Mathieu Tanneau

Terrence W. K. Mak, Minas Chatzos, Mathieu Tanneau et al. · gatech

One potential future for the next generation of smart grids is the use of decentralized optimization algorithms and secured communications for coordinating renewable generation (e.g., wind/solar), dispatchable devices (e.g., coal/gas/nuclear generations), demand response, battery & storage facilities, and topology optimization. The Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) has been widely used in the community to address such decentralized optimization problems and, in particular, the AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF). This paper studies how machine learning may help in speeding up the convergence of ADMM for solving AC-OPF. It proposes a novel decentralized machine-learning approach, namely ML-ADMM, where each agent uses deep learning to learn the consensus parameters on the coupling branches. The paper also explores the idea of learning only from ADMM runs that exhibit high-quality convergence properties, and proposes filtering mechanisms to select these runs. Experimental results on test cases based on the French system demonstrate the potential of the approach in speeding up the convergence of ADMM significantly.

Michael Klamkin, Mathieu Tanneau, Terrence W. K. Mak et al. · gatech

This paper considers optimization proxies for Optimal Power Flow (OPF), i.e., machine-learning models that approximate the input/output relationship of OPF. Recent work has focused on showing that such proxies can be of high fidelity. However, their training requires significant data, each instance necessitating the (offline) solving of an OPF. To meet the requirements of market-clearing applications, this paper proposes Bucketized Active Sampling (BAS), a novel active learning framework that aims at training the best possible OPF proxy within a time limit. BAS partitions the input domain into buckets and uses an acquisition function to determine where to sample next. By applying the same partitioning to the validation set, BAS leverages labeled validation samples in the selection of unlabeled samples. BAS also relies on an adaptive learning rate that increases and decreases over time. Experimental results demonstrate the benefits of BAS.

Oliver Stover, Pranav Karve, Sankaran Mahadevan et al.

In a grid with a significant share of renewable generation, operators will need additional tools to evaluate the operational risk due to the increased volatility in load and generation. The computational requirements of the forward uncertainty propagation problem, which must solve numerous security-constrained economic dispatch (SCED) optimizations, is a major barrier for such real-time risk assessment. This paper proposes a Just-In-Time Risk Assessment Learning Framework (JITRALF) as an alternative. JITRALF trains risk surrogates, one for each hour in the day, using Machine Learning (ML) to predict the quantities needed to estimate risk, without explicitly solving the SCED problem. This significantly reduces the computational burden of the forward uncertainty propagation and allows for fast, real-time risk estimation. The paper also proposes a novel, asymmetric loss function and shows that models trained using the asymmetric loss perform better than those using symmetric loss functions. JITRALF is evaluated on the French transmission system for assessing the risk of insufficient operating reserves, the risk of load shedding, and the expected operating cost.

Hanyu Zhang, Reza Zandehshahvar, Mathieu Tanneau et al.

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting. This paper proposes a method combining probabilistic forecasting and Gaussian copula for day-ahead prediction and scenario generation of load, wind, and solar power in high-dimensional contexts. By incorporating weather covariates and restoring spatio-temporal correlations, the proposed method enhances the reliability of probabilistic forecasts in RES. Extensive numerical experiments compare the effectiveness of different time series models, with performance evaluated using comprehensive metrics on a real-world and high-dimensional dataset from Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO). The results highlight the importance of weather information and demonstrate the efficacy of the Gaussian copula in generating realistic scenarios, with the proposed weather-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (WI-TFT) model showing superior performance.

Andrew Rosemberg, Mathieu Tanneau, Bruno Fanzeres et al.

The Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem is integral to the functioning of power systems, aiming to optimize generation dispatch while adhering to technical and operational constraints. These constraints are far from straightforward; they involve intricate, non-convex considerations related to Alternating Current (AC) power flow, which are essential for the safety and practicality of electrical grids. However, solving the OPF problem for varying conditions within stringent time frames poses practical challenges. To address this, operators resort to model simplifications of varying accuracy. Unfortunately, better approximations (tight convex relaxations) are often computationally intractable. This research explores machine learning (ML) to learn convex approximate solutions for faster analysis in the online setting while still allowing for coupling into other convex dependent decision problems. By trading off a small amount of accuracy for substantial gains in speed, they enable the efficient exploration of vast solution spaces in these complex problems.

Guancheng Qiu, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

In recent years, there has been significant interest in the development of machine learning-based optimization proxies for AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF). Although significant progress has been achieved in predicting high-quality primal solutions, no existing learning-based approach can provide valid dual bounds for AC-OPF. This paper addresses this gap by training optimization proxies for a convex relaxation of AC-OPF. Namely, the paper considers a second-order cone (SOC) relaxation of AC-OPF, and proposes \revision{a novel architecture} that embeds a fast, differentiable (dual) feasibility recovery, thus providing valid dual bounds. The paper combines this new architecture with a self-supervised learning scheme, which alleviates the need for costly training data generation. Extensive numerical experiments on medium- and large-scale power grids demonstrate the efficiency and scalability of the proposed methodology.

