion detection system (IDS) undertakes the important responsibility of detecting network attacks in the form of malicious network traffic. Intrusion detection technology is an important part of IDS. At present, many scholars have carried out extensive research on intrusion detection technology. However, developing an efficient intrusion detection method for massive network traffic data is still difficult. Since Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have powerful modeling capabilities for complex high-dimensional data, they provide new ideas for addressing this problem. In this paper, we put forward an EBGAN-based intrusion detection method, IDS-EBGAN, that classifies network records as normal traffic or malicious traffic. The generator in IDS-EBGAN is responsible for converting the original malicious network traffic in the training set into adversarial malicious examples. This is because we want to use adversarial learning to improve the ability of discriminator to detect malicious traffic. At the same time, the discriminator adopts Autoencoder model. During testing, IDS-EBGAN uses reconstruction error of discriminator to classify traffic records.