Yifei Zhu

Fan Jin, Ke Zhang, Yipan Huang et al.

As industrial systems become more complex and monitoring sensors for everything from surveillance to our health become more ubiquitous, multivariate time series prediction is taking an important place in the smooth-running of our society. A recurrent neural network with attention to help extend the prediction windows is the current-state-of-the-art for this task. However, we argue that their vanishing gradients, short memories, and serial architecture make RNNs fundamentally unsuited to long-horizon forecasting with complex data. Temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) do not suffer from gradient problems and they support parallel calculations, making them a more appropriate choice. Additionally, they have longer memories than RNNs, albeit with some instability and efficiency problems. Hence, we propose a framework, called PSTA-TCN, that combines a parallel spatio-temporal attention mechanism to extract dynamic internal correlations with stacked TCN backbones to extract features from different window sizes. The framework makes full use parallel calculations to dramatically reduce training times, while substantially increasing accuracy with stable prediction windows up to 13 times longer than the status quo.

Pingyao Feng, Siheng Yi, Qingrui Qu et al.

In artificial-intelligence-aided signal processing, existing deep learning models often exhibit a black-box structure, and their validity and comprehensibility remain elusive. The integration of topological methods, despite its relatively nascent application, serves a dual purpose of making models more interpretable as well as extracting structural information from time-dependent data for smarter learning. Here, we provide a transparent and broadly applicable methodology, TopCap, to capture the most salient topological features inherent in time series for machine learning. Rooted in high-dimensional ambient spaces, TopCap is capable of capturing features rarely detected in datasets with low intrinsic dimensionality. Applying time-delay embedding and persistent homology, we obtain descriptors which encapsulate information such as the vibration of a time series, in terms of its variability of frequency, amplitude, and average line, demonstrated with simulated data. This information is then vectorised and fed into multiple machine learning algorithms such as k-nearest neighbours and support vector machine. Notably, in classifying voiced and voiceless consonants, TopCap achieves an accuracy exceeding 96% and is geared towards designing topological convolutional layers for deep learning of speech and audio signals.