Neil Barry, Minas Chatzos, Wenbo Chen et al.

The transition of the electrical power grid from fossil fuels to renewable sources of energy raises fundamental challenges to the market-clearing algorithms that drive its operations. Indeed, the increased stochasticity in load and the volatility of renewable energy sources have led to significant increases in prediction errors, affecting the reliability and efficiency of existing deterministic optimization models. The RAMC project was initiated to investigate how to move from this deterministic setting into a risk-aware framework where uncertainty is quantified explicitly and incorporated in the market-clearing optimizations. Risk-aware market-clearing raises challenges on its own, primarily from a computational standpoint. This paper reviews how RAMC approaches risk-aware market clearing and presents some of its innovations in uncertainty quantification, optimization, and machine learning. Experimental results on real networks are presented.

Wenbo Chen, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

The paper proposes a novel End-to-End Learning and Repair (E2ELR) architecture for training optimization proxies for economic dispatch problems. E2ELR combines deep neural networks with closed-form, differentiable repair layers, thereby integrating learning and feasibility in an end-to-end fashion. E2ELR is also trained with self-supervised learning, removing the need for labeled data and the solving of numerous optimization problems offline. E2ELR is evaluated on industry-size power grids with tens of thousands of buses using an economic dispatch that co-optimizes energy and reserves. The results demonstrate that the self-supervised E2ELR achieves state-of-the-art performance, with optimality gaps that outperform other baselines by at least an order of magnitude.

Seonho Park, Wenbo Chen, Dahye Han et al.

Reliability Assessment Commitment (RAC) Optimization is increasingly important in grid operations due to larger shares of renewable generations in the generation mix and increased prediction errors. Independent System Operators (ISOs) also aim at using finer time granularities, longer time horizons, and possibly stochastic formulations for additional economic and reliability benefits. The goal of this paper is to address the computational challenges arising in extending the scope of RAC formulations. It presents RACLearn that (1) uses a Graph Neural Network (GNN) based architecture to predict generator commitments and active line constraints, (2) associates a confidence value to each commitment prediction, (3) selects a subset of the high-confidence predictions, which are (4) repaired for feasibility, and (5) seeds a state-of-the-art optimization algorithm with feasible predictions and active constraints. Experimental results on exact RAC formulations used by the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) and an actual transmission network (8965 transmission lines, 6708 buses, 1890 generators, and 6262 load units) show that the RACLearn framework can speed up RAC optimization by factors ranging from 2 to 4 with negligible loss in solution quality.

Hanyu Zhang, Mathieu Tanneau, Chaofan Huang et al.

The growing penetration of intermittent, renewable generation in US power grids, especially wind and solar generation, results in increased operational uncertainty. In that context, accurate forecasts are critical, especially for wind generation, which exhibits large variability and is historically harder to predict. To overcome this challenge, this work proposes a novel Bundle-Predict-Reconcile (BPR) framework that integrates asset bundling, machine learning, and forecast reconciliation techniques. The BPR framework first learns an intermediate hierarchy level (the bundles), then predicts wind power at the asset, bundle, and fleet level, and finally reconciles all forecasts to ensure consistency. This approach effectively introduces an auxiliary learning task (predicting the bundle-level time series) to help the main learning tasks. The paper also introduces new asset-bundling criteria that capture the spatio-temporal dynamics of wind power time series. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted on an industry-size dataset of 283 wind farms in the MISO footprint. The experiments consider short-term and day-ahead forecasts, and evaluates a large variety of forecasting models that include weather predictions as covariates. The results demonstrate the benefits of BPR, which consistently and significantly improves forecast accuracy over baselines, especially at the fleet level.

Michael Klamkin, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

Machine Learning (ML) techniques for Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problems have recently garnered significant attention, reflecting a broader trend of leveraging ML to approximate and/or accelerate the resolution of complex optimization problems. These developments are necessitated by the increased volatility and scale in energy production for modern and future grids. However, progress in ML for OPF is hindered by the lack of standardized datasets and evaluation metrics, from generating and solving OPF instances, to training and benchmarking machine learning models. To address this challenge, this paper introduces PGLearn, a comprehensive suite of standardized datasets and evaluation tools for ML and OPF. PGLearn provides datasets that are representative of real-life operating conditions, by explicitly capturing both global and local variability in the data generation, and by, for the first time, including time series data for several large-scale systems. In addition, it supports multiple OPF formulations, including AC, DC, and second-order cone formulations. Standardized datasets are made publicly available to democratize access to this field, reduce the burden of data generation, and enable the fair comparison of various methodologies. PGLearn also includes a robust toolkit for training, evaluating, and benchmarking machine learning models for OPF, with the goal of standardizing performance evaluation across the field. By promoting open, standardized datasets and evaluation metrics, PGLearn aims at democratizing and accelerating research and innovation in machine learning applications for optimal power flow problems. Datasets are available for download at https://www.huggingface.co/PGLearn.

Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper presents Dual Lagrangian Learning (DLL), a principled learning methodology for dual conic optimization proxies. DLL leverages conic duality and the representation power of ML models to provide high-duality, dual-feasible solutions, and therefore valid Lagrangian dual bounds, for linear and nonlinear conic optimization problems. The paper introduces a systematic dual completion procedure, differentiable conic projection layers, and a self-supervised learning framework based on Lagrangian duality. It also provides closed-form dual completion formulae for broad classes of conic problems, which eliminate the need for costly implicit layers. The effectiveness of DLL is demonstrated on linear and nonlinear conic optimization problems. The proposed methodology significantly outperforms a state-of-the-art learning-based method, and achieves 1000x speedups over commercial interior-point solvers with optimality gaps under 0.5\% on average.

Michael Klamkin, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

In many practical applications of constrained optimization, scale and solving time limits make traditional optimization solvers prohibitively slow. Thus, the research question of how to design optimization proxies -- machine learning models that produce high-quality solutions -- has recently received significant attention. Orthogonal to this research thread which focuses on learning primal solutions, this paper studies how to learn dual feasible solutions that complement primal approaches and provide quality guarantees. The paper makes two distinct contributions. First, to train dual linear optimization proxies, the paper proposes a smoothed self-supervised loss function that augments the objective function with a dual penalty term. Second, the paper proposes a novel dual completion strategy that guarantees dual feasibility by solving a convex optimization problem. Moreover, the paper derives closed-form solutions to this completion optimization for several classes of dual penalties, eliminating the need for computationally-heavy implicit layers. Numerical results are presented on large linear optimization problems and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The proposed dual completion outperforms methods for learning optimization proxies which do not exploit the structure of the dual problem. Compared to commercial optimization solvers, the learned dual proxies achieve optimality gaps below $1\%$ and several orders of magnitude speedups.

Miao Li, Michael Klamkin, Mathieu Tanneau et al.

This paper studies a Conformal Prediction (CP) methodology for building prediction intervals in a regression setting, given only deterministic lower and upper bounds on the target variable. It proposes a new CP mechanism (CPUL) that goes beyond post-processing by adopting a model selection approach over multiple nested interval construction methods. Paradoxically, many well-established CP methods, including CPUL, may fail to provide adequate coverage in regions where the bounds are tight. To remedy this limitation, the paper proposes an optimal thresholding mechanism, OMLT, that adjusts CPUL intervals in tight regions with undercoverage. The combined CPUL-OMLT is validated on large-scale learning tasks where the goal is to bound the optimal value of a parametric optimization problem. The experimental results demonstrate substantial improvements over baseline methods across various datasets.

Guancheng Qiu, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

The nonlinear, non-convex AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF) problem is fundamental for power systems operations. The intrinsic complexity of AC-OPF has fueled a growing interest in the development of optimization proxies for the problem, i.e., machine learning models that predict high-quality, close-to-optimal solutions. More recently, dual conic proxy architectures have been proposed, which combine machine learning and convex relaxations of AC-OPF, to provide valid certificates of optimality using learning-based methods. Building on this methodology, this paper proposes, for the first time, a dual conic proxy architecture for the semidefinite (SDP) relaxation of AC-OPF problems. Although the SDP relaxation is stronger than the second-order cone relaxation considered in previous work, its practical use has been hindered by its computational cost. The proposed method combines a neural network with a differentiable dual completion strategy that leverages the structure of the dual SDP problem. This approach guarantees dual feasibility, and therefore valid dual bounds, while providing orders of magnitude of speedups compared to interior-point algorithms. The paper also leverages self-supervised learning, which alleviates the need for time-consuming data generation and allows to train the proposed models efficiently. Numerical experiments are presented on several power grid benchmarks with up to 500 buses. The results demonstrate that the proposed SDP-based proxies can outperform weaker conic relaxations, while providing several orders of magnitude speedups compared to a state-of-the-art interior-point SDP solver.

