Xi Chen

Jack Millichamp, Xi Chen

The catastrophic forgetting of previously learnt classes is one of the main obstacles to the successful development of a reliable and accurate generative continual learning model. When learning new classes, the internal representation of previously learnt ones can often be overwritten, resulting in the model's "memory" of earlier classes being lost over time. Recent developments in neuroscience have uncovered a method through which the brain avoids its own form of memory interference. Applying a targeted exaggeration of the differences between features of similar, yet competing memories, the brain can more easily distinguish and recall them. In this paper, the application of such exaggeration, via the repulsion of replayed samples belonging to competing classes, is explored. Through the development of a 'reconstruction repulsion' loss, this paper presents a new state-of-the-art performance on the classification of early classes in the class-incremental learning dataset CIFAR100.

Xi Chen, Ye Luo, Martin Spindler

In this paper we develop a data-driven smoothing technique for high-dimensional and non-linear panel data models. We allow for individual specific (non-linear) functions and estimation with econometric or machine learning methods by using weighted observations from other individuals. The weights are determined by a data-driven way and depend on the similarity between the corresponding functions and are measured based on initial estimates. The key feature of such a procedure is that it clusters individuals based on the distance / similarity between them, estimated in a first stage. Our estimation method can be combined with various statistical estimation procedures, in particular modern machine learning methods which are in particular fruitful in the high-dimensional case and with complex, heterogeneous data. The approach can be interpreted as a \textquotedblleft soft-clustering\textquotedblright\ in comparison to traditional\textquotedblleft\ hard clustering\textquotedblright that assigns each individual to exactly one group. We conduct a simulation study which shows that the prediction can be greatly improved by using our estimator. Finally, we analyze a big data set from didichuxing.com, a leading company in transportation industry, to analyze and predict the gap between supply and demand based on a large set of covariates. Our estimator clearly performs much better in out-of-sample prediction compared to existing linear panel data estimators.