Michael Klamkin, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

Recent research has shown that optimization proxies can be trained to high fidelity, achieving average optimality gaps under 1% for large-scale problems. However, worst-case analyses show that there exist in-distribution queries that result in orders of magnitude higher optimality gap, making it difficult to trust the predictions in practice. This paper aims at striking a balance between classical solvers and optimization proxies in order to enable trustworthy deployments with interpretable speed-optimality tradeoffs based on a user-defined optimality threshold. To this end, the paper proposes a hybrid solver that leverages duality theory to efficiently bound the optimality gap of predictions, falling back to a classical solver for queries where optimality cannot be certified. To improve the achieved speedup of the hybrid solver, the paper proposes an alternative training procedure that combines the primal and dual proxy training. Experiments on large-scale transmission systems show that the hybrid solver is highly scalable. The proposed hybrid solver achieves speedups of over 1000x compared to a parallelized simplex-based solver while guaranteeing a maximum optimality gap of 2%.

Alireza Moradi, Mathieu Tanneau, Reza Zandehshahvar et al.

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation, probabilistic forecasts have become essential for informed operational decisions. However, such forecasts frequently suffer from calibration issues, potentially degrading decision-making performance. Building on recent advances in Conformal Predictions, this paper introduces a tailored calibration framework that constructs context-aware calibration sets using a novel weighting scheme. The proposed framework improves the quality of probabilistic forecasts at the site and fleet levels, as demonstrated by numerical experiments on large-scale datasets covering several systems in the United States. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves higher forecast reliability and robustness for renewable energy applications compared to existing baselines.

Rahul Nellikkath, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck et al.

Optimal Power Flow (OPF) is a valuable tool for power system operators, but it is a difficult problem to solve for large systems. Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, especially Neural Networks-based (NN) optimization proxies, have emerged as a promising new tool for solving OPF, by estimating the OPF solution much faster than traditional methods. However, these ML algorithms act as black boxes, and it is hard to assess their worst-case performance across the entire range of possible inputs than an OPF can have. Previous work has proposed a mixed-integer programming-based methodology to quantify the worst-case violations caused by a NN trained to estimate the OPF solution, throughout the entire input domain. This approach, however, does not scale well to large power systems and more complex NN models. This paper addresses these issues by proposing a scalable algorithm to compute worst-case violations of NN proxies used for approximating large power systems within a reasonable time limit. This will help build trust in ML models to be deployed in large industry-scale power grids.

Wenbo Chen, Seonho Park, Mathieu Tanneau et al.

The Security-Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED) is a fundamental optimization model for Transmission System Operators (TSO) to clear real-time energy markets while ensuring reliable operations of power grids. In a context of growing operational uncertainty, due to increased penetration of renewable generators and distributed energy resources, operators must continuously monitor risk in real-time, i.e., they must quickly assess the system's behavior under various changes in load and renewable production. Unfortunately, systematically solving an optimization problem for each such scenario is not practical given the tight constraints of real-time operations. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes to learn an optimization proxy for SCED, i.e., a Machine Learning (ML) model that can predict an optimal solution for SCED in milliseconds. Motivated by a principled analysis of the market-clearing optimizations of MISO, the paper proposes a novel ML pipeline that addresses the main challenges of learning SCED solutions, i.e., the variability in load, renewable output and production costs, as well as the combinatorial structure of commitment decisions. A novel Classification-Then-Regression architecture is also proposed, to further capture the behavior of SCED solutions. Numerical experiments are reported on the French transmission system, and demonstrate the approach's ability to produce, within a time frame that is compatible with real-time operations, accurate optimization proxies that produce relative errors below $0.6\%$.

Minas Chatzos, Mathieu Tanneau, Pascal Van Hentenryck

A critical aspect of power systems research is the availability of suitable data, access to which is limited by privacy concerns and the sensitive nature of energy infrastructure. This lack of data, in turn, hinders the development of modern research avenues such as machine learning approaches or stochastic formulations. To overcome this challenge, this paper proposes a systematic, data-driven framework for reconstructing high-fidelity time series, using publicly-available grid snapshots and historical data published by transmission system operators. The proposed approach, from geo-spatial data and generation capacity reconstruction, to time series disaggregation, is applied to the French transmission grid. Thereby, synthetic but highly realistic time series data, spanning multiple years with a 5-minute granularity, is generated at the individual component level.

Defeng Liu, Andrea Lodi, Mathieu Tanneau

A highly influential ingredient of many techniques designed to exploit sparsity in numerical optimization is the so-called chordal extension of a graph representation of the optimization problem. The definitive relation between chordal extension and the performance of the optimization algorithm that uses the extension is not a mathematically understood task. For this reason, we follow the current research trend of looking at Combinatorial Optimization tasks by using a Machine Learning lens, and we devise a framework for learning elimination rules yielding high-quality chordal extensions. As a first building block of the learning framework, we propose an on-policy imitation learning scheme that mimics the elimination ordering provided by the (classical) minimum degree rule. The results show that our on-policy imitation learning approach is effective in learning the minimum degree policy and, consequently, produces graphs with desirable fill-in characteristics.